Danville, IL, Illinois: Populist metro. In 2024, voted R+36%. Republican peak: R+45 in 1904.
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+36MIT Election Lab
- Political archetype
- PopulistAkashic typology
- Population
- 72,3862024 5-year
- Median household income
- $56,8772024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 78.0%2024 5-year
- Black
- 14.8%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 5.6%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+21 in 1932MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+45 in 1904MIT Election Lab
| Year | Won | Margin | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R | 9,254 | 19,777 | 29,549 | ||
| R | 10,323 | 20,725 | 31,642 | ||
| R | 10,039 | 19,087 | 30,818 | ||
| R | 12,878 | 16,892 | 30,400 | ||
| D | 16,246 | 16,054 | 32,872 | ||
| R | 14,726 | 18,731 | 33,714 | ||
| R | 15,406 | 15,783 | 32,100 | ||
| D | 15,525 | 12,015 | 31,329 | ||
| D | 18,383 | 11,703 | 38,461 | ||
| D | 17,918 | 16,943 | 35,067 | ||
| R | 16,530 | 22,932 | 39,611 | ||
| R | 14,498 | 22,579 | 39,567 | ||
| R | 18,438 | 19,751 | 38,546 | ||
| R | 14,413 | 24,863 | 39,425 | ||
| R | 16,238 | 21,391 | 43,424 | ||
| D | 24,765 | 19,506 | 44,271 | ||
| R | 19,702 | 26,571 | 46,342 | ||
| R | 17,991 | 26,534 | 44,585 | ||
| R | 18,771 | 25,367 | 44,226 | ||
| R | 16,173 | 18,994 | 35,646 | ||
| R | 18,387 | 20,794 | 39,454 | ||
| R | 22,891 | 23,059 | 46,242 | ||
| D | 25,016 | 18,350 | 44,156 | ||
| D | 24,032 | 15,643 | 40,677 | ||
| R | 12,728 | 21,616 | 34,717 | ||
| R | 6,424 | 17,822 | 32,615 | ||
| R | 8,634 | 18,175 | 29,439 | ||
| R | 13,864 | 16,330 | 32,472 | ||
| O | 5,576 | 5,655 | 17,533 | ||
| R | 6,320 | 11,726 | 19,344 | ||
| R | 3,620 | 11,179 | 16,772 | ||
| R | 6,147 | 9,852 | 16,671 | ||
| R | 5,749 | 8,767 | 14,825 | ||
| R | 5,001 | 6,892 | 12,432 | ||
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Demographics
Danville's metro has shed roughly a third of its population since the 1980s as manufacturing employment declined, producing a voter base that swings sharply with economic sentiment and consistently posts higher turnout than comparably sized downstate Illinois markets.
The Democratic margin in Danville, IL peaked at twenty-one points in 1932. By 2012 the metro had flipped, voting Republican for the first time in many years. The 2024 margin was thirty-six points, the most Republican-leaning result in the metro's modern history.
The economic context is the key. The median household income of $56,877 sits well below state and national norms, and 18% of residents live below the federal poverty line. The shift here is part of a broader realignment of working-class places across the country.
Danville, IL, Illinois — The Long Memory. Akashic Intelligence — The Long Memory. https://tiers.akashic.app/cbsa/19180/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.