El Dorado, AR, Arkansas: Realigner metro. In 2024, voted R+34%. Democratic peak: D+90 in 1932.
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+34MIT Election Lab
- Political archetype
- RealignerAkashic typology
- Population
- 37,9002024 5-year
- Median household income
- $55,2592024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 61.6%2024 5-year
- Black
- 32.3%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 4.7%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+90 in 1932MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+54 in 1972MIT Election Lab
Constituent county margins for El Dorado, AR, AROne cell per constituent county, colored by 2024 presidential margin from deep red (Republican) through neutral to deep blue (Democratic), ordered bluest first.
R+60D+60
One cell per constituent county. Ordered by 2024 D-vs-R margin (bluest first). Hover for county-level numbers.
38 presidential elections
| Year | Won | Margin | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R | 5,019 | 10,196 | 15,448 | ||
| R | 5,584 | 10,478 | 16,607 | ||
| R | 5,855 | 10,456 | 16,586 | ||
| R | 6,196 | 10,699 | 17,177 | ||
| R | 6,190 | 10,677 | 17,179 | ||
| R | 7,071 | 10,502 | 17,832 | ||
| R | 6,261 | 8,647 | 15,609 | ||
| D | 8,373 | 6,053 | 15,940 | ||
| D | 8,786 | 7,305 | 18,580 | ||
| R | 5,931 | 10,581 | 17,256 | ||
| R | 6,208 | 12,333 | 18,759 | ||
| R | 6,852 | 9,401 | 17,063 | ||
| D | 8,257 | 7,918 | 16,182 | ||
| R | 3,531 | 11,925 | 15,543 | ||
| O | 4,426 | 4,919 | 17,198 | ||
| R | 6,948 | 8,472 | 15,580 | ||
| D | 6,500 | 5,631 | 13,565 | ||
| D | 7,055 | 5,059 | 12,726 | ||
| D | 7,515 | 5,266 | 12,810 | ||
| D | 5,588 | 1,039 | 8,339 | ||
| D | 4,624 | 833 | 5,459 | ||
| D | 4,842 | 489 | 5,345 | ||
| D | 4,141 | 254 | 4,408 | ||
| D | 5,429 | 245 | 5,738 | ||
| D | 3,128 | 1,612 | 4,748 | ||
| D | 1,967 | 450 | 2,673 | ||
| D | 1,967 | 493 | 2,520 | ||
| D | 1,691 | 273 | 1,964 | ||
| D | 1,090 | 152 | 1,483 | ||
| D | 1,407 | 535 | 1,965 | ||
| D | 955 | 297 | 1,260 | ||
| D | 1,238 | 336 | 1,596 | ||
| D | 1,749 | 148 | 1,957 | ||
| D | 1,431 | 106 | 1,694 | ||
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Demographics
Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
English
9.7%
American
8.6%
German
4.6%
Irish
4.5%
French
1.0%
Scottish
0.7%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
Age distribution by sex
Median age: 41.4 in this county, 39.1 nationally
Male
Age
Female
85+
75–84
65–74
55–64
45–54
35–44
25–34
18–24
5–17
<5
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
Median household income
2024 inflation-adjusted dollars
$55,259
El Dorado, AR ranks near the middle of US counties.
El Dorado, AR$55,259
Arkansas$60,773
United States$80,734
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
Poverty rate
All persons below federal poverty line
19.5%
Children face moderate poverty.
Children under 1824.5%
Working age (18–64)18.3%
Seniors (65+)15.1%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
95.8%
speak English only
Spanish3.4%
Asian & Pacific Islander0.7%
Other Indo-European0.2%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 17.8% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.
El Dorado anchors a corner of south Arkansas where petroleum refining and chemical manufacturing built the regional economy, producing an electorate that has trended heavily toward Republican candidates in federal races even as local contests remain more competitive.
The unraveling was not abrupt. The Democratic margin in El Dorado, AR peaked at ninety points in 1932; it narrowed steadily over the late twentieth century. The 2000 election delivered the metro to the Republican party for the first time in many years, by a margin of fifteen points. By 2024, the margin had settled into deep Republican territory.
The economic and demographic context is severe. The median household income of $55,259 is among the lowest at this geographic scale; 20% of residents live below the federal poverty line.
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
El Dorado, AR, Arkansas — The Long Memory. Akashic Intelligence — The Long Memory. https://tiers.akashic.app/cbsa/20980/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0
Frequently asked questions
How did El Dorado, AR, Arkansas vote in 2024?
In 2024, El Dorado, AR, Arkansas voted Republican by 33.5 points (R+34), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 15,448 votes cast, 5,019 went Democratic and 10,196 went Republican.
What is El Dorado, AR, Arkansas's political archetype?
Akashic classifies El Dorado, AR, Arkansas as a "Realigner" metro based on its long-arc presidential voting pattern. Across 38 elections in the dataset, the metro has voted Democratic 21 times, Republican 12 times, and other 1 times.
When did El Dorado, AR, Arkansas last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which El Dorado, AR, Arkansas voted Democratic was 1996.
How many people live in El Dorado, AR, Arkansas?
El Dorado, AR, Arkansas has a population of 37,900 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in El Dorado, AR, Arkansas?
Median household income in El Dorado, AR, Arkansas is $55,259 — below the national median of $80,734. The Arkansas state median is $60,773.
What is the political history of El Dorado, AR, Arkansas?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in El Dorado, AR, Arkansas from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 21 went Democratic and 12 went Republican. The metro's archetype — "Realigner" — captures the overall trajectory of that voting record.