Danville, KY, Kentucky: Populist metro. In 2024, voted R+43%. Republican peak: R+43 in 2024.
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+43MIT Election Lab
- Political archetype
- PopulistAkashic typology
- Population
- 55,4452024 5-year
- Median household income
- $57,3062024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 87.9%2024 5-year
- Black
- 4.9%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 3.6%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+36 in 1964MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+43 in 2024MIT Election Lab
| Year | Won | Margin | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R | 7,070 | 17,992 | 25,407 | ||
| R | 7,552 | 17,361 | 25,392 | ||
| R | 6,146 | 15,378 | 22,507 | ||
| R | 7,053 | 14,119 | 21,525 | ||
| R | 7,521 | 13,974 | 21,786 | ||
| R | 7,442 | 13,760 | 21,353 | ||
| R | 6,641 | 10,921 | 17,923 | ||
| R | 6,427 | 7,163 | 14,893 | ||
| R | 6,426 | 6,643 | 15,224 | ||
| R | 6,252 | 8,276 | 14,586 | ||
| R | 5,876 | 9,671 | 15,598 | ||
| D | 7,420 | 6,882 | 14,679 | ||
| D | 7,293 | 6,205 | 13,628 | ||
| R | 4,277 | 7,940 | 12,352 | ||
| R | 4,399 | 5,306 | 12,199 | ||
| D | 8,283 | 3,930 | 12,239 | ||
| R | 5,689 | 7,371 | 13,060 | ||
| R | 6,389 | 6,962 | 13,390 | ||
| D | 6,681 | 6,155 | 12,877 | ||
| D | 6,258 | 4,490 | 10,950 | ||
| D | 6,577 | 4,988 | 11,641 | ||
| D | 7,738 | 5,347 | 13,132 | ||
| D | 7,723 | 5,642 | 13,432 | ||
| D | 9,047 | 5,271 | 14,406 | ||
| R | 5,306 | 7,420 | 12,739 | ||
| D | 6,297 | 5,608 | 12,506 | ||
| D | 7,886 | 6,915 | 14,908 | ||
| D | 4,264 | 3,362 | 7,728 | ||
| D | 3,661 | 1,543 | 6,983 | ||
| D | 3,781 | 3,336 | 7,272 | ||
| D | 3,359 | 3,014 | 6,609 | ||
| R | 3,448 | 3,571 | 7,077 | ||
| R | 2,834 | 3,520 | 6,645 | ||
| D | 2,722 | 2,319 | 5,378 | ||
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Demographics
Home to Centre College, Danville anchors a compact metro that leans reliably Republican in federal races while sustaining a modest professional-class voter bloc that occasionally narrows statewide margins.
The Democratic margin in Danville, KY peaked at thirty-six points in 1964. By 1984 the metro had flipped, voting Republican for the first time in many years. The 2024 margin was forty-three points, the most Republican-leaning result in the metro's modern history.
The economic context is the key. The median household income of $57,306 sits well below state and national norms, and 16% of residents live below the federal poverty line. The shift here is part of a broader realignment of working-class places across the country.
Danville, KY, Kentucky — The Long Memory. Akashic Intelligence — The Long Memory. https://tiers.akashic.app/cbsa/19220/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.