akashic
1876–2024
Congressional District 4·Michigan

Michigan 4th Congressional District delivered R+8 in 2024.

1876 — 2024·38 elections
MI
Latest
R+8
in 2024
Archetype
Bellwether
since the recent cycles
Population
593,798
2024 ACS

Michigan 4th Congressional District, Michigan: Bellwether district. In 2024, voted R+8%. Republican peak: R+60 in 1924.

Key facts

2024 presidential margin
R+8MIT Election Lab
Political archetype
BellwetherAkashic typology
Population
593,7982024 5-year
Median household income
$77,4252024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic)
80.5%2024 5-year
Black
6.0%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino
8.2%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin
D+12 in 1964MIT Election Lab
Peak Republican margin
R+60 in 1924MIT Election Lab
2024 results by constituent county
9 counties · 2 D · 7 R
R+60
D+60
One cell per constituent county. Ordered by 2024 D-vs-R margin (bluest first). Hover for county-level numbers.
38 presidential elections
Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024).
YearWonMarginDemocraticRepublicanTotal
R
−7.8%
152,687179,117337,623
R
−6.5%
148,046168,913323,043
R
−11.5%
113,927145,919278,237
R
−7.2%
122,109141,455267,543
D
+1.4%
140,142136,317281,237
R
−15.3%
111,554152,409266,551
R
−16.4%
91,513128,583226,556
R
−7.9%
85,350101,480204,492
R
−6.9%
79,31894,643220,928
R
−25.2%
69,358116,575187,178
R
−37.9%
57,537128,382187,031
R
−24.6%
63,290110,801192,864
R
−26.0%
63,722109,663176,444
R
−30.3%
55,782106,018165,545
R
−22.6%
49,67183,326148,879
D
+12.1%
77,65160,879138,858
R
−31.9%
47,28191,842139,712
R
−41.2%
37,40390,177128,105
R
−37.8%
36,93782,428120,363
R
−25.8%
31,45154,18887,996
R
−29.2%
32,63959,82493,187
R
−24.4%
36,26459,90696,737
R
−4.5%
39,42543,36586,735
R
−7.1%
36,02741,70780,129
R
−59.0%
13,80754,27468,542
R
−59.6%
8,61643,31358,236
R
−49.9%
11,60436,94350,789
R
−5.5%
17,03719,14738,028
O
+2.9%
9,3558,38033,502
R
−28.6%
10,90820,50033,508
R
−44.4%
7,89722,14432,066
R
−18.5%
13,72420,22435,091
R
−10.5%
15,99419,86036,758
R
−12.9%
11,71915,65630,599
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Demographics

Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
German
19.0%
English
11.5%
Irish
9.6%
Polish
4.8%
American
4.8%
Italian
2.8%
French
2.2%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
Age distribution by sex
Median age: 38.1 in this county, 39.1 nationally
Male
Age
Female
0.7%
85+
1.2%
2.3%
75–84
2.8%
5.1%
65–74
5.6%
6.2%
55–64
6.4%
5.7%
45–54
5.6%
6.1%
35–44
6.1%
6.3%
25–34
6.2%
5.6%
18–24
5.7%
8.6%
5–17
8.2%
2.8%
<5
2.7%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
Median household income
2024 inflation-adjusted dollars
$77,425
Congressional District 4 ranks near the middle of US counties.
Congressional District 4$77,425
Michigan$72,875
United States$80,734
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
Poverty rate
All persons below federal poverty line
11.2%
Child poverty is below the national average.
Children under 1812.5%
Working age (18–64)11.0%
Seniors (65+)9.2%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
92.0%
speak English only
Spanish4.7%
Other Indo-European1.6%
Asian & Pacific Islander1.0%
Other languages0.6%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Catholic & Orthodox
10.9%
Other Christian
10.3%
Mainline Protestant
9.4%
Pentecostal & Holiness
3.2%
Methodist
2.2%
Baptist
1.4%
Non-Christian
1.0%
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 61.7% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.

Michigan 4th Congressional District in the Great Lakes has, for decades, voted very close to the way the country has voted. Its margins are typically narrow, and the candidate who carries Michigan 4th Congressional District more often than not also wins the national popular vote.

The Democratic margin in Michigan 4th Congressional District has rarely exceeded twelve points in modern history; the Republican margin has rarely exceeded sixty points. 2024 delivered the district to the Republican candidate by eight points.

Its demographics resemble the country more than they resemble most districts. A 81% non-Hispanic-white share, a 11% poverty rate, and a median household income of $77,425 — all within the broad national range.

Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Congressional District 4, Michigan — The Long Memory. Akashic Intelligence — The Long Memory. https://tiers.akashic.app/cd/2604/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0

Frequently asked questions

How did Congressional District 4, Michigan vote in 2024?
In 2024, Congressional District 4, Michigan voted Republican by 7.8 points (R+8), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 337,623 votes cast, 152,687 went Democratic and 179,117 went Republican.
What is Congressional District 4, Michigan's political archetype?
Akashic classifies Congressional District 4, Michigan as a "Bellwether" district based on its long-arc presidential voting pattern. Across 38 elections in the dataset, the district has voted Democratic 2 times, Republican 31 times, and other 1 times.
When did Congressional District 4, Michigan last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Congressional District 4, Michigan voted Democratic was 2008.
How many people live in Congressional District 4, Michigan?
Congressional District 4, Michigan has a population of 593,798 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Congressional District 4, Michigan?
Median household income in Congressional District 4, Michigan is $77,425 — below the national median of $80,734. The Michigan state median is $72,875.
What is the political history of Congressional District 4, Michigan?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Congressional District 4, Michigan from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 2 went Democratic and 31 went Republican. The district's archetype — "Bellwether" — captures the overall trajectory of that voting record.