akashic
1876–2024
Deming, NM·New Mexico

Deming, NM delivered R+19 in 2024.

A small border metro where Luna County routinely swings wider than state averages

1876 — 2024·38 elections
NM
Latest
R+19
in 2024
Archetype
Bellwether
since the recent cycles
Population
25,611
2024 ACS

Deming, NM, New Mexico: Bellwether metro. In 2024, voted R+19%. Democratic peak: D+46 in 1912.

Key facts

2024 presidential margin
R+19MIT Election Lab
Political archetype
BellwetherAkashic typology
Population
25,6112024 5-year
Median household income
$36,4192024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic)
40.1%2024 5-year
Black
1.5%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino
67.1%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin
D+46 in 1912MIT Election Lab
Peak Republican margin
R+30 in 1972MIT Election Lab
2024 results by constituent county
1 counties · 0 D · 1 R
R+60
D+60
One cell per constituent county. Ordered by 2024 D-vs-R margin (bluest first). Hover for county-level numbers.
38 presidential elections
Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024).
YearWonMarginDemocraticRepublicanTotal
R
−18.9%
3,1764,6988,056
R
−10.4%
3,5634,4088,103
R
−3.9%
3,1953,4787,295
R
−1.2%
3,5833,6707,500
D
+5.3%
4,3113,8708,340
R
−10.9%
3,3404,1647,593
R
−6.4%
2,9753,3956,612
D
+6.1%
3,0012,6166,326
D
+7.5%
2,6372,1666,272
R
−5.3%
3,0663,4156,636
R
−23.4%
2,5574,1456,776
R
−18.8%
2,4433,6366,346
R
−1.6%
2,8722,9665,903
R
−29.9%
1,5602,9584,677
R
−13.2%
1,4381,9523,896
D
+15.6%
2,2861,6653,969
D
+3.8%
1,7081,5833,306
R
−0.7%
1,5061,5263,067
R
−12.8%
1,3321,7293,095
D
+26.6%
1,6299412,584
D
+12.6%
1,3831,0742,459
D
+13.1%
1,3881,0662,460
D
+29.3%
1,5008062,367
D
+42.2%
1,6056412,286
R
−14.1%
6478601,514
R
−6.9%
5967091,638
D
+8.9%
1,0008341,868
D
+29.9%
7964181,263
D
+46.4%
46181819
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Demographics

Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
English
6.6%
German
5.7%
Irish
4.6%
American
4.1%
Italian
1.3%
French
1.1%
Polish
0.6%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
Age distribution by sex
Median age: 36.3 in this county, 39.1 nationally
Male
Age
Female
1.9%
85+
1.3%
3.0%
75–84
3.6%
5.6%
65–74
5.3%
5.6%
55–64
5.8%
4.3%
45–54
4.8%
5.1%
35–44
4.6%
6.9%
25–34
6.4%
5.0%
18–24
4.7%
9.9%
5–17
8.3%
4.1%
<5
3.5%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
Median household income
2024 inflation-adjusted dollars
$36,419
Deming, NM ranks near the middle of US counties.
Deming, NM$36,419
New Mexico$64,059
United States$80,734
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
Poverty rate
All persons below federal poverty line
28.6%
Nearly half of children live in poverty.
Children under 1843.4%
Working age (18–64)25.3%
Seniors (65+)10.7%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
47.9%
speak English only
Spanish50.8%
Other languages0.7%
Asian & Pacific Islander0.5%
Other Indo-European0.1%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Catholic & Orthodox
39.9%
Other Christian
16.0%
Baptist
3.0%
Methodist
2.3%
Pentecostal & Holiness
2.3%
Mainline Protestant
0.5%
Non-Christian
0.3%
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 35.7% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.

Deming anchors Luna County, a predominantly Hispanic community along the New Mexico–Chihuahua border where presidential margins have shifted sharply across recent cycles, making it a close-watched bellwether for rural border-county trends statewide.

The Democratic margin in Deming, NM has rarely exceeded forty-six points in modern history; the Republican margin has rarely exceeded thirty points. 2024 delivered the metro to the Republican candidate by nineteen points.

Its demographics resemble the country more than they resemble most metros. A 40% non-Hispanic-white share, a 29% poverty rate, and a median household income of $36,419 — all within the broad national range.

Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Deming, NM, New Mexico — The Long Memory. Akashic Intelligence — The Long Memory. https://tiers.akashic.app/cbsa/19700/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0

Frequently asked questions

How did Deming, NM, New Mexico vote in 2024?
In 2024, Deming, NM, New Mexico voted Republican by 18.9 points (R+19), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 8,056 votes cast, 3,176 went Democratic and 4,698 went Republican.
What is Deming, NM, New Mexico's political archetype?
Akashic classifies Deming, NM, New Mexico as a "Bellwether" metro based on its long-arc presidential voting pattern. Across 38 elections in the dataset, the metro has voted Democratic 13 times, Republican 16 times, and other 0 times.
When did Deming, NM, New Mexico last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Deming, NM, New Mexico voted Democratic was 2008.
How many people live in Deming, NM, New Mexico?
Deming, NM, New Mexico has a population of 25,611 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Deming, NM, New Mexico?
Median household income in Deming, NM, New Mexico is $36,419 — below the national median of $80,734. The New Mexico state median is $64,059.
What is the political history of Deming, NM, New Mexico?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Deming, NM, New Mexico from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 13 went Democratic and 16 went Republican. The metro's archetype — "Bellwether" — captures the overall trajectory of that voting record.