California 41st Congressional District, California: Bellwether district. In 2024, voted R+1%. Republican peak: R+57 in 1928.
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+1MIT Election Lab
- Political archetype
- BellwetherAkashic typology
- Population
- 456,7632024 5-year
- Median household income
- $93,0742024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 37.6%2024 5-year
- Black
- 6.4%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 51.3%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+29 in 1912MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+57 in 1928MIT Election Lab
| Year | Won | Margin | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R | 83,256 | 85,448 | 173,320 | ||
| D | 97,364 | 82,770 | 183,759 | ||
| D | 68,866 | 61,411 | 138,469 | ||
| D | 60,641 | 58,626 | 122,201 | ||
| D | 59,895 | 57,135 | 119,286 | ||
| R | 42,165 | 59,427 | 102,753 | ||
| R | 37,331 | 42,746 | 83,136 | ||
| R | 31,066 | 32,915 | 72,168 | ||
| D | 30,636 | 29,386 | 79,293 | ||
| R | 24,532 | 36,853 | 61,984 | ||
| R | 18,805 | 33,600 | 52,927 | ||
| R | 14,125 | 26,840 | 44,833 | ||
| R | 17,733 | 18,019 | 36,591 | ||
| R | 13,193 | 19,925 | 34,352 | ||
| R | 11,268 | 15,372 | 29,056 | ||
| D | 14,840 | 11,272 | 26,130 | ||
| R | 9,376 | 12,136 | 21,612 | ||
| R | 6,284 | 10,461 | 16,831 | ||
| R | 4,794 | 9,007 | 13,941 | ||
| R | 4,295 | 5,936 | 10,663 | ||
| R | 3,582 | 4,269 | 7,916 | ||
| R | 3,686 | 4,014 | 7,810 | ||
| D | 3,135 | 3,073 | 6,285 | ||
| R | 2,351 | 2,601 | 5,181 | ||
| R | 879 | 3,243 | 4,161 | ||
| R | 243 | 1,773 | 2,859 | ||
| R | 516 | 1,681 | 2,417 | ||
| R | 841 | 1,373 | 2,513 | ||
| O | 546 | 0 | 1,862 | ||
| R | 253 | 595 | 1,040 | ||
| R | 125 | 486 | 745 | ||
| R | 209 | 429 | 702 | ||
| R | 310 | 380 | 716 | ||
| — | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||
| — | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||
| — | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||
| — | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||
| — | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Demographics
California 41st Congressional District in the Pacific Coast has, for decades, voted very close to the way the country has voted. Its margins are typically narrow, and the candidate who carries California 41st Congressional District more often than not also wins the national popular vote.
The Democratic margin in California 41st Congressional District has rarely exceeded twenty-nine points in modern history; the Republican margin has rarely exceeded fifty-seven points. 2024 delivered the district to the Republican candidate by one points.
Its demographics resemble the country more than they resemble most districts. A 38% non-Hispanic-white share, a 11% poverty rate, and a median household income of $93,074 — all within the broad national range.
Congressional District 41, California — The Long Memory. Akashic Intelligence — The Long Memory. https://tiers.akashic.app/cd/0641/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.