akashic
1876–2024
Hermitage, PA·Pennsylvania

Hermitage, PA was solidly Democratic for decades. In the last twenty years, it flipped.

Rust Belt borough where steel's legacy still shapes the ballot

18762024·38 elections
PA
Latest
R+30
in 2024
Archetype
Populist
since the recent cycles
Population
109,257
2024 ACS

Hermitage, PA, Pennsylvania: Populist metro. In 2024, voted R+30%. Republican peak: R+49 in 1924.

Key facts

2024 presidential margin
R+30MIT Election Lab
Political archetype
PopulistAkashic typology
Population
109,2572024 5-year
Median household income
$59,9762024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic)
88.1%2024 5-year
Black
5.8%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino
1.7%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin
D+28 in 1964MIT Election Lab
Peak Republican margin
R+49 in 1924MIT Election Lab
1 counties · 0 D · 1 R
R+60
D+60
One cell per constituent county. Ordered by 2024 D-vs-R margin (bluest first). Hover for county-level numbers.
Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024).
YearWonMarginDemocraticRepublicanTotal
R
−30.1%
20,14537,76158,591
R
−26.0%
21,06736,14357,954
R
−24.2%
18,73331,54452,839
R
−3.3%
24,23225,92551,039
R
−0.3%
26,41126,56553,821
R
−2.9%
24,83126,31151,564
D
+1.4%
23,81723,13248,732
D
+12.6%
23,00317,21345,779
D
+14.4%
23,26416,08149,836
D
+6.5%
24,27821,30145,880
D
+0.9%
24,65824,21149,303
R
−5.8%
19,71622,37246,090
D
+5.3%
25,04122,46948,235
R
−21.0%
18,08727,96147,100
R
−0.6%
22,81423,13149,105
D
+27.8%
32,19918,15350,563
R
−9.1%
24,24329,10953,480
R
−18.5%
19,76928,78548,674
R
−11.9%
20,77026,42447,537
R
−7.8%
16,10818,91635,886
R
−8.3%
16,58919,60636,407
R
−10.7%
16,96821,05838,215
D
+5.9%
20,87918,49340,311
R
−11.8%
10,96114,05726,258
R
−46.3%
8,20422,59931,083
R
−48.8%
3,68814,63922,420
R
−35.2%
4,82311,57519,199
D
+3.8%
6,3905,86613,751
O
+17.0%
4,0391,87312,718
R
−7.5%
5,4736,49713,744
R
−33.5%
3,8458,57414,133
R
−16.4%
4,9166,95012,425
R
−13.5%
5,5007,26213,077
R
−8.2%
4,9315,87411,562
No data
No data
No data
No data

Demographics

Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
German
22.2%
Irish
14.5%
Italian
10.8%
English
10.3%
American
6.9%
Polish
4.5%
Scottish
2.0%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
95.9%
speak English only
Other Indo-European2.8%
Spanish0.8%
Asian & Pacific Islander0.3%
Other languages0.2%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Catholic & Orthodox
13.5%
Other Christian
9.7%
Methodist
6.2%
Mainline Protestant
6.0%
Pentecostal & Holiness
2.7%
Baptist
1.6%
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 60.3% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.

Hermitage sits in Mercer County along the Ohio border, part of a post-industrial corridor where union heritage and economic displacement have made it a persistent bellwether for working-class voter realignment in western Pennsylvania.

The Democratic margin in Hermitage, PA peaked at twenty-eight points in 1964. By 2004 the metro had flipped, voting Republican for the first time in many years. The 2024 margin was thirty points, the most Republican-leaning result in the metro's modern history.

The economic context is the key. The median household income of $59,976 sits well below state and national norms, and 13% of residents live below the federal poverty line. The shift here is part of a broader realignment of working-class places across the country.

Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Hermitage, PA, Pennsylvania — The Long Memory. Akashic Intelligence — The Long Memory. https://tiers.akashic.app/cbsa/25850/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0

Frequently asked questions

How did Hermitage, PA, Pennsylvania vote in 2024?
In 2024, Hermitage, PA, Pennsylvania voted Republican by 30.1 points (R+30), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 58,591 votes cast, 20,145 went Democratic and 37,761 went Republican.
What is Hermitage, PA, Pennsylvania's political archetype?
Akashic classifies Hermitage, PA, Pennsylvania as a "Populist" metro based on its long-arc presidential voting pattern. Across 38 elections in the dataset, the metro has voted Democratic 9 times, Republican 24 times, and other 1 times.
When did Hermitage, PA, Pennsylvania last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Hermitage, PA, Pennsylvania voted Democratic was 2000.
How many people live in Hermitage, PA, Pennsylvania?
Hermitage, PA, Pennsylvania has a population of 109,257 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Hermitage, PA, Pennsylvania?
Median household income in Hermitage, PA, Pennsylvania is $59,976 — below the national median of $80,734. The Pennsylvania state median is $77,971.
What is the political history of Hermitage, PA, Pennsylvania?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Hermitage, PA, Pennsylvania from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 9 went Democratic and 24 went Republican. The metro's archetype — "Populist" — captures the overall trajectory of that voting record.