akashic
1876–2024
Hereford, TX·Texas

Hereford, TX changed its political identity in living memory.

A feedlot economy anchors one of the Texas Panhandle's most rural metros.

18762024·38 elections
TX
Latest
R+52
in 2024
Archetype
Realigner
since the recent cycles
Population
18,460
2024 ACS

Hereford, TX, Texas: Realigner metro. In 2024, voted R+52%. Democratic peak: D+79 in 1936.

Key facts

2024 presidential margin
R+52MIT Election Lab
Political archetype
RealignerAkashic typology
Population
18,4602024 5-year
Median household income
$60,7992024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic)
40.5%2024 5-year
Black
2.6%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino
76.4%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin
D+79 in 1936MIT Election Lab
Peak Republican margin
R+57 in 2004MIT Election Lab
1 counties · 0 D · 1 R
R+60
D+60
One cell per constituent county. Ordered by 2024 D-vs-R margin (bluest first). Hover for county-level numbers.
Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024).
YearWonMarginDemocraticRepublicanTotal
R
−51.7%
1,0193,2334,286
R
−44.0%
1,2643,2944,610
R
−40.9%
1,1852,9114,216
R
−41.8%
1,2393,0424,309
R
−46.8%
1,2473,4664,744
R
−56.8%
1,1334,1395,291
R
−49.1%
1,2403,6874,984
R
−27.7%
1,6553,0515,048
R
−26.9%
1,6423,1375,559
R
−31.7%
1,9303,7445,726
R
−52.2%
1,4854,7626,283
R
−41.0%
1,6664,0735,864
R
−3.0%
2,6132,7765,435
R
−48.9%
1,2403,6905,009
R
−19.7%
1,5452,4744,713
D
+7.7%
2,0941,7933,897
R
−21.6%
1,2992,0243,349
R
−10.6%
1,3611,6853,055
R
−42.0%
1,0062,4683,483
D
+46.0%
1,4965352,089
D
+33.7%
1,1175081,805
D
+48.3%
1,2194231,647
D
+78.9%
1,2361421,387
D
+73.7%
1,3071981,505
R
−16.2%
411570981
D
+33.3%
2,1318683,791
D
+38.1%
459205666
D
+61.7%
35677452
D
+73.0%
22121274
No data
No data
No data
No data
No data
No data
No data
No data
No data

Demographics

Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
German
4.9%
American
3.7%
English
3.5%
Irish
2.1%
French
0.9%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
45.1%
speak English only
Spanish54.7%
Other Indo-European0.2%
Other languages0.1%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Catholic & Orthodox
19.9%
Baptist
19.1%
Other Christian
15.5%
Methodist
3.9%
Pentecostal & Holiness
3.9%
Mainline Protestant
0.3%
Non-Christian
0.1%
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 37.3% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.

Hereford anchors Deaf Smith County, a heavily agricultural area where the cattle-feeding industry shapes both the local labor market and a demographic mix that is majority Hispanic by population.

The unraveling was not abrupt. The Democratic margin in Hereford, TX peaked at seventy-nine points in 1936; it narrowed steadily over the late twentieth century. The 1968 election delivered the metro to the Republican party for the first time in many years, by a margin of twenty points. By 2024, the margin had widened further.

The economic and demographic context is severe. The median household income of $60,799 is among the lowest at this geographic scale; 18% of residents live below the federal poverty line.

Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Hereford, TX, Texas — The Long Memory. Akashic Intelligence — The Long Memory. https://tiers.akashic.app/cbsa/25820/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0

Frequently asked questions

How did Hereford, TX, Texas vote in 2024?
In 2024, Hereford, TX, Texas voted Republican by 51.7 points (R+52), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 4,286 votes cast, 1,019 went Democratic and 3,233 went Republican.
What is Hereford, TX, Texas's political archetype?
Akashic classifies Hereford, TX, Texas as a "Realigner" metro based on its long-arc presidential voting pattern. Across 38 elections in the dataset, the metro has voted Democratic 10 times, Republican 19 times, and other 0 times.
When did Hereford, TX, Texas last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Hereford, TX, Texas voted Democratic was 1964.
How many people live in Hereford, TX, Texas?
Hereford, TX, Texas has a population of 18,460 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Hereford, TX, Texas?
Median household income in Hereford, TX, Texas is $60,799 — below the national median of $80,734. The Texas state median is $78,476.
What is the political history of Hereford, TX, Texas?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Hereford, TX, Texas from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 10 went Democratic and 19 went Republican. The metro's archetype — "Realigner" — captures the overall trajectory of that voting record.