Flint, MI, Michigan: Populist metro. In 2024, voted D+4%. Republican peak: R+73 in 1924.
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- D+4MIT Election Lab
- Political archetype
- PopulistAkashic typology
- Population
- 403,3052024 5-year
- Median household income
- $62,2812024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 72.1%2024 5-year
- Black
- 19.3%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 4.3%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+39 in 1936MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+73 in 1924MIT Election Lab
| Year | Won | Margin | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D | 114,670 | 105,303 | 223,268 | ||
| D | 119,390 | 98,714 | 221,360 | ||
| D | 102,751 | 84,175 | 197,641 | ||
| D | 128,978 | 71,808 | 203,742 | ||
| D | 143,927 | 72,451 | 219,896 | ||
| D | 128,334 | 83,870 | 213,775 | ||
| D | 119,833 | 66,641 | 190,865 | ||
| D | 106,065 | 49,332 | 174,056 | ||
| D | 105,156 | 47,834 | 199,998 | ||
| D | 104,880 | 70,922 | 176,859 | ||
| R | 89,491 | 92,943 | 183,387 | ||
| D | 90,393 | 78,572 | 183,900 | ||
| D | 88,967 | 80,004 | 171,438 | ||
| R | 73,896 | 85,747 | 162,449 | ||
| D | 75,174 | 63,948 | 164,013 | ||
| D | 100,346 | 48,311 | 148,878 | ||
| R | 72,059 | 74,940 | 147,457 | ||
| R | 62,808 | 75,431 | 138,474 | ||
| R | 56,753 | 62,220 | 119,712 | ||
| D | 45,032 | 38,270 | 86,228 | ||
| D | 52,444 | 41,145 | 94,116 | ||
| D | 50,300 | 38,495 | 89,283 | ||
| D | 49,891 | 21,097 | 73,931 | ||
| D | 36,860 | 28,231 | 67,267 | ||
| R | 10,910 | 42,743 | 53,853 | ||
| R | 4,225 | 34,264 | 40,878 | ||
| R | 7,408 | 24,543 | 32,873 | ||
| R | 9,311 | 9,353 | 19,315 | ||
| O | 3,005 | 3,426 | 13,313 | ||
| R | 3,234 | 7,211 | 11,213 | ||
| R | 2,281 | 6,594 | 9,605 | ||
| R | 3,934 | 6,478 | 10,901 | ||
| R | 4,915 | 5,638 | 10,843 | ||
| R | 3,712 | 4,785 | 9,543 | ||
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Demographics
Genesee County's largest city has seen decades of population loss reshape its electorate, with union-household density and majority-Black precincts making it a bellwether for working-class Democratic coalition strength in Michigan's interior.
The Democratic margin in Flint, MI peaked at thirty-nine points in 1936. By 1988 the metro had flipped, voting Republican for the first time in many years. The 2024 margin was four points, the most Democratic-leaning result in the metro's modern history.
The economic context is the key. The median household income of $62,281 sits well below state and national norms, and 16% of residents live below the federal poverty line. The shift here is part of a broader realignment of working-class places across the country.
Flint, MI, Michigan — The Long Memory. Akashic Intelligence — The Long Memory. https://tiers.akashic.app/cbsa/22420/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.