Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, TX Metro Area — Elections 1876–2024

Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, TX, Texas: Bellwether metro. In 2024, voted R+6%. Democratic peak: D+77 in 1936.

Key facts

2024 presidential margin: R+6MIT Election Lab
Political archetype: BellwetherAkashic typology
Population: 7,985,5902024 5-year
Median household income: $92,0442024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic): 48.2%2024 5-year
Black: 16.3%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino: 29.7%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin: D+77 in 1936MIT Election Lab
Peak Republican margin: R+39 in 1972MIT Election Lab

2024 results by constituent county

11 counties · 1 D · 10 R

R+60

D+60

One cell per constituent county. Ordered by 2024 D-vs-R margin (bluest first). Hover for county-level numbers.

38 presidential elections

Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024).
Year	Won	Margin	Democratic	Republican	Total
2024	R	−6.4%	1,435,841	1,636,060	3,132,339
2020	D	+1.3%	1,535,525	1,495,550	3,083,056
2016	R	−6.3%	1,066,312	1,218,897	2,413,579
2012	R	−14.3%	900,749	1,205,855	2,138,864
2008	R	−10.1%	969,541	1,188,570	2,176,090
2004	R	−23.6%	732,160	1,188,915	1,933,425
2000	R	−24.1%	587,163	971,927	1,598,445
1996	R	−10.3%	557,814	698,397	1,364,845
1992	R	−7.9%	490,367	613,057	1,546,795
1988	R	−22.8%	499,964	797,070	1,305,346
1984	R	−36.6%	395,362	853,520	1,251,661
1980	R	−20.1%	392,890	600,098	1,031,414
1976	R	−7.0%	402,363	463,930	874,326
1972	R	−39.5%	233,144	540,241	778,270
1968	R	−8.9%	243,605	301,608	652,043
1964	D	+18.6%	315,953	216,594	533,734
1960	R	−16.1%	182,681	253,429	439,328
1956	R	−21.7%	141,898	221,627	366,572
1952	R	−16.5%	153,773	214,955	369,863
1948	D	+28.9%	119,321	60,599	203,220
1944	D	+55.3%	139,901	30,414	197,820
1940	D	+63.7%	135,001	29,860	165,094
1936	D	+76.9%	108,701	13,961	123,277
1932	D	+70.7%	106,228	17,789	125,040
1928	R	−18.5%	48,006	69,901	118,040
1924	D	+52.4%	83,222	24,049	112,992
1920	D	+49.9%	51,381	14,812	73,252
1916	D	+73.9%	50,092	7,062	58,252
1912	D	+73.2%	36,010	2,835	45,311
1908	—	No data	—	—	—
1904	—	No data	—	—	—
1900	—	No data	—	—	—
1896	—	No data	—	—	—
1892	—	No data	—	—	—
1888	—	No data	—	—	—
1884	—	No data	—	—	—
1880	—	No data	—	—	—
1876	—	No data	—	—	—

Demographics

Race, ethnicity, and ancestry

Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.

English

9.2%

German

8.0%

Irish

6.4%

American

4.9%

Italian

2.1%

Scottish

1.5%

French

1.4%

Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.

Age distribution by sex

Median age: 35.6 in this county, 39.1 nationally

Male

Age

Female

0.4%

85+

0.7%

1.5%

75–84

2.0%

3.5%

65–74

4.1%

5.6%

55–64

5.7%

6.4%

45–54

6.5%

7.2%

35–44

7.3%

7.4%

25–34

7.5%

4.7%

18–24

4.6%

9.5%

5–17

9.1%

3.3%

3.1%

Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.

Median household income

2024 inflation-adjusted dollars

$92,044

Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, TX ranks near the middle of US counties.

Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, TX$92,044

Texas$78,476

United States$80,734

Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.

Poverty rate

All persons below federal poverty line

10.5%

Child poverty is below the national average.

Children under 1814.1%

Working age (18–64)9.1%

Seniors (65+)10.9%

Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.

Language at home

Population aged 5 and older

67.9%

speak English only

Spanish21.9%

Asian & Pacific Islander4.6%

Other Indo-European3.7%

Other languages1.9%

Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.

Religious adherents

Adherents per capita by tradition

Catholic & Orthodox

14.4%

Baptist

14.2%

Other Christian

13.3%

Methodist

4.6%

Non-Christian

2.9%

Pentecostal & Holiness

2.5%

Mainline Protestant

2.0%

Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 46.1% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.

Rapid in-migration from coastal metros has shifted inner suburbs like Collin and Denton counties toward competitiveness, even as the broader metro's aggregate margin remained Republican by nearly 27 points in 2024.

The Democratic margin in Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, TX has rarely exceeded seventy-seven points in modern history; the Republican margin has rarely exceeded thirty-nine points. 2024 delivered the metro to the Republican candidate by six points.

Its demographics resemble the country more than they resemble most metros. A 48% non-Hispanic-white share, a 11% poverty rate, and a median household income of $92,044 — all within the broad national range.

Cite this page

All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.

Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, TX, Texas — The Long Memory. Akashic Intelligence — The Long Memory. https://tiers.akashic.app/cbsa/19100/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.

License: CC BY 4.0

Frequently asked questions

How did Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, TX, Texas vote in 2024?

In 2024, Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, TX, Texas voted Republican by 6.4 points (R+6), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 3,132,339 votes cast, 1,435,841 went Democratic and 1,636,060 went Republican.

What is Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, TX, Texas's political archetype?

Akashic classifies Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, TX, Texas as a "Bellwether" metro based on its long-arc presidential voting pattern. Across 38 elections in the dataset, the metro has voted Democratic 11 times, Republican 18 times, and other 0 times.

When did Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, TX, Texas last vote Democratic?

The most recent presidential election in which Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, TX, Texas voted Democratic was 2020.

How many people live in Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, TX, Texas?

Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, TX, Texas has a population of 7,985,590 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.

What is the median household income in Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, TX, Texas?

Median household income in Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, TX, Texas is $92,044 — above the national median of $80,734. The Texas state median is $78,476.

What is the political history of Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, TX, Texas?

Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, TX, Texas from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 11 went Democratic and 18 went Republican. The metro's archetype — "Bellwether" — captures the overall trajectory of that voting record.

Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, TX votes the way the country votes.

Key facts

Demographics

Frequently asked questions