akashic
1876–2024
Danville, VA·Virginia

Danville, VA voted Democratic for a century; it now votes Republican by 21 points.

A post-tobacco corridor where manufacturing still shapes the ballot

18762024·38 elections
VA
Latest
R+21
in 2024
Archetype
Old Confederacy
since the recent cycles
Population
102,070
2024 ACS

Danville, VA, Virginia: Old Confederacy metro. In 2024, voted R+21%. Democratic peak: D+72 in 1936.

Key facts

2024 presidential margin
R+21MIT Election Lab
Political archetype
Old ConfederacyAkashic typology
Population
102,0702024 5-year
Median household income
$50,0892024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic)
59.9%2024 5-year
Black
33.0%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino
4.1%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin
D+72 in 1936MIT Election Lab
Peak Republican margin
R+62 in 1972MIT Election Lab
2 counties · 1 D · 1 R
R+60
D+60
One cell per constituent county. Ordered by 2024 D-vs-R margin (bluest first). Hover for county-level numbers.
Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024).
YearWonMarginDemocraticRepublicanTotal
R
−21.2%
20,21431,20451,868
R
−17.4%
21,82531,17953,616
R
−17.0%
20,25828,85750,538
R
−7.8%
23,07627,02650,885
R
−6.5%
23,76727,09151,323
R
−18.0%
18,71027,07246,529
R
−21.5%
16,05525,18742,562
R
−13.7%
15,84921,38140,233
R
−12.6%
15,80921,05141,555
R
−26.8%
13,96524,45039,075
R
−33.9%
13,63727,88441,985
R
−23.6%
13,79122,68737,642
R
−14.4%
14,35419,40835,125
R
−62.5%
2,1269,63012,008
O
−5.4%
9,92211,89236,764
R
−15.7%
3,8045,2249,039
R
−13.0%
6,7008,75415,748
R
−5.7%
6,5457,43115,520
R
−2.4%
7,2997,65815,046
D
+24.7%
5,4832,74311,114
D
+45.7%
6,6132,4559,090
D
+64.2%
7,0341,5158,596
D
+72.3%
6,9601,1058,100
D
+57.7%
5,3881,3966,924
R
−26.4%
2,8844,9587,842
D
+48.1%
4,1401,3535,797
D
+45.4%
4,6031,7136,372
D
+49.1%
3,1631,0304,348
D
+54.4%
2,6246203,686
D
+34.8%
2,4341,1683,633
D
+52.1%
2,5547513,459
D
+33.2%
5,3332,6388,118
D
+14.0%
5,6894,27410,116
D
+8.9%
4,8954,0309,759
No data
No data
No data
No data

Demographics

Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
American
19.4%
English
12.7%
Irish
5.6%
German
4.5%
Italian
1.7%
Scottish
1.3%
French
0.5%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
96.3%
speak English only
Spanish2.7%
Asian & Pacific Islander0.5%
Other Indo-European0.4%
Other languages0.1%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Baptist
21.4%
Other Christian
19.0%
Methodist
5.5%
Catholic & Orthodox
4.4%
Pentecostal & Holiness
2.3%
Mainline Protestant
1.5%
Non-Christian
0.9%
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 45.1% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.

Danville anchors the southern Virginia Piedmont, where decades of textile and tobacco decline have redrawn voter coalitions. The metro's working-class majority and persistent poverty rate make it a reliable signal for statewide shifts among non-college white and Black voters.

The shift began with civil rights. 1952 marked the realignment in Danville, VA, by a two points margin. The Republican margin reached its widest at sixty-two points in 1972. The 2024 margin was twenty-one points.

The political shift has tracked, in Danville, VA, the political shift of the South more broadly. A 60% non-Hispanic-white share, a median household income of $50,089, and a 19% poverty rate describe the demographic context.

Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Danville, VA, Virginia — The Long Memory. Akashic Intelligence — The Long Memory. https://tiers.akashic.app/cbsa/19260/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0

Frequently asked questions

How did Danville, VA, Virginia vote in 2024?
In 2024, Danville, VA, Virginia voted Republican by 21.2 points (R+21), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 51,868 votes cast, 20,214 went Democratic and 31,204 went Republican.
What is Danville, VA, Virginia's political archetype?
Akashic classifies Danville, VA, Virginia as a "Old Confederacy" metro based on its long-arc presidential voting pattern. Across 38 elections in the dataset, the metro has voted Democratic 14 times, Republican 19 times, and other 1 times.
When did Danville, VA, Virginia last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Danville, VA, Virginia voted Democratic was 1948.
How many people live in Danville, VA, Virginia?
Danville, VA, Virginia has a population of 102,070 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Danville, VA, Virginia?
Median household income in Danville, VA, Virginia is $50,089 — below the national median of $80,734. The Virginia state median is $93,170.
What is the political history of Danville, VA, Virginia?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Danville, VA, Virginia from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 14 went Democratic and 19 went Republican. The metro's archetype — "Old Confederacy" — captures the overall trajectory of that voting record.