Coos Bay-North Bend, OR, Oregon: Populist metro. In 2024, voted R+20%. Democratic peak: D+52 in 1964.
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+20MIT Election Lab
- Political archetype
- PopulistAkashic typology
- Population
- 64,8272024 5-year
- Median household income
- $62,1432024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 84.3%2024 5-year
- Black
- 0.6%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 7.3%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+52 in 1964MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+46 in 1904MIT Election Lab
| Year | Won | Margin | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R | 13,731 | 20,849 | 35,735 | ||
| R | 14,243 | 21,829 | 37,075 | ||
| R | 10,448 | 17,865 | 31,313 | ||
| R | 12,845 | 14,673 | 28,686 | ||
| R | 14,401 | 15,354 | 30,951 | ||
| R | 14,393 | 18,291 | 33,362 | ||
| R | 11,610 | 15,626 | 29,379 | ||
| D | 12,171 | 10,886 | 27,638 | ||
| D | 12,072 | 9,284 | 29,659 | ||
| D | 13,996 | 10,153 | 24,836 | ||
| R | 13,582 | 13,637 | 27,339 | ||
| R | 11,817 | 13,041 | 28,176 | ||
| D | 14,168 | 9,481 | 24,725 | ||
| D | 11,778 | 10,370 | 23,213 | ||
| D | 10,884 | 8,230 | 20,890 | ||
| D | 16,109 | 5,032 | 21,149 | ||
| D | 12,893 | 8,751 | 21,705 | ||
| D | 11,183 | 9,201 | 20,384 | ||
| R | 8,118 | 10,122 | 18,389 | ||
| R | 5,453 | 5,536 | 11,562 | ||
| D | 6,476 | 4,609 | 11,225 | ||
| D | 7,853 | 5,034 | 12,988 | ||
| D | 7,167 | 2,576 | 10,630 | ||
| D | 5,504 | 3,299 | 9,296 | ||
| R | 3,040 | 4,929 | 8,126 | ||
| R | 1,757 | 3,905 | 8,070 | ||
| R | 2,297 | 3,272 | 6,205 | ||
| D | 3,352 | 3,209 | 7,358 | ||
| O | 1,081 | 701 | 3,657 | ||
| R | 894 | 1,850 | 3,249 | ||
| R | 490 | 1,712 | 2,664 | ||
| R | 888 | 1,153 | 2,139 | ||
| D | 1,558 | 1,105 | 2,709 | ||
| O | 299 | 603 | 1,902 | ||
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Demographics
Coos Bay-North Bend anchors Oregon's southern coast, where timber and fishing economies have long shaped a working-class electorate that swings more competitively than the state's Portland-dominated reputation suggests.
The Democratic margin in Coos Bay-North Bend, OR peaked at fifty-two points in 1964. By 2000 the metro had flipped, voting Republican for the first time in many years. The 2024 margin was twenty points, the most Republican-leaning result in the metro's modern history.
The economic context is the key. The median household income of $62,143 sits well below state and national norms, and 16% of residents live below the federal poverty line. The shift here is part of a broader realignment of working-class places across the country.
Coos Bay-North Bend, OR, Oregon — The Long Memory. Akashic Intelligence — The Long Memory. https://tiers.akashic.app/cbsa/18300/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.