Gainesville, GA, Georgia: Realigner metro. In 2024, voted R+44%. Democratic peak: D+91 in 1932.
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+44MIT Election Lab
- Political archetype
- RealignerAkashic typology
- Population
- 212,7052024 5-year
- Median household income
- $80,9012024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 63.3%2024 5-year
- Black
- 6.9%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 29.1%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+91 in 1932MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+63 in 1972MIT Election Lab
Constituent county margins for Gainesville, GA, GAOne cell per constituent county, colored by 2024 presidential margin from deep red (Republican) through neutral to deep blue (Democratic), ordered bluest first.
R+60D+60
One cell per constituent county. Ordered by 2024 D-vs-R margin (bluest first). Hover for county-level numbers.
38 presidential elections
| Year | Won | Margin | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R | 28,347 | 72,991 | 102,510 | ||
| R | 25,031 | 64,170 | 90,523 | ||
| R | 16,180 | 51,733 | 71,142 | ||
| R | 12,999 | 47,481 | 61,512 | ||
| R | 14,457 | 44,962 | 59,928 | ||
| R | 10,514 | 38,883 | 49,792 | ||
| R | 10,259 | 26,841 | 38,150 | ||
| R | 10,362 | 19,280 | 32,219 | ||
| R | 11,214 | 16,108 | 32,433 | ||
| R | 7,782 | 17,415 | 25,344 | ||
| R | 7,421 | 15,076 | 22,497 | ||
| D | 12,124 | 7,760 | 20,521 | ||
| D | 12,804 | 5,093 | 17,897 | ||
| R | 2,440 | 10,686 | 13,126 | ||
| O | 3,174 | 4,923 | 13,643 | ||
| D | 8,003 | 4,296 | 12,310 | ||
| D | 6,303 | 2,903 | 9,206 | ||
| D | 5,989 | 2,752 | 8,741 | ||
| D | 6,121 | 1,845 | 7,966 | ||
| D | 3,093 | 606 | 4,159 | ||
| D | 3,066 | 796 | 3,863 | ||
| D | 2,943 | 513 | 3,482 | ||
| D | 2,731 | 444 | 3,181 | ||
| D | 2,649 | 120 | 2,780 | ||
| R | 1,523 | 1,573 | 3,096 | ||
| D | 1,398 | 290 | 1,863 | ||
| D | 1,475 | 852 | 2,327 | ||
| D | 1,662 | 141 | 2,170 | ||
| D | 1,145 | 116 | 1,547 | ||
| D | 707 | 634 | 1,481 | ||
| D | 1,135 | 190 | 1,977 | ||
| D | 880 | 262 | 1,206 | ||
| D | 1,134 | 582 | 1,848 | ||
| D | 1,526 | 237 | 2,491 | ||
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Demographics
Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
English
12.0%
Irish
7.9%
American
7.8%
German
6.8%
Italian
2.2%
Scottish
1.7%
Polish
1.0%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
Age distribution by sex
Median age: 38.4 in this county, 39.1 nationally
Male
Age
Female
85+
75–84
65–74
55–64
45–54
35–44
25–34
18–24
5–17
<5
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
Median household income
2024 inflation-adjusted dollars
$80,901
Gainesville, GA ranks near the middle of US counties.
Gainesville, GA$80,901
Georgia$77,353
United States$80,734
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
Poverty rate
All persons below federal poverty line
11.8%
Children face moderate poverty.
Children under 1817.6%
Working age (18–64)10.1%
Seniors (65+)8.5%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
70.9%
speak English only
Spanish25.7%
Asian & Pacific Islander1.6%
Other Indo-European1.5%
Other languages0.2%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 19.9% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.
Gainesville anchors one of Georgia's most concentrated poultry-industry labor markets, and its rapidly expanding Hispanic community — now roughly 40% of Hall County — has made voter registration trends here a closely watched indicator for Georgia's shifting suburban and exurban coalitions.
The unraveling was not abrupt. The Democratic margin in Gainesville, GA peaked at ninety-one points in 1932; it narrowed steadily over the late twentieth century. The 1984 election delivered the metro to the Republican party for the first time in many years, by a margin of thirty-four points. By 2024, the margin had widened further.
The economic and demographic context is severe. The median household income of $80,901 is among the lowest at this geographic scale; 12% of residents live below the federal poverty line.
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Gainesville, GA, Georgia — The Long Memory. Akashic Intelligence — The Long Memory. https://tiers.akashic.app/cbsa/23580/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0
Frequently asked questions
How did Gainesville, GA, Georgia vote in 2024?
In 2024, Gainesville, GA, Georgia voted Republican by 43.6 points (R+44), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 102,510 votes cast, 28,347 went Democratic and 72,991 went Republican.
What is Gainesville, GA, Georgia's political archetype?
Akashic classifies Gainesville, GA, Georgia as a "Realigner" metro based on its long-arc presidential voting pattern. Across 38 elections in the dataset, the metro has voted Democratic 20 times, Republican 13 times, and other 1 times.
When did Gainesville, GA, Georgia last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Gainesville, GA, Georgia voted Democratic was 1980.
How many people live in Gainesville, GA, Georgia?
Gainesville, GA, Georgia has a population of 212,705 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Gainesville, GA, Georgia?
Median household income in Gainesville, GA, Georgia is $80,901 — above the national median of $80,734. The Georgia state median is $77,353.
What is the political history of Gainesville, GA, Georgia?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Gainesville, GA, Georgia from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 20 went Democratic and 13 went Republican. The metro's archetype — "Realigner" — captures the overall trajectory of that voting record.