akashic
1876–2024
Congressional District 1·New Mexico

New Mexico 1st Congressional District delivered D+10 in 2024.

1876 — 2024·38 elections
NM
Latest
D+10
in 2024
Archetype
Bellwether
since the recent cycles
Population
426,488
2024 ACS

New Mexico 1st Congressional District, New Mexico: Bellwether district. In 2024, voted D+10%. Republican peak: R+25 in 1972.

Key facts

2024 presidential margin
D+10MIT Election Lab
Political archetype
BellwetherAkashic typology
Population
426,4882024 5-year
Median household income
$66,9782024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic)
51.1%2024 5-year
Black
2.7%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino
49.1%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin
D+22 in 1936MIT Election Lab
Peak Republican margin
R+25 in 1956MIT Election Lab
2024 results by constituent county
14 counties · 5 D · 9 R
R+60
D+60
One cell per constituent county. Ordered by 2024 D-vs-R margin (bluest first). Hover for county-level numbers.
38 presidential elections
Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024).
YearWonMarginDemocraticRepublicanTotal
D
+10.3%
105,33285,208195,220
D
+14.1%
110,73082,837198,118
D
+9.0%
82,47567,043171,148
D
+9.9%
88,87872,092169,298
D
+15.1%
101,88074,786179,034
R
−1.6%
78,62881,257161,803
R
−2.0%
59,87962,465128,050
D
+3.6%
54,92350,793115,937
D
+5.2%
54,27347,860122,907
R
−10.2%
48,15359,201108,633
R
−24.1%
40,35966,369107,856
R
−20.5%
34,43454,71498,976
R
−7.8%
41,01448,01489,873
R
−25.5%
29,91450,99382,696
R
−16.3%
25,89636,74866,690
D
+12.9%
37,43928,85966,697
R
−3.9%
29,27931,64261,148
R
−25.5%
17,83630,09148,133
R
−18.0%
18,15826,15844,406
D
+3.5%
16,93415,76932,944
R
−1.8%
13,09113,56126,675
D
+5.4%
16,61414,90031,559
D
+22.4%
17,87511,28129,373
D
+18.8%
15,15110,31125,770
R
−23.5%
7,65112,36420,040
R
−9.4%
7,8019,58118,963
R
−10.6%
7,5909,39817,136
R
−1.8%
4,9555,14410,371
D
+0.6%
2,8122,7667,583
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Demographics

Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
German
9.6%
English
9.4%
Irish
7.6%
American
4.2%
Italian
3.0%
Scottish
1.8%
French
1.6%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
Age distribution by sex
Median age: 40.3 in this county, 39.1 nationally
Male
Age
Female
0.8%
85+
1.3%
2.6%
75–84
3.1%
5.4%
65–74
6.1%
6.3%
55–64
6.6%
5.7%
45–54
5.8%
6.8%
35–44
6.6%
7.0%
25–34
6.7%
4.5%
18–24
4.2%
7.9%
5–17
7.6%
2.5%
<5
2.4%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
Median household income
2024 inflation-adjusted dollars
$66,978
Congressional District 1 ranks near the middle of US counties.
Congressional District 1$66,978
New Mexico$64,059
United States$80,734
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
Poverty rate
All persons below federal poverty line
16.0%
Children face moderate poverty.
Children under 1821.0%
Working age (18–64)15.0%
Seniors (65+)12.9%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
73.3%
speak English only
Spanish21.7%
Other languages2.2%
Asian & Pacific Islander1.5%
Other Indo-European1.4%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Catholic & Orthodox
31.2%
Other Christian
11.6%
Baptist
3.5%
Pentecostal & Holiness
2.9%
Non-Christian
2.3%
Mainline Protestant
2.0%
Methodist
1.0%
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 45.6% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.

New Mexico 1st Congressional District in the desert Southwest has, for decades, voted very close to the way the country has voted. Its margins are typically narrow, and the candidate who carries New Mexico 1st Congressional District more often than not also wins the national popular vote.

The Democratic margin in New Mexico 1st Congressional District has rarely exceeded twenty-two points in modern history; the Republican margin has rarely exceeded twenty-five points. 2024 delivered the district to the Democratic candidate by ten points.

Its demographics resemble the country more than they resemble most districts. A 51% non-Hispanic-white share, a 16% poverty rate, and a median household income of $66,978 — all within the broad national range.

Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Congressional District 1, New Mexico — The Long Memory. Akashic Intelligence — The Long Memory. https://tiers.akashic.app/cd/3501/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0

Frequently asked questions

How did Congressional District 1, New Mexico vote in 2024?
In 2024, Congressional District 1, New Mexico voted Democratic by 10.3 points (D+10), carried by the Democratic candidate. Out of 195,220 votes cast, 105,332 went Democratic and 85,208 went Republican.
What is Congressional District 1, New Mexico's political archetype?
Akashic classifies Congressional District 1, New Mexico as a "Bellwether" district based on its long-arc presidential voting pattern. Across 38 elections in the dataset, the district has voted Democratic 13 times, Republican 16 times, and other 0 times.
When did Congressional District 1, New Mexico last vote Republican?
The most recent presidential election in which Congressional District 1, New Mexico voted Republican was 2004.
How many people live in Congressional District 1, New Mexico?
Congressional District 1, New Mexico has a population of 426,488 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Congressional District 1, New Mexico?
Median household income in Congressional District 1, New Mexico is $66,978 — below the national median of $80,734. The New Mexico state median is $64,059.
What is the political history of Congressional District 1, New Mexico?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Congressional District 1, New Mexico from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 13 went Democratic and 16 went Republican. The district's archetype — "Bellwether" — captures the overall trajectory of that voting record.