Dayton-Kettering-Beavercreek, OH, Ohio: Populist metro. In 2024, voted R+11%. Republican peak: R+37 in 1924.
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+11MIT Election Lab
- Political archetype
- PopulistAkashic typology
- Population
- 816,0802024 5-year
- Median household income
- $71,9842024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 74.2%2024 5-year
- Black
- 14.9%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 3.7%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+25 in 1964MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+37 in 1924MIT Election Lab
Constituent county margins for Dayton-Kettering-Beavercreek, OH, OHOne cell per constituent county, colored by 2024 presidential margin from deep red (Republican) through neutral to deep blue (Democratic), ordered bluest first.
R+60D+60
One cell per constituent county. Ordered by 2024 D-vs-R margin (bluest first). Hover for county-level numbers.
38 presidential elections
| Year | Won | Margin | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R | 178,311 | 221,642 | 406,689 | ||
| R | 185,525 | 222,477 | 415,120 | ||
| R | 164,079 | 209,528 | 399,257 | ||
| R | 185,778 | 209,266 | 404,266 | ||
| R | 197,909 | 211,032 | 415,675 | ||
| R | 191,134 | 220,751 | 413,626 | ||
| R | 155,240 | 173,775 | 339,032 | ||
| D | 156,091 | 145,577 | 332,744 | ||
| R | 140,703 | 152,143 | 364,228 | ||
| R | 124,900 | 190,943 | 318,233 | ||
| R | 120,840 | 197,620 | 320,429 | ||
| R | 138,071 | 146,293 | 307,659 | ||
| R | 139,787 | 141,507 | 287,926 | ||
| R | 104,088 | 167,573 | 278,473 | ||
| D | 124,488 | 119,352 | 279,472 | ||
| D | 167,288 | 99,535 | 266,823 | ||
| R | 124,250 | 151,395 | 275,645 | ||
| R | 95,360 | 142,884 | 238,244 | ||
| R | 99,445 | 124,330 | 223,775 | ||
| D | 95,915 | 82,334 | 179,669 | ||
| D | 100,780 | 87,767 | 188,547 | ||
| D | 106,764 | 81,864 | 188,628 | ||
| D | 98,130 | 63,534 | 169,776 | ||
| R | 68,547 | 69,879 | 144,600 | ||
| R | 47,769 | 97,372 | 146,055 | ||
| R | 29,627 | 71,106 | 111,634 | ||
| R | 50,525 | 68,215 | 124,533 | ||
| D | 32,834 | 29,913 | 66,443 | ||
| D | 21,961 | 17,198 | 57,706 | ||
| R | 28,817 | 31,529 | 62,981 | ||
| R | 19,583 | 33,980 | 56,088 | ||
| R | 24,106 | 30,903 | 56,221 | ||
| R | 23,930 | 29,680 | 54,207 | ||
| R | 20,780 | 22,517 | 45,248 | ||
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Demographics
Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
German
21.9%
English
12.8%
Irish
12.1%
American
5.9%
Italian
3.4%
Scottish
2.1%
French
1.6%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
Age distribution by sex
Median age: 39.1 in this county, 39.1 nationally
Male
Age
Female
85+
75–84
65–74
55–64
45–54
35–44
25–34
18–24
5–17
<5
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
Median household income
2024 inflation-adjusted dollars
$71,984
Dayton-Kettering-Beavercreek, OH ranks near the middle of US counties.
Dayton-Kettering-Beavercreek, OH$71,984
Ohio$71,389
United States$80,734
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
Poverty rate
All persons below federal poverty line
13.2%
Children face moderate poverty.
Children under 1818.3%
Working age (18–64)12.0%
Seniors (65+)9.1%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
93.6%
speak English only
Spanish2.3%
Other Indo-European1.7%
Asian & Pacific Islander1.5%
Other languages1.0%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 47.0% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.
Wright-Patterson Air Force Base anchors a defense economy that complicates the area's traditional manufacturing identity, and the metro's mix of urban Dayton precincts and fast-growing suburban Warren County townships has kept countywide margins competitive across recent cycles.
The Democratic margin in Dayton-Kettering-Beavercreek, OH peaked at twenty-five points in 1964. By 2000 the metro had flipped, voting Republican for the first time in many years. The 2024 margin was eleven points, the most Republican-leaning result in the metro's modern history.
The economic context is the key. The median household income of $71,984 sits well below state and national norms, and 13% of residents live below the federal poverty line. The shift here is part of a broader realignment of working-class places across the country.
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Dayton-Kettering-Beavercreek, OH, Ohio — The Long Memory. Akashic Intelligence — The Long Memory. https://tiers.akashic.app/cbsa/19430/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0
Frequently asked questions
How did Dayton-Kettering-Beavercreek, OH, Ohio vote in 2024?
In 2024, Dayton-Kettering-Beavercreek, OH, Ohio voted Republican by 10.7 points (R+11), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 406,689 votes cast, 178,311 went Democratic and 221,642 went Republican.
What is Dayton-Kettering-Beavercreek, OH, Ohio's political archetype?
Akashic classifies Dayton-Kettering-Beavercreek, OH, Ohio as a "Populist" metro based on its long-arc presidential voting pattern. Across 38 elections in the dataset, the metro has voted Democratic 9 times, Republican 25 times, and other 0 times.
When did Dayton-Kettering-Beavercreek, OH, Ohio last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Dayton-Kettering-Beavercreek, OH, Ohio voted Democratic was 1996.
How many people live in Dayton-Kettering-Beavercreek, OH, Ohio?
Dayton-Kettering-Beavercreek, OH, Ohio has a population of 816,080 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Dayton-Kettering-Beavercreek, OH, Ohio?
Median household income in Dayton-Kettering-Beavercreek, OH, Ohio is $71,984 — below the national median of $80,734. The Ohio state median is $71,389.
What is the political history of Dayton-Kettering-Beavercreek, OH, Ohio?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Dayton-Kettering-Beavercreek, OH, Ohio from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 9 went Democratic and 25 went Republican. The metro's archetype — "Populist" — captures the overall trajectory of that voting record.