Hermitage, PA, Pennsylvania: Populist metro. In 2024, voted R+30%. Republican peak: R+49 in 1924.
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+30MIT Election Lab
- Political archetype
- PopulistAkashic typology
- Population
- 109,2572024 5-year
- Median household income
- $59,9762024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 88.1%2024 5-year
- Black
- 5.8%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 1.7%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+28 in 1964MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+49 in 1924MIT Election Lab
| Year | Won | Margin | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R | 20,145 | 37,761 | 58,591 | ||
| R | 21,067 | 36,143 | 57,954 | ||
| R | 18,733 | 31,544 | 52,839 | ||
| R | 24,232 | 25,925 | 51,039 | ||
| R | 26,411 | 26,565 | 53,821 | ||
| R | 24,831 | 26,311 | 51,564 | ||
| D | 23,817 | 23,132 | 48,732 | ||
| D | 23,003 | 17,213 | 45,779 | ||
| D | 23,264 | 16,081 | 49,836 | ||
| D | 24,278 | 21,301 | 45,880 | ||
| D | 24,658 | 24,211 | 49,303 | ||
| R | 19,716 | 22,372 | 46,090 | ||
| D | 25,041 | 22,469 | 48,235 | ||
| R | 18,087 | 27,961 | 47,100 | ||
| R | 22,814 | 23,131 | 49,105 | ||
| D | 32,199 | 18,153 | 50,563 | ||
| R | 24,243 | 29,109 | 53,480 | ||
| R | 19,769 | 28,785 | 48,674 | ||
| R | 20,770 | 26,424 | 47,537 | ||
| R | 16,108 | 18,916 | 35,886 | ||
| R | 16,589 | 19,606 | 36,407 | ||
| R | 16,968 | 21,058 | 38,215 | ||
| D | 20,879 | 18,493 | 40,311 | ||
| R | 10,961 | 14,057 | 26,258 | ||
| R | 8,204 | 22,599 | 31,083 | ||
| R | 3,688 | 14,639 | 22,420 | ||
| R | 4,823 | 11,575 | 19,199 | ||
| D | 6,390 | 5,866 | 13,751 | ||
| O | 4,039 | 1,873 | 12,718 | ||
| R | 5,473 | 6,497 | 13,744 | ||
| R | 3,845 | 8,574 | 14,133 | ||
| R | 4,916 | 6,950 | 12,425 | ||
| R | 5,500 | 7,262 | 13,077 | ||
| R | 4,931 | 5,874 | 11,562 | ||
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Demographics
Hermitage sits in Mercer County along the Ohio border, part of a post-industrial corridor where union heritage and economic displacement have made it a persistent bellwether for working-class voter realignment in western Pennsylvania.
The Democratic margin in Hermitage, PA peaked at twenty-eight points in 1964. By 2004 the metro had flipped, voting Republican for the first time in many years. The 2024 margin was thirty points, the most Republican-leaning result in the metro's modern history.
The economic context is the key. The median household income of $59,976 sits well below state and national norms, and 13% of residents live below the federal poverty line. The shift here is part of a broader realignment of working-class places across the country.
Hermitage, PA, Pennsylvania — The Long Memory. Akashic Intelligence — The Long Memory. https://tiers.akashic.app/cbsa/25850/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.