East Stroudsburg, PA, Pennsylvania: Populist metro. In 2024, voted R+1%. Democratic peak: D+56 in 1912.
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+1MIT Election Lab
- Political archetype
- PopulistAkashic typology
- Population
- 167,5152024 5-year
- Median household income
- $83,5652024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 63.7%2024 5-year
- Black
- 13.9%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 18.2%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+56 in 1912MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+39 in 1928MIT Election Lab
| Year | Won | Margin | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R | 42,007 | 42,676 | 85,752 | ||
| D | 44,060 | 38,726 | 83,829 | ||
| D | 33,918 | 33,386 | 70,008 | ||
| D | 35,221 | 26,867 | 63,023 | ||
| D | 39,453 | 28,293 | 68,443 | ||
| R | 27,967 | 27,971 | 56,342 | ||
| R | 21,939 | 23,265 | 46,878 | ||
| R | 16,547 | 17,326 | 39,065 | ||
| R | 13,468 | 14,557 | 37,500 | ||
| R | 9,859 | 17,185 | 27,371 | ||
| R | 8,193 | 16,109 | 24,474 | ||
| R | 7,551 | 12,357 | 22,289 | ||
| R | 9,544 | 10,228 | 20,165 | ||
| R | 5,619 | 12,701 | 18,814 | ||
| R | 6,946 | 9,465 | 17,747 | ||
| D | 10,622 | 6,281 | 17,019 | ||
| R | 6,312 | 11,299 | 17,726 | ||
| R | 5,506 | 10,081 | 15,679 | ||
| R | 5,760 | 9,502 | 15,304 | ||
| R | 5,913 | 6,674 | 12,587 | ||
| R | 5,490 | 6,202 | 11,729 | ||
| D | 6,670 | 6,001 | 12,687 | ||
| D | 8,212 | 5,778 | 14,079 | ||
| D | 6,357 | 4,659 | 11,199 | ||
| R | 3,266 | 7,469 | 10,762 | ||
| D | 3,901 | 3,462 | 7,819 | ||
| D | 3,396 | 3,278 | 6,828 | ||
| D | 3,348 | 1,456 | 4,886 | ||
| D | 3,107 | 536 | 4,604 | ||
| D | 3,004 | 1,454 | 4,599 | ||
| D | 2,587 | 1,446 | 4,196 | ||
| D | 3,054 | 1,264 | 4,516 | ||
| D | 2,887 | 1,447 | 4,551 | ||
| D | 3,078 | 1,020 | 4,159 | ||
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Demographics
East Stroudsburg anchors Monroe County, a longtime bellwether that shifted sharply toward Republicans in 2016 after decades of competitive results, driven largely by an influx of price-sensitive migrants from the New York metro area.
The Democratic margin in East Stroudsburg, PA peaked at fifty-six points in 1912. By 2024 the metro had flipped, voting Republican for the first time in many years. The 2024 margin was one points, the most Republican-leaning result in the metro's modern history.
The economic context is the key. The median household income of $83,565 sits well below state and national norms, and 11% of residents live below the federal poverty line. The shift here is part of a broader realignment of working-class places across the country.
East Stroudsburg, PA, Pennsylvania — The Long Memory. Akashic Intelligence — The Long Memory. https://tiers.akashic.app/cbsa/20700/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.