Congressional District 3 Congressional District (MI) — Elections 1876–2024

Michigan 3rd Congressional District, Michigan: Bellwether district. In 2024, voted R+3%. Republican peak: R+65 in 1924.

Key facts

2024 presidential margin: R+3MIT Election Lab
Political archetype: BellwetherAkashic typology
Population: 501,0232024 5-year
Median household income: $83,1652024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic): 76.3%2024 5-year
Black: 7.6%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino: 10.7%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin: D+10 in 1964MIT Election Lab
Peak Republican margin: R+65 in 1924MIT Election Lab

2024 results by constituent county

4 counties · 1 D · 3 R

R+60

D+60

One cell per constituent county. Ordered by 2024 D-vs-R margin (bluest first). Hover for county-level numbers.

38 presidential elections

Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024).
Year	Won	Margin	Democratic	Republican	Total
2024	R	−3.2%	135,434	144,488	285,115
2020	R	−2.7%	130,738	138,005	274,117
2016	R	−10.7%	96,168	121,325	235,093
2012	R	−12.9%	94,695	123,238	221,379
2008	R	−3.5%	108,881	116,908	229,478
2004	R	−22.7%	83,586	133,399	218,976
2000	R	−24.4%	69,007	115,034	188,430
1996	R	−17.4%	62,656	91,799	167,020
1992	R	−16.5%	57,843	87,340	178,638
1988	R	−32.1%	51,119	100,029	152,140
1984	R	−39.3%	44,904	103,543	149,306
1980	R	−24.6%	49,980	87,003	150,779
1976	R	−36.2%	42,756	92,266	136,947
1972	R	−26.7%	44,884	78,651	126,461
1968	R	−19.5%	41,444	63,661	114,110
1964	D	+10.3%	60,163	48,912	109,267
1960	R	−24.8%	41,514	69,035	110,912
1956	R	−31.5%	34,362	66,177	100,946
1952	R	−25.6%	32,286	54,826	88,203
1948	R	−10.0%	29,994	36,817	68,226
1944	R	−11.7%	29,886	37,883	68,532
1940	R	−6.0%	32,070	36,174	68,730
1936	D	+9.2%	30,156	24,891	57,424
1932	R	−3.2%	26,829	28,652	57,369
1928	R	−54.8%	11,067	38,315	49,697
1924	R	−64.7%	4,991	30,550	39,517
1920	R	−48.4%	8,929	27,187	37,736
1916	D	+3.4%	12,538	11,678	25,258
1912	O	+7.0%	5,789	4,305	21,260
1908	R	−24.3%	6,947	11,798	19,955
1904	R	−51.4%	4,044	13,726	18,828
1900	R	−17.1%	8,604	12,285	21,480
1896	R	−13.5%	8,848	11,686	21,024
1892	R	−4.8%	7,693	8,551	17,961
1888	—	No data	—	—	—
1884	—	No data	—	—	—
1880	—	No data	—	—	—
1876	—	No data	—	—	—

Demographics

Race, ethnicity, and ancestry

Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.

German

17.5%

English

9.8%

Irish

8.8%

Polish

5.9%

American

3.0%

Italian

3.0%

French

2.2%

Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.

Age distribution by sex

Median age: 36.5 in this county, 39.1 nationally

Male

Age

Female

0.7%

85+

1.2%

2.0%

75–84

2.5%

4.5%

65–74

5.0%

5.9%

55–64

6.1%

5.6%

45–54

5.6%

6.6%

35–44

6.5%

7.3%

25–34

7.1%

5.1%

18–24

5.2%

8.9%

5–17

8.4%

3.1%

2.9%

Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.

Median household income

2024 inflation-adjusted dollars

$83,165

Congressional District 3 ranks near the middle of US counties.

Congressional District 3$83,165

Michigan$72,875

United States$80,734

Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.

Poverty rate

All persons below federal poverty line

10.0%

Child poverty is below the national average.

Children under 1812.1%

Working age (18–64)9.3%

Seniors (65+)9.7%

Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.

Language at home

Population aged 5 and older

89.3%

speak English only

Spanish6.3%

Other Indo-European1.7%

Asian & Pacific Islander1.7%

Other languages1.0%

Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.

Religious adherents

Adherents per capita by tradition

Catholic & Orthodox

13.1%

Mainline Protestant

12.1%

Other Christian

9.5%

Pentecostal & Holiness

2.9%

Methodist

1.6%

Baptist

1.4%

Non-Christian

1.2%

Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 58.2% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.

Michigan 3rd Congressional District in the Great Lakes has, for decades, voted very close to the way the country has voted. Its margins are typically narrow, and the candidate who carries Michigan 3rd Congressional District more often than not also wins the national popular vote.

The Democratic margin in Michigan 3rd Congressional District has rarely exceeded ten points in modern history; the Republican margin has rarely exceeded sixty-five points. 2024 delivered the district to the Republican candidate by three points.

Its demographics resemble the country more than they resemble most districts. A 76% non-Hispanic-white share, a 10% poverty rate, and a median household income of $83,165 — all within the broad national range.

Cite this page

All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.

Congressional District 3, Michigan — The Long Memory. Akashic Intelligence — The Long Memory. https://tiers.akashic.app/cd/2603/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.

License: CC BY 4.0

Frequently asked questions

How did Congressional District 3, Michigan vote in 2024?

In 2024, Congressional District 3, Michigan voted Republican by 3.2 points (R+3), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 285,115 votes cast, 135,434 went Democratic and 144,488 went Republican.

What is Congressional District 3, Michigan's political archetype?

Akashic classifies Congressional District 3, Michigan as a "Bellwether" district based on its long-arc presidential voting pattern. Across 38 elections in the dataset, the district has voted Democratic 3 times, Republican 30 times, and other 1 times.

When did Congressional District 3, Michigan last vote Democratic?

The most recent presidential election in which Congressional District 3, Michigan voted Democratic was 1964.

How many people live in Congressional District 3, Michigan?

Congressional District 3, Michigan has a population of 501,023 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.

What is the median household income in Congressional District 3, Michigan?

Median household income in Congressional District 3, Michigan is $83,165 — above the national median of $80,734. The Michigan state median is $72,875.

What is the political history of Congressional District 3, Michigan?

Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Congressional District 3, Michigan from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 3 went Democratic and 30 went Republican. The district's archetype — "Bellwether" — captures the overall trajectory of that voting record.

Michigan 3rd Congressional District votes the way the country votes.

Key facts

Demographics

Frequently asked questions