Columbia, MO, Missouri: Bellwether metro. In 2024, voted D+2%. Democratic peak: D+46 in 1932.
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- D+2MIT Election Lab
- Political archetype
- BellwetherAkashic typology
- Population
- 215,0142024 5-year
- Median household income
- $72,2692024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 78.3%2024 5-year
- Black
- 9.2%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 4.2%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+46 in 1932MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+17 in 1972MIT Election Lab
| Year | Won | Margin | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D | 52,140 | 49,600 | 104,198 | ||
| D | 53,726 | 48,471 | 105,111 | ||
| R | 44,340 | 45,101 | 96,722 | ||
| R | 44,044 | 45,308 | 91,800 | ||
| D | 52,094 | 44,459 | 98,132 | ||
| R | 42,015 | 45,774 | 88,475 | ||
| R | 33,322 | 34,912 | 70,911 | ||
| D | 29,751 | 26,492 | 62,752 | ||
| D | 30,970 | 23,525 | 69,672 | ||
| D | 29,326 | 28,550 | 58,046 | ||
| R | 23,597 | 33,563 | 57,160 | ||
| D | 23,457 | 22,488 | 50,240 | ||
| D | 23,530 | 21,757 | 46,196 | ||
| R | 18,039 | 25,273 | 43,312 | ||
| R | 16,902 | 17,857 | 37,811 | ||
| D | 22,466 | 12,564 | 35,030 | ||
| D | 18,674 | 17,200 | 35,874 | ||
| D | 17,457 | 15,369 | 32,826 | ||
| D | 17,316 | 15,093 | 32,462 | ||
| D | 18,208 | 9,921 | 28,314 | ||
| D | 17,391 | 11,074 | 28,524 | ||
| D | 20,991 | 12,922 | 34,009 | ||
| D | 21,755 | 10,349 | 32,215 | ||
| D | 22,401 | 8,273 | 30,942 | ||
| D | 17,287 | 11,924 | 29,255 | ||
| D | 17,486 | 10,175 | 28,245 | ||
| D | 17,140 | 11,353 | 28,634 | ||
| D | 11,004 | 6,131 | 17,275 | ||
| D | 10,143 | 4,516 | 16,011 | ||
| D | 10,480 | 5,969 | 16,588 | ||
| D | 9,534 | 5,823 | 15,579 | ||
| D | 10,683 | 5,705 | 16,686 | ||
| D | 11,420 | 5,769 | 17,281 | ||
| D | 9,108 | 4,769 | 14,467 | ||
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Demographics
Home to the University of Missouri, Columbia's Boone County posts notably higher Democratic margins than surrounding Ozark and agricultural counties, making it an isolated blue island in central Missouri's otherwise lopsided congressional map.
The Democratic margin in Columbia, MO has rarely exceeded forty-six points in modern history; the Republican margin has rarely exceeded seventeen points. 2024 delivered the metro to the Democratic candidate by two points.
Its demographics resemble the country more than they resemble most metros. A 78% non-Hispanic-white share, a 16% poverty rate, and a median household income of $72,269 — all within the broad national range.
Columbia, MO, Missouri — The Long Memory. Akashic Intelligence — The Long Memory. https://tiers.akashic.app/cbsa/17860/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.