Gainesville, TX, Texas: Realigner metro. In 2024, voted R+67%. Democratic peak: D+77 in 1932.
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+67MIT Election Lab
- Political archetype
- RealignerAkashic typology
- Population
- 43,0462024 5-year
- Median household income
- $73,9322024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 77.2%2024 5-year
- Black
- 3.2%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 20.9%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+77 in 1932MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+68 in 2012MIT Election Lab
Constituent county margins for Gainesville, TX, TXOne cell per constituent county, colored by 2024 presidential margin from deep red (Republican) through neutral to deep blue (Democratic), ordered bluest first.
R+60D+60
One cell per constituent county. Ordered by 2024 D-vs-R margin (bluest first). Hover for county-level numbers.
38 presidential elections
| Year | Won | Margin | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R | 3,310 | 16,975 | 20,487 | ||
| R | 3,210 | 15,596 | 19,025 | ||
| R | 2,352 | 13,181 | 15,955 | ||
| R | 2,246 | 11,951 | 14,351 | ||
| R | 3,051 | 11,871 | 15,032 | ||
| R | 3,142 | 11,908 | 15,107 | ||
| R | 3,153 | 10,128 | 13,469 | ||
| R | 3,782 | 7,320 | 12,297 | ||
| R | 3,105 | 5,299 | 13,084 | ||
| R | 4,217 | 7,196 | 11,452 | ||
| R | 3,278 | 8,260 | 11,564 | ||
| R | 3,842 | 6,760 | 10,802 | ||
| R | 4,483 | 4,804 | 9,329 | ||
| R | 1,702 | 6,317 | 8,070 | ||
| R | 2,711 | 3,799 | 7,922 | ||
| D | 4,083 | 3,117 | 7,211 | ||
| R | 3,168 | 3,983 | 7,176 | ||
| R | 2,272 | 4,164 | 6,473 | ||
| R | 2,657 | 4,385 | 7,050 | ||
| D | 3,241 | 1,194 | 5,026 | ||
| D | 3,270 | 919 | 4,938 | ||
| D | 4,483 | 1,358 | 5,853 | ||
| D | 3,686 | 686 | 4,392 | ||
| D | 3,775 | 470 | 4,265 | ||
| R | 1,924 | 2,262 | 4,190 | ||
| D | 3,170 | 525 | 4,086 | ||
| D | 2,170 | 1,003 | 3,388 | ||
| D | 2,273 | 353 | 2,735 | ||
| D | 1,780 | 206 | 2,347 | ||
| — | — | — | — | ||
| — | — | — | — | ||
| — | — | — | — | ||
| — | — | — | — | ||
| — | — | — | — | ||
| — | — | — | — | ||
| — | — | — | — | ||
| — | — | — | — | ||
| — | — | — | — |
Demographics
Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
German
16.3%
English
10.5%
Irish
10.0%
American
6.6%
Scottish
2.0%
Italian
1.7%
French
1.0%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
Age distribution by sex
Median age: 40.5 in this county, 39.1 nationally
Male
Age
Female
85+
75–84
65–74
55–64
45–54
35–44
25–34
18–24
5–17
<5
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
Median household income
2024 inflation-adjusted dollars
$73,932
Gainesville, TX ranks near the middle of US counties.
Gainesville, TX$73,932
Texas$78,476
United States$80,734
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
Poverty rate
All persons below federal poverty line
13.5%
Children face moderate poverty.
Children under 1824.7%
Working age (18–64)10.4%
Seniors (65+)8.1%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
85.1%
speak English only
Spanish13.7%
Other Indo-European1.0%
Asian & Pacific Islander0.2%
Other languages0.1%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 31.2% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.
Cooke County anchors this micropolitan area, where Republican margins have held above 70% in recent cycles even as the broader I-35 corridor absorbs spillover migration from the Dallas–Fort Worth metroplex.
The unraveling was not abrupt. The Democratic margin in Gainesville, TX peaked at seventy-seven points in 1932; it narrowed steadily over the late twentieth century. The 1968 election delivered the metro to the Republican party for the first time in many years, by a margin of fourteen points. By 2024, the margin had widened further.
The economic and demographic context is severe. The median household income of $73,932 is among the lowest at this geographic scale; 14% of residents live below the federal poverty line.
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Gainesville, TX, Texas — The Long Memory. Akashic Intelligence — The Long Memory. https://tiers.akashic.app/cbsa/23620/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0
Frequently asked questions
How did Gainesville, TX, Texas vote in 2024?
In 2024, Gainesville, TX, Texas voted Republican by 66.7 points (R+67), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 20,487 votes cast, 3,310 went Democratic and 16,975 went Republican.
What is Gainesville, TX, Texas's political archetype?
Akashic classifies Gainesville, TX, Texas as a "Realigner" metro based on its long-arc presidential voting pattern. Across 38 elections in the dataset, the metro has voted Democratic 10 times, Republican 19 times, and other 0 times.
When did Gainesville, TX, Texas last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Gainesville, TX, Texas voted Democratic was 1964.
How many people live in Gainesville, TX, Texas?
Gainesville, TX, Texas has a population of 43,046 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Gainesville, TX, Texas?
Median household income in Gainesville, TX, Texas is $73,932 — below the national median of $80,734. The Texas state median is $78,476.
What is the political history of Gainesville, TX, Texas?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Gainesville, TX, Texas from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 10 went Democratic and 19 went Republican. The metro's archetype — "Realigner" — captures the overall trajectory of that voting record.