New Mexico 2nd Congressional District, New Mexico: Bellwether district. In 2024, voted D+3%. Democratic peak: D+33 in 1936.
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- D+3MIT Election Lab
- Political archetype
- BellwetherAkashic typology
- Population
- 934,1702024 5-year
- Median household income
- $61,7902024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 47.5%2024 5-year
- Black
- 2.3%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 53.9%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+33 in 1936MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+25 in 1972MIT Election Lab
Constituent county margins for Congressional District 2, NMOne cell per constituent county, colored by 2024 presidential margin from deep red (Republican) through neutral to deep blue (Democratic), ordered bluest first.
R+60D+60
One cell per constituent county. Ordered by 2024 D-vs-R margin (bluest first). Hover for county-level numbers.
38 presidential elections
| Year | Won | Margin | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D | 194,522 | 183,592 | 386,937 | ||
| D | 204,243 | 173,572 | 386,460 | ||
| D | 157,328 | 137,952 | 334,287 | ||
| D | 168,355 | 146,229 | 328,285 | ||
| D | 191,516 | 150,955 | 347,260 | ||
| R | 149,753 | 164,347 | 317,677 | ||
| R | 119,365 | 126,267 | 255,594 | ||
| D | 115,403 | 103,044 | 239,015 | ||
| D | 108,497 | 94,804 | 246,763 | ||
| R | 102,768 | 122,144 | 227,728 | ||
| R | 85,627 | 136,323 | 224,289 | ||
| R | 71,302 | 107,936 | 195,515 | ||
| R | 84,789 | 92,688 | 179,098 | ||
| R | 59,885 | 102,027 | 165,978 | ||
| R | 55,321 | 71,721 | 139,245 | ||
| D | 81,599 | 56,047 | 138,322 | ||
| D | 65,044 | 61,952 | 127,463 | ||
| R | 42,811 | 57,923 | 101,195 | ||
| R | 41,621 | 49,659 | 91,662 | ||
| D | 39,386 | 26,795 | 66,804 | ||
| D | 30,533 | 23,257 | 53,846 | ||
| D | 36,061 | 25,549 | 61,679 | ||
| D | 36,274 | 18,316 | 55,062 | ||
| D | 30,901 | 16,367 | 47,940 | ||
| R | 14,914 | 20,949 | 35,916 | ||
| R | 13,894 | 16,940 | 33,894 | ||
| R | 13,797 | 17,440 | 31,543 | ||
| D | 10,338 | 9,980 | 20,844 | ||
| D | 6,258 | 4,436 | 14,111 | ||
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Demographics
Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
German
8.5%
English
8.3%
Irish
6.7%
American
4.0%
Italian
2.2%
Scottish
1.5%
French
1.3%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
Age distribution by sex
Median age: 38.1 in this county, 39.1 nationally
Male
Age
Female
85+
75–84
65–74
55–64
45–54
35–44
25–34
18–24
5–17
<5
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
Median household income
2024 inflation-adjusted dollars
$61,790
Congressional District 2 ranks near the middle of US counties.
Congressional District 2$61,790
New Mexico$64,059
United States$80,734
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
Poverty rate
All persons below federal poverty line
18.7%
Children face moderate poverty.
Children under 1824.8%
Working age (18–64)17.3%
Seniors (65+)14.4%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
66.9%
speak English only
Spanish28.4%
Other languages2.4%
Other Indo-European1.1%
Asian & Pacific Islander1.1%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 52.1% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.
New Mexico 2nd Congressional District in the desert Southwest has, for decades, voted very close to the way the country has voted. Its margins are typically narrow, and the candidate who carries New Mexico 2nd Congressional District more often than not also wins the national popular vote.
The Democratic margin in New Mexico 2nd Congressional District has rarely exceeded thirty-three points in modern history; the Republican margin has rarely exceeded twenty-five points. 2024 delivered the district to the Democratic candidate by three points.
Its demographics resemble the country more than they resemble most districts. A 48% non-Hispanic-white share, a 19% poverty rate, and a median household income of $61,790 — all within the broad national range.
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Congressional District 2, New Mexico — The Long Memory. Akashic Intelligence — The Long Memory. https://tiers.akashic.app/cd/3502/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0
Frequently asked questions
How did Congressional District 2, New Mexico vote in 2024?
In 2024, Congressional District 2, New Mexico voted Democratic by 2.8 points (D+3), carried by the Democratic candidate. Out of 386,937 votes cast, 194,522 went Democratic and 183,592 went Republican.
What is Congressional District 2, New Mexico's political archetype?
Akashic classifies Congressional District 2, New Mexico as a "Bellwether" district based on its long-arc presidential voting pattern. Across 38 elections in the dataset, the district has voted Democratic 16 times, Republican 13 times, and other 0 times.
When did Congressional District 2, New Mexico last vote Republican?
The most recent presidential election in which Congressional District 2, New Mexico voted Republican was 2004.
How many people live in Congressional District 2, New Mexico?
Congressional District 2, New Mexico has a population of 934,170 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Congressional District 2, New Mexico?
Median household income in Congressional District 2, New Mexico is $61,790 — below the national median of $80,734. The New Mexico state median is $64,059.
What is the political history of Congressional District 2, New Mexico?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Congressional District 2, New Mexico from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 16 went Democratic and 13 went Republican. The district's archetype — "Bellwether" — captures the overall trajectory of that voting record.