Columbia, SC, South Carolina: Bellwether metro. In 2024, voted a near-tie. Democratic peak: D+98 in 1936.
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- TiedMIT Election Lab
- Political archetype
- BellwetherAkashic typology
- Population
- 849,1812024 5-year
- Median household income
- $68,2752024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 54.5%2024 5-year
- Black
- 33.4%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 7.0%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+98 in 1932MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+42 in 1972MIT Election Lab
| Year | Won | Margin | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D | 192,821 | 191,991 | 390,990 | ||
| D | 208,820 | 186,741 | 401,720 | ||
| D | 166,891 | 163,377 | 347,190 | ||
| D | 164,546 | 158,932 | 328,016 | ||
| D | 165,069 | 162,165 | 330,494 | ||
| R | 122,349 | 149,020 | 274,080 | ||
| R | 104,445 | 130,495 | 240,901 | ||
| R | 87,814 | 95,022 | 193,078 | ||
| R | 88,575 | 101,906 | 212,651 | ||
| R | 60,266 | 102,709 | 166,436 | ||
| R | 53,757 | 103,627 | 160,258 | ||
| R | 59,442 | 77,617 | 142,074 | ||
| D | 66,328 | 65,579 | 132,734 | ||
| R | 32,724 | 80,678 | 115,027 | ||
| R | 30,222 | 46,468 | 101,039 | ||
| R | 30,563 | 51,076 | 81,639 | ||
| R | 22,553 | 34,381 | 56,934 | ||
| O | 12,505 | 10,426 | 39,624 | ||
| R | 18,021 | 26,988 | 45,009 | ||
| O | 3,721 | 859 | 18,164 | ||
| D | 12,772 | 217 | 13,797 | ||
| D | 10,071 | 242 | 10,313 | ||
| D | 13,416 | 0 | 13,644 | ||
| D | 8,465 | 0 | 8,638 | ||
| D | 7,814 | 625 | 8,439 | ||
| D | 6,815 | 115 | 7,011 | ||
| D | 7,882 | 455 | 8,339 | ||
| D | 7,950 | 379 | 8,496 | ||
| D | 5,398 | 0 | 5,762 | ||
| D | 8,064 | 435 | 8,528 | ||
| D | 6,134 | 214 | 6,348 | ||
| D | 4,596 | 159 | 4,755 | ||
| D | 6,107 | 918 | 7,056 | ||
| D | 4,223 | 818 | 5,297 | ||
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Demographics
Columbia's Richland County core votes reliably Democratic while the fast-growing Lexington County suburbs have trended competitive, making the metro a reliable bellwether for statewide margin analysis.
The Democratic margin in Columbia, SC has rarely exceeded ninety-eight points in modern history; the Republican margin has rarely exceeded forty-two points. 2024 delivered the metro to the Democratic candidate by zero points.
Its demographics resemble the country more than they resemble most metros. A 55% non-Hispanic-white share, a 15% poverty rate, and a median household income of $68,275 — all within the broad national range.
Columbia, SC, South Carolina — The Long Memory. Akashic Intelligence — The Long Memory. https://tiers.akashic.app/cbsa/17900/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.