Elkhart-Goshen, IN, Indiana: Republican loyalist metro. In 2024, voted R+32%. Republican peak: R+50 in 1928.
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+32MIT Election Lab
- Political archetype
- Republican loyalistAkashic typology
- Population
- 207,1322024 5-year
- Median household income
- $68,5612024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 73.6%2024 5-year
- Black
- 4.8%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 20.1%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+27 in 1912MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+50 in 1928MIT Election Lab
| Year | Won | Margin | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R | 23,082 | 45,652 | 70,093 | ||
| R | 26,108 | 46,972 | 74,387 | ||
| R | 20,667 | 41,810 | 66,109 | ||
| R | 24,399 | 42,378 | 68,029 | ||
| R | 31,398 | 39,396 | 71,458 | ||
| R | 17,966 | 42,967 | 61,380 | ||
| R | 16,402 | 36,756 | 54,482 | ||
| R | 16,598 | 28,770 | 50,850 | ||
| R | 14,660 | 27,920 | 52,184 | ||
| R | 14,236 | 33,793 | 48,200 | ||
| R | 13,240 | 34,621 | 48,097 | ||
| R | 14,883 | 30,081 | 48,994 | ||
| R | 17,581 | 27,291 | 45,429 | ||
| R | 12,659 | 31,009 | 43,941 | ||
| R | 14,222 | 24,484 | 42,289 | ||
| D | 21,679 | 19,870 | 41,914 | ||
| R | 16,264 | 28,056 | 44,693 | ||
| R | 12,363 | 28,088 | 40,677 | ||
| R | 12,002 | 25,277 | 38,108 | ||
| R | 13,703 | 18,999 | 33,517 | ||
| R | 12,991 | 20,659 | 34,208 | ||
| R | 13,620 | 19,735 | 33,716 | ||
| R | 14,473 | 14,896 | 30,371 | ||
| D | 14,885 | 13,826 | 29,566 | ||
| R | 6,900 | 20,876 | 27,924 | ||
| R | 4,729 | 13,096 | 20,304 | ||
| R | 5,770 | 12,297 | 20,461 | ||
| R | 5,723 | 5,850 | 12,941 | ||
| O | 4,300 | 1,199 | 11,553 | ||
| R | 5,697 | 6,245 | 12,959 | ||
| R | 4,023 | 6,548 | 11,837 | ||
| R | 4,950 | 6,270 | 11,862 | ||
| R | 4,986 | 6,150 | 11,371 | ||
| R | 3,530 | 3,873 | 7,925 | ||
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Demographics
Elkhart County produces roughly 80% of North American recreational vehicles, making its manufacturing employment figures a closely watched leading indicator of consumer confidence and working-class voter sentiment across northern Indiana.
The Republican margin in Elkhart-Goshen, IN reached its widest at fifty points in 1928. The margin in 2024 was thirty-two points, in line with the metro's deep historical pattern.
Its loyalty is rooted in its place. Median household income of $68,561, a 74% non-Hispanic-white share, and a population of 207,132 together describe a metro whose political habits are deeply settled.
Elkhart-Goshen, IN, Indiana — The Long Memory. Akashic Intelligence — The Long Memory. https://tiers.akashic.app/cbsa/21140/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.