Danville, VA, Virginia: Old Confederacy metro. In 2024, voted R+21%. Democratic peak: D+72 in 1936.
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+21MIT Election Lab
- Political archetype
- Old ConfederacyAkashic typology
- Population
- 102,0702024 5-year
- Median household income
- $50,0892024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 59.9%2024 5-year
- Black
- 33.0%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 4.1%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+72 in 1936MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+62 in 1972MIT Election Lab
| Year | Won | Margin | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R | 20,214 | 31,204 | 51,868 | ||
| R | 21,825 | 31,179 | 53,616 | ||
| R | 20,258 | 28,857 | 50,538 | ||
| R | 23,076 | 27,026 | 50,885 | ||
| R | 23,767 | 27,091 | 51,323 | ||
| R | 18,710 | 27,072 | 46,529 | ||
| R | 16,055 | 25,187 | 42,562 | ||
| R | 15,849 | 21,381 | 40,233 | ||
| R | 15,809 | 21,051 | 41,555 | ||
| R | 13,965 | 24,450 | 39,075 | ||
| R | 13,637 | 27,884 | 41,985 | ||
| R | 13,791 | 22,687 | 37,642 | ||
| R | 14,354 | 19,408 | 35,125 | ||
| R | 2,126 | 9,630 | 12,008 | ||
| O | 9,922 | 11,892 | 36,764 | ||
| R | 3,804 | 5,224 | 9,039 | ||
| R | 6,700 | 8,754 | 15,748 | ||
| R | 6,545 | 7,431 | 15,520 | ||
| R | 7,299 | 7,658 | 15,046 | ||
| D | 5,483 | 2,743 | 11,114 | ||
| D | 6,613 | 2,455 | 9,090 | ||
| D | 7,034 | 1,515 | 8,596 | ||
| D | 6,960 | 1,105 | 8,100 | ||
| D | 5,388 | 1,396 | 6,924 | ||
| R | 2,884 | 4,958 | 7,842 | ||
| D | 4,140 | 1,353 | 5,797 | ||
| D | 4,603 | 1,713 | 6,372 | ||
| D | 3,163 | 1,030 | 4,348 | ||
| D | 2,624 | 620 | 3,686 | ||
| D | 2,434 | 1,168 | 3,633 | ||
| D | 2,554 | 751 | 3,459 | ||
| D | 5,333 | 2,638 | 8,118 | ||
| D | 5,689 | 4,274 | 10,116 | ||
| D | 4,895 | 4,030 | 9,759 | ||
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Demographics
Danville anchors the southern Virginia Piedmont, where decades of textile and tobacco decline have redrawn voter coalitions. The metro's working-class majority and persistent poverty rate make it a reliable signal for statewide shifts among non-college white and Black voters.
The shift began with civil rights. 1952 marked the realignment in Danville, VA, by a two points margin. The Republican margin reached its widest at sixty-two points in 1972. The 2024 margin was twenty-one points.
The political shift has tracked, in Danville, VA, the political shift of the South more broadly. A 60% non-Hispanic-white share, a median household income of $50,089, and a 19% poverty rate describe the demographic context.
Danville, VA, Virginia — The Long Memory. Akashic Intelligence — The Long Memory. https://tiers.akashic.app/cbsa/19260/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.