Effingham, IL, Illinois: Populist metro. In 2024, voted R+61%. Republican peak: R+61 in 2024.
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+61MIT Election Lab
- Political archetype
- PopulistAkashic typology
- Population
- 44,8562024 5-year
- Median household income
- $78,7742024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 95.6%2024 5-year
- Black
- 0.3%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 2.2%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+30 in 1932MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+61 in 2024MIT Election Lab
| Year | Won | Margin | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R | 4,676 | 19,751 | 24,853 | ||
| R | 4,858 | 19,607 | 24,932 | ||
| R | 4,114 | 17,841 | 23,180 | ||
| R | 5,502 | 16,010 | 21,908 | ||
| R | 7,317 | 14,479 | 22,156 | ||
| R | 6,250 | 15,271 | 21,694 | ||
| R | 6,095 | 12,819 | 19,460 | ||
| R | 6,601 | 9,698 | 18,673 | ||
| R | 7,332 | 8,189 | 20,183 | ||
| R | 6,457 | 11,098 | 17,666 | ||
| R | 5,574 | 12,619 | 18,266 | ||
| R | 6,121 | 12,263 | 19,097 | ||
| R | 8,704 | 9,712 | 18,735 | ||
| R | 6,514 | 12,009 | 18,551 | ||
| R | 6,324 | 9,369 | 17,000 | ||
| D | 9,838 | 7,295 | 17,133 | ||
| R | 8,151 | 9,430 | 17,592 | ||
| R | 6,727 | 10,139 | 16,892 | ||
| R | 6,945 | 9,832 | 16,814 | ||
| D | 7,293 | 7,274 | 14,691 | ||
| R | 6,978 | 8,141 | 15,225 | ||
| R | 9,079 | 9,271 | 18,457 | ||
| D | 9,320 | 7,309 | 16,939 | ||
| D | 9,631 | 5,099 | 14,893 | ||
| R | 6,112 | 7,124 | 13,357 | ||
| D | 6,198 | 5,857 | 13,344 | ||
| R | 5,147 | 7,271 | 12,587 | ||
| D | 7,489 | 6,086 | 13,904 | ||
| D | 4,248 | 1,992 | 7,749 | ||
| D | 4,636 | 3,616 | 8,479 | ||
| D | 3,947 | 3,720 | 8,050 | ||
| D | 4,972 | 3,723 | 8,811 | ||
| D | 5,051 | 3,751 | 8,903 | ||
| D | 4,529 | 2,942 | 8,041 | ||
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Demographics
Effingham anchors a predominantly agricultural corridor in south-central Illinois, where Republican margins in federal races have consistently exceeded 40 points over the past decade, reflecting the region's deep rural conservative lean.
The Democratic margin in Effingham, IL peaked at thirty points in 1932. By 1968 the metro had flipped, voting Republican for the first time in many years. The 2024 margin was sixty-one points, the most Republican-leaning result in the metro's modern history.
The economic context is the key. The median household income of $78,774 sits well below state and national norms, and 10% of residents live below the federal poverty line. The shift here is part of a broader realignment of working-class places across the country.
Effingham, IL, Illinois — The Long Memory. Akashic Intelligence — The Long Memory. https://tiers.akashic.app/cbsa/20820/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.