El Paso, TX, Texas: Populist metro. In 2024, voted D+15%. Democratic peak: D+74 in 1936.
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- D+15MIT Election Lab
- Political archetype
- PopulistAkashic typology
- Population
- 874,1822024 5-year
- Median household income
- $59,7622024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 29.6%2024 5-year
- Black
- 3.4%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 82.6%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+74 in 1936MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+21 in 1972MIT Election Lab
Constituent county margins for El Paso, TX, TXOne cell per constituent county, colored by 2024 presidential margin from deep red (Republican) through neutral to deep blue (Democratic), ordered bluest first.
R+60D+60
One cell per constituent county. Ordered by 2024 D-vs-R margin (bluest first). Hover for county-level numbers.
38 presidential elections
| Year | Won | Margin | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D | 143,431 | 105,883 | 253,043 | ||
| D | 178,497 | 85,110 | 268,380 | ||
| D | 148,167 | 56,015 | 216,793 | ||
| D | 113,331 | 57,621 | 173,566 | ||
| D | 122,451 | 62,241 | 186,131 | ||
| D | 95,444 | 73,838 | 170,459 | ||
| D | 84,228 | 58,088 | 145,964 | ||
| D | 84,391 | 43,622 | 135,608 | ||
| D | 68,079 | 47,549 | 136,032 | ||
| D | 63,028 | 55,978 | 119,597 | ||
| R | 52,279 | 66,671 | 119,353 | ||
| R | 40,476 | 53,747 | 100,410 | ||
| D | 45,956 | 43,092 | 90,346 | ||
| R | 32,685 | 50,448 | 83,817 | ||
| D | 32,947 | 30,632 | 68,823 | ||
| D | 35,488 | 20,911 | 56,592 | ||
| D | 26,436 | 21,818 | 48,362 | ||
| R | 15,525 | 18,848 | 34,574 | ||
| R | 14,857 | 20,360 | 35,269 | ||
| D | 15,778 | 5,593 | 21,946 | ||
| D | 11,759 | 2,107 | 16,114 | ||
| D | 12,800 | 3,818 | 16,646 | ||
| D | 12,283 | 1,797 | 14,197 | ||
| D | 11,677 | 2,872 | 14,765 | ||
| D | 6,231 | 6,173 | 12,404 | ||
| D | 7,762 | 1,254 | 9,182 | ||
| D | 4,240 | 4,107 | 8,421 | ||
| D | 3,603 | 1,770 | 5,518 | ||
| D | 2,914 | 291 | 4,159 | ||
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Demographics
Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
German
3.6%
Irish
2.2%
American
2.2%
English
2.0%
Italian
1.1%
French
0.5%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
Age distribution by sex
Median age: 33.6 in this county, 39.1 nationally
Male
Age
Female
85+
75–84
65–74
55–64
45–54
35–44
25–34
18–24
5–17
<5
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
Median household income
2024 inflation-adjusted dollars
$59,762
El Paso, TX ranks near the middle of US counties.
El Paso, TX$59,762
Texas$78,476
United States$80,734
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
Poverty rate
All persons below federal poverty line
18.7%
Children face moderate poverty.
Children under 1824.6%
Working age (18–64)15.9%
Seniors (65+)26.4%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
32.0%
speak English only
Spanish66.1%
Other Indo-European0.9%
Asian & Pacific Islander0.8%
Other languages0.2%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 37.6% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.
El Paso's population is roughly 80% Hispanic, making it one of the most demographically distinct large metros in Texas. Turnout fluctuations here draw outsized attention from statewide campaigns tracking Latino voter mobilization.
The Democratic margin in El Paso, TX peaked at seventy-four points in 1936. By 1988 the metro had flipped, voting Republican for the first time in many years. The 2024 margin was fifteen points, the most Democratic-leaning result in the metro's modern history.
The economic context is the key. The median household income of $59,762 sits well below state and national norms, and 19% of residents live below the federal poverty line. The shift here is part of a broader realignment of working-class places across the country.
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
El Paso, TX, Texas — The Long Memory. Akashic Intelligence — The Long Memory. https://tiers.akashic.app/cbsa/21340/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0
Frequently asked questions
How did El Paso, TX, Texas vote in 2024?
In 2024, El Paso, TX, Texas voted Democratic by 14.8 points (D+15), carried by the Democratic candidate. Out of 253,043 votes cast, 143,431 went Democratic and 105,883 went Republican.
What is El Paso, TX, Texas's political archetype?
Akashic classifies El Paso, TX, Texas as a "Populist" metro based on its long-arc presidential voting pattern. Across 38 elections in the dataset, the metro has voted Democratic 24 times, Republican 5 times, and other 0 times.
When did El Paso, TX, Texas last vote Republican?
The most recent presidential election in which El Paso, TX, Texas voted Republican was 1984.
How many people live in El Paso, TX, Texas?
El Paso, TX, Texas has a population of 874,182 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in El Paso, TX, Texas?
Median household income in El Paso, TX, Texas is $59,762 — below the national median of $80,734. The Texas state median is $78,476.
What is the political history of El Paso, TX, Texas?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in El Paso, TX, Texas from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 24 went Democratic and 5 went Republican. The metro's archetype — "Populist" — captures the overall trajectory of that voting record.