Elizabethtown, KY, Kentucky: Populist metro. In 2024, voted R+33%. Democratic peak: D+42 in 1912.
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+33MIT Election Lab
- Political archetype
- PopulistAkashic typology
- Population
- 127,0492024 5-year
- Median household income
- $67,5782024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 77.7%2024 5-year
- Black
- 10.1%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 6.1%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+42 in 1912MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+37 in 1984MIT Election Lab
| Year | Won | Margin | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R | 17,961 | 36,445 | 55,341 | ||
| R | 19,605 | 35,517 | 56,242 | ||
| R | 15,222 | 31,770 | 49,523 | ||
| R | 16,947 | 27,268 | 44,982 | ||
| R | 17,563 | 28,049 | 46,168 | ||
| R | 13,330 | 28,738 | 42,409 | ||
| R | 12,822 | 22,348 | 35,869 | ||
| R | 13,071 | 14,782 | 31,275 | ||
| R | 11,607 | 14,453 | 30,888 | ||
| R | 9,084 | 15,830 | 25,022 | ||
| R | 7,843 | 17,166 | 25,171 | ||
| R | 10,522 | 11,779 | 22,987 | ||
| D | 10,184 | 8,374 | 18,840 | ||
| R | 5,543 | 11,189 | 17,236 | ||
| R | 5,721 | 7,191 | 16,634 | ||
| D | 10,202 | 4,939 | 15,221 | ||
| R | 6,854 | 8,859 | 15,713 | ||
| R | 6,184 | 7,437 | 13,689 | ||
| D | 6,760 | 5,615 | 12,420 | ||
| D | 5,854 | 3,574 | 9,653 | ||
| D | 6,501 | 4,381 | 10,935 | ||
| D | 7,181 | 3,660 | 10,871 | ||
| D | 6,785 | 3,435 | 10,281 | ||
| D | 8,697 | 4,036 | 12,819 | ||
| R | 4,937 | 6,516 | 11,473 | ||
| D | 6,289 | 4,107 | 10,592 | ||
| D | 7,743 | 5,172 | 12,993 | ||
| D | 4,622 | 2,823 | 7,486 | ||
| D | 3,921 | 1,022 | 6,863 | ||
| D | 4,347 | 2,942 | 7,375 | ||
| D | 4,015 | 2,534 | 6,738 | ||
| D | 4,479 | 3,089 | 7,677 | ||
| D | 4,172 | 2,840 | 7,175 | ||
| D | 2,706 | 1,643 | 5,212 | ||
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Demographics
Anchored by Fort Knox and a manufacturing base along the I-65 corridor, the Elizabethtown metro has delivered Republican presidential margins above 30 points in recent cycles, reflecting the heavily white, working-class composition of Hardin and surrounding counties.
The Democratic margin in Elizabethtown, KY peaked at forty-two points in 1912. By 1980 the metro had flipped, voting Republican for the first time in many years. The 2024 margin was thirty-three points, the most Republican-leaning result in the metro's modern history.
The economic context is the key. The median household income of $67,578 sits well below state and national norms, and 14% of residents live below the federal poverty line. The shift here is part of a broader realignment of working-class places across the country.
Elizabethtown, KY, Kentucky — The Long Memory. Akashic Intelligence — The Long Memory. https://tiers.akashic.app/cbsa/21060/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.