Cumberland, MD-WV, Maryland: Populist metro. In 2024, voted R+46%. Democratic peak: D+96 in 1908.
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+46MIT Election Lab
- Political archetype
- PopulistAkashic typology
- Population
- 94,3062024 5-year
- Median household income
- $62,3862024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 88.4%2024 5-year
- Black
- 5.3%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 1.8%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+96 in 1908MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+49 in 2016MIT Election Lab
| Year | Won | Margin | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R | 11,714 | 32,388 | 45,041 | ||
| R | 11,818 | 30,926 | 43,517 | ||
| R | 9,925 | 30,340 | 42,040 | ||
| R | 12,690 | 27,063 | 40,838 | ||
| R | 14,443 | 26,021 | 41,289 | ||
| R | 14,094 | 26,834 | 41,316 | ||
| R | 14,235 | 20,836 | 36,153 | ||
| R | 14,512 | 16,516 | 35,077 | ||
| R | 15,493 | 18,699 | 41,323 | ||
| R | 15,903 | 23,477 | 39,614 | ||
| R | 14,975 | 27,054 | 42,361 | ||
| R | 16,838 | 23,637 | 42,758 | ||
| D | 21,865 | 20,565 | 42,430 | ||
| R | 14,084 | 27,844 | 42,481 | ||
| R | 17,452 | 18,106 | 41,953 | ||
| D | 26,769 | 16,185 | 42,954 | ||
| R | 17,865 | 26,788 | 44,653 | ||
| R | 14,363 | 26,651 | 41,014 | ||
| R | 19,074 | 24,784 | 43,905 | ||
| D | 18,984 | 18,757 | 38,331 | ||
| R | 19,334 | 20,224 | 39,558 | ||
| D | 23,651 | 19,937 | 43,776 | ||
| D | 25,054 | 15,677 | 41,062 | ||
| R | 16,131 | 17,430 | 35,191 | ||
| R | 11,336 | 25,303 | 36,915 | ||
| R | 7,302 | 12,593 | 23,527 | ||
| R | 8,159 | 13,241 | 23,022 | ||
| R | 6,606 | 7,725 | 14,963 | ||
| D | 11,960 | 1,909 | 12,084 | ||
| D | 10,801 | 6,777 | 4,209 | ||
| — | 12,277 | 7,034 | 4,010 | ||
| R | 6,188 | 7,185 | 3,071 | ||
| R | 5,214 | 7,011 | 12,584 | ||
| R | 4,917 | 5,771 | 11,041 | ||
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Demographics
Centered on Allegany County, Maryland, this two-state metro along the Potomac shifted decisively rightward as its coal and manufacturing economy contracted over decades, now recording some of the widest Republican margins of any mid-Atlantic metro area.
The Democratic margin in Cumberland, MD-WV peaked at ninety-six points in 1908. By 1980 the metro had flipped, voting Republican for the first time in many years. The 2024 margin was forty-six points, the most Republican-leaning result in the metro's modern history.
The economic context is the key. The median household income of $62,386 sits well below state and national norms, and 16% of residents live below the federal poverty line. The shift here is part of a broader realignment of working-class places across the country.
Cumberland, MD-WV, Maryland — The Long Memory. Akashic Intelligence — The Long Memory. https://tiers.akashic.app/cbsa/19060/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.