akashic
1876–2024
Congressional District 41·California

California 41st Congressional District votes the way the country votes.

18762024·38 elections
CA
Latest
R+1
in 2024
Archetype
Bellwether
since the recent cycles
Population
456,763
2024 ACS

California 41st Congressional District, California: Bellwether district. In 2024, voted R+1%. Republican peak: R+57 in 1928.

Key facts

2024 presidential margin
R+1MIT Election Lab
Political archetype
BellwetherAkashic typology
Population
456,7632024 5-year
Median household income
$93,0742024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic)
37.6%2024 5-year
Black
6.4%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino
51.3%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin
D+29 in 1912MIT Election Lab
Peak Republican margin
R+57 in 1928MIT Election Lab
3 counties · 1 D · 2 R
R+60
D+60
One cell per constituent county. Ordered by 2024 D-vs-R margin (bluest first). Hover for county-level numbers.
Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024).
YearWonMarginDemocraticRepublicanTotal
R
−1.3%
83,25685,448173,320
D
+7.9%
97,36482,770183,759
D
+5.4%
68,86661,411138,469
D
+1.6%
60,64158,626122,201
D
+2.3%
59,89557,135119,286
R
−16.8%
42,16559,427102,753
R
−6.5%
37,33142,74683,136
R
−2.6%
31,06632,91572,168
D
+1.6%
30,63629,38679,293
R
−19.9%
24,53236,85361,984
R
−28.0%
18,80533,60052,927
R
−28.4%
14,12526,84044,833
R
−0.8%
17,73318,01936,591
R
−19.6%
13,19319,92534,352
R
−14.1%
11,26815,37229,056
D
+13.7%
14,84011,27226,130
R
−12.8%
9,37612,13621,612
R
−24.8%
6,28410,46116,831
R
−30.2%
4,7949,00713,941
R
−15.4%
4,2955,93610,663
R
−8.7%
3,5824,2697,916
R
−4.2%
3,6864,0147,810
D
+1.0%
3,1353,0736,285
R
−4.8%
2,3512,6015,181
R
−56.8%
8793,2434,161
R
−53.5%
2431,7732,859
R
−48.2%
5161,6812,417
R
−21.2%
8411,3732,513
O
+29.3%
54601,862
R
−32.9%
2535951,040
R
−48.5%
125486745
R
−31.3%
209429702
R
−9.8%
310380716
No data
000
No data
000
No data
000
No data
000
No data
000

Demographics

Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
German
6.6%
English
6.1%
Irish
5.3%
Italian
3.0%
American
2.7%
French
1.2%
Scottish
1.1%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
57.6%
speak English only
Spanish35.0%
Asian & Pacific Islander4.4%
Other Indo-European2.1%
Other languages1.0%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Catholic & Orthodox
27.1%
Other Christian
11.1%
Pentecostal & Holiness
2.0%
Non-Christian
1.5%
Baptist
1.3%
Mainline Protestant
0.8%
Methodist
0.3%
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 55.9% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.

California 41st Congressional District in the Pacific Coast has, for decades, voted very close to the way the country has voted. Its margins are typically narrow, and the candidate who carries California 41st Congressional District more often than not also wins the national popular vote.

The Democratic margin in California 41st Congressional District has rarely exceeded twenty-nine points in modern history; the Republican margin has rarely exceeded fifty-seven points. 2024 delivered the district to the Republican candidate by one points.

Its demographics resemble the country more than they resemble most districts. A 38% non-Hispanic-white share, a 11% poverty rate, and a median household income of $93,074 — all within the broad national range.

Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Congressional District 41, California — The Long Memory. Akashic Intelligence — The Long Memory. https://tiers.akashic.app/cd/0641/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0

Frequently asked questions

How did Congressional District 41, California vote in 2024?
In 2024, Congressional District 41, California voted Republican by 1.3 points (R+1), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 173,320 votes cast, 83,256 went Democratic and 85,448 went Republican.
What is Congressional District 41, California's political archetype?
Akashic classifies Congressional District 41, California as a "Bellwether" district based on its long-arc presidential voting pattern. Across 38 elections in the dataset, the district has voted Democratic 7 times, Republican 25 times, and other 1 times.
When did Congressional District 41, California last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Congressional District 41, California voted Democratic was 2020.
How many people live in Congressional District 41, California?
Congressional District 41, California has a population of 456,763 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Congressional District 41, California?
Median household income in Congressional District 41, California is $93,074 — above the national median of $80,734. The California state median is $99,122.
What is the political history of Congressional District 41, California?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Congressional District 41, California from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 7 went Democratic and 25 went Republican. The district's archetype — "Bellwether" — captures the overall trajectory of that voting record.