Henderson, KY, Kentucky: Populist metro. In 2024, voted R+35%. Democratic peak: D+50 in 1936.
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+35MIT Election Lab
- Political archetype
- PopulistAkashic typology
- Population
- 57,1222024 5-year
- Median household income
- $59,0262024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 86.1%2024 5-year
- Black
- 7.2%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 4.2%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+50 in 1936MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+35 in 2024MIT Election Lab
| Year | Won | Margin | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R | 7,990 | 16,931 | 25,244 | ||
| R | 9,051 | 17,236 | 26,690 | ||
| R | 7,947 | 16,556 | 25,515 | ||
| R | 9,856 | 13,903 | 24,092 | ||
| R | 12,439 | 12,560 | 25,401 | ||
| R | 10,405 | 13,674 | 24,248 | ||
| D | 10,442 | 10,297 | 21,111 | ||
| D | 10,903 | 6,660 | 19,908 | ||
| D | 11,650 | 6,533 | 21,791 | ||
| D | 10,667 | 9,070 | 19,822 | ||
| R | 9,837 | 9,893 | 19,822 | ||
| D | 11,588 | 7,013 | 19,194 | ||
| D | 11,439 | 5,455 | 17,088 | ||
| R | 5,601 | 8,627 | 14,431 | ||
| D | 7,176 | 4,958 | 15,631 | ||
| D | 11,763 | 3,951 | 15,749 | ||
| D | 8,744 | 7,800 | 16,544 | ||
| D | 8,551 | 7,033 | 16,091 | ||
| D | 9,429 | 6,787 | 16,279 | ||
| D | 8,787 | 2,991 | 12,105 | ||
| D | 9,211 | 4,523 | 13,784 | ||
| D | 10,924 | 4,562 | 15,532 | ||
| D | 11,623 | 3,794 | 15,625 | ||
| D | 10,933 | 4,742 | 16,019 | ||
| R | 7,659 | 8,970 | 16,671 | ||
| R | 7,495 | 8,033 | 15,785 | ||
| D | 12,103 | 7,715 | 20,133 | ||
| D | 6,372 | 4,300 | 10,894 | ||
| D | 4,096 | 2,062 | 9,408 | ||
| D | 6,226 | 4,356 | 10,935 | ||
| D | 5,582 | 3,753 | 9,753 | ||
| D | 6,418 | 4,714 | 11,304 | ||
| D | 6,475 | 4,234 | 10,861 | ||
| D | 3,556 | 2,585 | 8,046 | ||
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Demographics
Henderson sits along the Ohio River in far western Kentucky, where decades of tobacco and manufacturing employment shaped a working-class electorate that has moved sharply toward Republican margins over the past two cycles.
The Democratic margin in Henderson, KY peaked at fifty points in 1936. By 2004 the metro had flipped, voting Republican for the first time in many years. The 2024 margin was thirty-five points, the most Republican-leaning result in the metro's modern history.
The economic context is the key. The median household income of $59,026 sits well below state and national norms, and 14% of residents live below the federal poverty line. The shift here is part of a broader realignment of working-class places across the country.
Henderson, KY, Kentucky — The Long Memory. Akashic Intelligence — The Long Memory. https://tiers.akashic.app/cbsa/25775/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.