Denver-Aurora-Centennial, CO, Colorado: Bellwether metro. In 2024, voted D+21%. Democratic peak: D+76 in 1896.
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- D+21MIT Election Lab
- Political archetype
- BellwetherAkashic typology
- Population
- 3,002,7212024 5-year
- Median household income
- $107,2072024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 66.0%2024 5-year
- Black
- 5.6%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 23.9%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+76 in 1896MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+45 in 1892MIT Election Lab
| Year | Won | Margin | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D | 959,451 | 613,345 | 1,617,800 | ||
| D | 1,028,508 | 606,212 | 1,678,426 | ||
| D | 761,076 | 536,923 | 1,418,489 | ||
| D | 726,404 | 552,551 | 1,309,453 | ||
| D | 696,179 | 490,458 | 1,206,171 | ||
| D | 533,748 | 505,613 | 1,052,402 | ||
| R | 395,491 | 395,779 | 840,876 | ||
| D | 349,058 | 320,824 | 731,670 | ||
| D | 329,764 | 265,345 | 783,734 | ||
| R | 331,916 | 351,959 | 696,657 | ||
| R | 245,394 | 412,182 | 668,098 | ||
| R | 193,691 | 322,250 | 607,087 | ||
| R | 245,147 | 300,905 | 564,273 | ||
| R | 175,480 | 302,847 | 490,283 | ||
| R | 183,717 | 205,828 | 421,127 | ||
| D | 254,343 | 149,062 | 405,864 | ||
| R | 174,025 | 193,033 | 369,132 | ||
| R | 133,363 | 184,179 | 320,059 | ||
| R | 123,244 | 169,443 | 294,809 | ||
| D | 116,068 | 101,557 | 221,478 | ||
| R | 111,405 | 114,500 | 226,853 | ||
| D | 115,244 | 108,334 | 225,019 | ||
| D | 123,675 | 67,466 | 194,646 | ||
| D | 94,486 | 75,551 | 176,067 | ||
| R | 51,323 | 95,283 | 148,269 | ||
| R | 21,103 | 75,185 | 119,786 | ||
| R | 30,426 | 56,908 | 92,206 | ||
| D | 55,945 | 30,649 | 89,594 | ||
| D | 35,692 | 12,403 | 79,973 | ||
| D | 43,408 | 39,563 | 86,085 | ||
| R | 36,642 | 43,283 | 81,972 | ||
| D | 41,929 | 31,255 | 74,774 | ||
| D | 54,938 | 7,321 | 62,964 | ||
| O | 0 | 13,981 | 31,044 | ||
| R | 11,944 | 16,641 | 29,554 | ||
| R | 8,647 | 11,798 | 21,406 | ||
| R | 7,213 | 9,054 | 16,576 | ||
| — | — | — | — |
Demographics
Denver's sprawling metro has shifted durably toward Democratic margins over the past two decades, driven by rapid in-migration of college-educated professionals and a fast-growing Latino electorate concentrated in Adams and Arapahoe counties.
The Democratic margin in Denver-Aurora-Centennial, CO has rarely exceeded seventy-six points in modern history; the Republican margin has rarely exceeded forty-five points. 2024 delivered the metro to the Democratic candidate by twenty-one points.
Its demographics resemble the country more than they resemble most metros. A 66% non-Hispanic-white share, a 8% poverty rate, and a median household income of $107,207 — all within the broad national range.
Denver-Aurora-Centennial, CO, Colorado — The Long Memory. Akashic Intelligence — The Long Memory. https://tiers.akashic.app/cbsa/19740/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.