akashic
1876–2024
El Campo, TX·Texas

El Campo, TX voted Democratic for a century; it now votes Republican by 52 points.

18762024·38 elections
TX
Latest
R+52
in 2024
Archetype
Old Confederacy
since the recent cycles
Population
41,794
2024 ACS

El Campo, TX, Texas: Old Confederacy metro. In 2024, voted R+52%. Democratic peak: D+81 in 1936.

Key facts

2024 presidential margin
R+52MIT Election Lab
Political archetype
Old ConfederacyAkashic typology
Population
41,7942024 5-year
Median household income
$66,9242024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic)
57.4%2024 5-year
Black
11.4%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino
42.0%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin
D+81 in 1936MIT Election Lab
Peak Republican margin
R+52 in 2024MIT Election Lab
1 counties · 0 D · 1 R
R+60
D+60
One cell per constituent county. Ordered by 2024 D-vs-R margin (bluest first). Hover for county-level numbers.
Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024).
YearWonMarginDemocraticRepublicanTotal
R
−51.8%
3,91012,43916,471
R
−43.1%
4,69411,92616,776
R
−40.1%
4,23810,14914,732
R
−39.1%
4,2359,75014,087
R
−31.2%
4,9379,43114,418
R
−32.7%
4,7029,28814,039
R
−26.9%
4,8388,45513,426
R
−8.1%
5,1766,16312,234
R
−6.7%
4,6435,50312,797
R
−8.0%
5,9356,97812,991
R
−25.2%
5,0728,49513,584
R
−12.2%
5,1386,59811,958
D
+11.6%
5,9144,68210,644
R
−28.6%
3,4816,2719,757
D
+5.3%
4,3043,7739,959
D
+38.3%
6,2342,7759,020
D
+19.1%
5,0043,3878,458
R
−15.5%
3,4394,7148,203
R
−13.1%
4,0225,2329,259
D
+31.1%
2,8111,3544,685
D
+64.0%
3,7545295,042
D
+67.8%
3,9767604,740
D
+81.3%
3,0343073,355
D
+77.8%
3,3574053,792
D
+14.6%
1,5451,1512,696
D
+38.9%
2,0208582,989
R
−0.7%
8368522,363
D
+42.6%
9483511,401
D
+55.2%
7931091,240
No data
No data
No data
No data
No data
No data
No data
No data
No data

Demographics

Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
German
9.5%
English
6.6%
American
5.1%
Irish
4.2%
Italian
1.4%
Polish
0.9%
French
0.8%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
72.8%
speak English only
Spanish26.4%
Other Indo-European0.4%
Asian & Pacific Islander0.2%
Other languages0.2%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Catholic & Orthodox
35.9%
Baptist
14.7%
Other Christian
12.3%
Methodist
4.9%
Mainline Protestant
4.2%
Pentecostal & Holiness
1.4%
Non-Christian
0.1%
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 26.5% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.

El Campo, TX sits in the Gulf South and Southern Plains. For nearly a century after Reconstruction, the metro voted Democratic — not because of New Deal politics, but because of the long memory of the Civil War. The Democratic party of the Solid South was the party of segregation, and in El Campo, TX as throughout the former Confederacy, Republican identification was politically untenable until the second half of the twentieth century.

The shift began with civil rights. 1980 marked the realignment in El Campo, TX, by a twelve points margin. The Republican margin reached its widest at fifty-two points in 2024. The 2024 margin was fifty-two points.

The political shift has tracked, in El Campo, TX, the political shift of the South more broadly. A 57% non-Hispanic-white share, a median household income of $66,924, and a 14% poverty rate describe the demographic context.

Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
El Campo, TX, Texas — The Long Memory. Akashic Intelligence — The Long Memory. https://tiers.akashic.app/cbsa/20900/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0

Frequently asked questions

How did El Campo, TX, Texas vote in 2024?
In 2024, El Campo, TX, Texas voted Republican by 51.8 points (R+52), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 16,471 votes cast, 3,910 went Democratic and 12,439 went Republican.
What is El Campo, TX, Texas's political archetype?
Akashic classifies El Campo, TX, Texas as a "Old Confederacy" metro based on its long-arc presidential voting pattern. Across 38 elections in the dataset, the metro has voted Democratic 13 times, Republican 16 times, and other 0 times.
When did El Campo, TX, Texas last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which El Campo, TX, Texas voted Democratic was 1976.
How many people live in El Campo, TX, Texas?
El Campo, TX, Texas has a population of 41,794 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in El Campo, TX, Texas?
Median household income in El Campo, TX, Texas is $66,924 — below the national median of $80,734. The Texas state median is $78,476.
What is the political history of El Campo, TX, Texas?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in El Campo, TX, Texas from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 13 went Democratic and 16 went Republican. The metro's archetype — "Old Confederacy" — captures the overall trajectory of that voting record.