El Campo, TX, Texas: Old Confederacy metro. In 2024, voted R+52%. Democratic peak: D+81 in 1936.
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+52MIT Election Lab
- Political archetype
- Old ConfederacyAkashic typology
- Population
- 41,7942024 5-year
- Median household income
- $66,9242024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 57.4%2024 5-year
- Black
- 11.4%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 42.0%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+81 in 1936MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+52 in 2024MIT Election Lab
| Year | Won | Margin | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R | 3,910 | 12,439 | 16,471 | ||
| R | 4,694 | 11,926 | 16,776 | ||
| R | 4,238 | 10,149 | 14,732 | ||
| R | 4,235 | 9,750 | 14,087 | ||
| R | 4,937 | 9,431 | 14,418 | ||
| R | 4,702 | 9,288 | 14,039 | ||
| R | 4,838 | 8,455 | 13,426 | ||
| R | 5,176 | 6,163 | 12,234 | ||
| R | 4,643 | 5,503 | 12,797 | ||
| R | 5,935 | 6,978 | 12,991 | ||
| R | 5,072 | 8,495 | 13,584 | ||
| R | 5,138 | 6,598 | 11,958 | ||
| D | 5,914 | 4,682 | 10,644 | ||
| R | 3,481 | 6,271 | 9,757 | ||
| D | 4,304 | 3,773 | 9,959 | ||
| D | 6,234 | 2,775 | 9,020 | ||
| D | 5,004 | 3,387 | 8,458 | ||
| R | 3,439 | 4,714 | 8,203 | ||
| R | 4,022 | 5,232 | 9,259 | ||
| D | 2,811 | 1,354 | 4,685 | ||
| D | 3,754 | 529 | 5,042 | ||
| D | 3,976 | 760 | 4,740 | ||
| D | 3,034 | 307 | 3,355 | ||
| D | 3,357 | 405 | 3,792 | ||
| D | 1,545 | 1,151 | 2,696 | ||
| D | 2,020 | 858 | 2,989 | ||
| R | 836 | 852 | 2,363 | ||
| D | 948 | 351 | 1,401 | ||
| D | 793 | 109 | 1,240 | ||
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Demographics
El Campo, TX sits in the Gulf South and Southern Plains. For nearly a century after Reconstruction, the metro voted Democratic — not because of New Deal politics, but because of the long memory of the Civil War. The Democratic party of the Solid South was the party of segregation, and in El Campo, TX as throughout the former Confederacy, Republican identification was politically untenable until the second half of the twentieth century.
The shift began with civil rights. 1980 marked the realignment in El Campo, TX, by a twelve points margin. The Republican margin reached its widest at fifty-two points in 2024. The 2024 margin was fifty-two points.
The political shift has tracked, in El Campo, TX, the political shift of the South more broadly. A 57% non-Hispanic-white share, a median household income of $66,924, and a 14% poverty rate describe the demographic context.
El Campo, TX, Texas — The Long Memory. Akashic Intelligence — The Long Memory. https://tiers.akashic.app/cbsa/20900/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.