akashic
1876–2024
Elizabethtown, KY·Kentucky

Elizabethtown, KY peaked at D+42; 2024 delivered R+33.

A mid-size Bluegrass corridor city with a consistently wide Republican margin

18762024·38 elections
KY
Latest
R+33
in 2024
Archetype
Populist
since the recent cycles
Population
127,049
2024 ACS

Elizabethtown, KY, Kentucky: Populist metro. In 2024, voted R+33%. Democratic peak: D+42 in 1912.

Key facts

2024 presidential margin
R+33MIT Election Lab
Political archetype
PopulistAkashic typology
Population
127,0492024 5-year
Median household income
$67,5782024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic)
77.7%2024 5-year
Black
10.1%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino
6.1%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin
D+42 in 1912MIT Election Lab
Peak Republican margin
R+37 in 1984MIT Election Lab
2 counties · 0 D · 2 R
R+60
D+60
One cell per constituent county. Ordered by 2024 D-vs-R margin (bluest first). Hover for county-level numbers.
Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024).
YearWonMarginDemocraticRepublicanTotal
R
−33.4%
17,96136,44555,341
R
−28.3%
19,60535,51756,242
R
−33.4%
15,22231,77049,523
R
−22.9%
16,94727,26844,982
R
−22.7%
17,56328,04946,168
R
−36.3%
13,33028,73842,409
R
−26.6%
12,82222,34835,869
R
−5.5%
13,07114,78231,275
R
−9.2%
11,60714,45330,888
R
−27.0%
9,08415,83025,022
R
−37.0%
7,84317,16625,171
R
−5.5%
10,52211,77922,987
D
+9.6%
10,1848,37418,840
R
−32.8%
5,54311,18917,236
R
−8.8%
5,7217,19116,634
D
+34.6%
10,2024,93915,221
R
−12.8%
6,8548,85915,713
R
−9.2%
6,1847,43713,689
D
+9.2%
6,7605,61512,420
D
+23.6%
5,8543,5749,653
D
+19.4%
6,5014,38110,935
D
+32.4%
7,1813,66010,871
D
+32.6%
6,7853,43510,281
D
+36.4%
8,6974,03612,819
R
−13.8%
4,9376,51611,473
D
+20.6%
6,2894,10710,592
D
+19.8%
7,7435,17212,993
D
+24.0%
4,6222,8237,486
D
+42.2%
3,9211,0226,863
D
+19.1%
4,3472,9427,375
D
+22.0%
4,0152,5346,738
D
+18.1%
4,4793,0897,677
D
+18.6%
4,1722,8407,175
D
+20.4%
2,7061,6435,212
No data
No data
No data
No data

Demographics

Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
English
13.7%
German
12.4%
Irish
10.8%
American
9.7%
Italian
2.6%
Scottish
2.0%
Polish
1.1%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
93.6%
speak English only
Spanish3.2%
Other Indo-European1.8%
Asian & Pacific Islander1.2%
Other languages0.1%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Baptist
20.7%
Other Christian
11.4%
Catholic & Orthodox
5.3%
Methodist
4.1%
Pentecostal & Holiness
1.9%
Mainline Protestant
0.8%
Non-Christian
0.2%
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 55.6% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.

Anchored by Fort Knox and a manufacturing base along the I-65 corridor, the Elizabethtown metro has delivered Republican presidential margins above 30 points in recent cycles, reflecting the heavily white, working-class composition of Hardin and surrounding counties.

The Democratic margin in Elizabethtown, KY peaked at forty-two points in 1912. By 1980 the metro had flipped, voting Republican for the first time in many years. The 2024 margin was thirty-three points, the most Republican-leaning result in the metro's modern history.

The economic context is the key. The median household income of $67,578 sits well below state and national norms, and 14% of residents live below the federal poverty line. The shift here is part of a broader realignment of working-class places across the country.

Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Elizabethtown, KY, Kentucky — The Long Memory. Akashic Intelligence — The Long Memory. https://tiers.akashic.app/cbsa/21060/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0

Frequently asked questions

How did Elizabethtown, KY, Kentucky vote in 2024?
In 2024, Elizabethtown, KY, Kentucky voted Republican by 33.4 points (R+33), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 55,341 votes cast, 17,961 went Democratic and 36,445 went Republican.
What is Elizabethtown, KY, Kentucky's political archetype?
Akashic classifies Elizabethtown, KY, Kentucky as a "Populist" metro based on its long-arc presidential voting pattern. Across 38 elections in the dataset, the metro has voted Democratic 17 times, Republican 17 times, and other 0 times.
When did Elizabethtown, KY, Kentucky last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Elizabethtown, KY, Kentucky voted Democratic was 1976.
How many people live in Elizabethtown, KY, Kentucky?
Elizabethtown, KY, Kentucky has a population of 127,049 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Elizabethtown, KY, Kentucky?
Median household income in Elizabethtown, KY, Kentucky is $67,578 — below the national median of $80,734. The Kentucky state median is $63,726.
What is the political history of Elizabethtown, KY, Kentucky?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Elizabethtown, KY, Kentucky from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 17 went Democratic and 17 went Republican. The metro's archetype — "Populist" — captures the overall trajectory of that voting record.