akashic
1876–2024
Congressional District 1·Pennsylvania

Pennsylvania 1st Congressional District votes the way the country votes.

18762024·38 elections
PA
Latest
D+5
in 2024
Archetype
Bellwether
since the recent cycles
Population
819,061
2024 ACS

Pennsylvania 1st Congressional District, Pennsylvania: Bellwether district. In 2024, voted D+5%. Republican peak: R+54 in 1928.

Key facts

2024 presidential margin
D+5MIT Election Lab
Political archetype
BellwetherAkashic typology
Population
819,0612024 5-year
Median household income
$114,5742024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic)
79.4%2024 5-year
Black
5.0%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino
6.6%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin
D+20 in 1964MIT Election Lab
Peak Republican margin
R+54 in 1928MIT Election Lab
5 counties · 3 D · 2 R
R+60
D+60
One cell per constituent county. Ordered by 2024 D-vs-R margin (bluest first). Hover for county-level numbers.
Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024).
YearWonMarginDemocraticRepublicanTotal
D
+4.6%
261,153237,917505,793
D
+8.8%
267,913224,022497,115
D
+4.9%
217,726196,523431,791
D
+3.9%
206,696191,042402,919
D
+11.1%
229,166182,969416,467
D
+4.6%
207,372189,205398,843
D
+5.3%
168,132150,710329,165
D
+4.5%
131,746118,825285,504
D
+1.8%
124,936119,436311,524
R
−21.2%
104,224161,235268,607
R
−27.4%
94,332165,996261,657
R
−23.7%
75,822131,585234,902
R
−6.4%
102,151116,378222,985
R
−27.7%
75,004134,039213,503
R
−10.1%
77,94197,660194,829
D
+19.6%
105,17070,567176,522
R
−11.8%
75,46995,752171,722
R
−26.3%
50,27686,242136,741
R
−28.0%
35,76763,70399,819
R
−29.7%
24,82946,37172,604
R
−20.0%
27,32941,14068,888
R
−13.2%
30,41139,68570,411
R
−1.9%
35,65737,02873,997
R
−25.0%
20,68135,13957,828
R
−53.6%
13,02843,62357,091
R
−46.5%
8,78126,47338,047
R
−36.3%
9,29620,48230,791
R
−13.0%
10,20113,32924,138
D
+8.0%
9,1317,23623,712
R
−15.5%
9,59313,20223,340
R
−20.1%
8,78413,32022,561
R
−13.9%
9,50912,65222,531
R
−20.2%
8,66513,24222,626
D
+0.7%
11,08910,92922,385
No data
No data
No data
No data

Demographics

Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
Irish
21.3%
German
19.7%
Italian
13.7%
English
9.8%
Polish
6.3%
American
4.5%
Scottish
1.6%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
86.3%
speak English only
Other Indo-European6.1%
Spanish4.1%
Asian & Pacific Islander2.7%
Other languages0.8%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Catholic & Orthodox
33.9%
Mainline Protestant
5.9%
Other Christian
4.9%
Non-Christian
3.1%
Methodist
1.7%
Pentecostal & Holiness
1.4%
Baptist
0.7%
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 48.4% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.

Pennsylvania 1st Congressional District in the Mid-Atlantic has, for decades, voted very close to the way the country has voted. Its margins are typically narrow, and the candidate who carries Pennsylvania 1st Congressional District more often than not also wins the national popular vote.

The Democratic margin in Pennsylvania 1st Congressional District has rarely exceeded twenty points in modern history; the Republican margin has rarely exceeded fifty-four points. 2024 delivered the district to the Democratic candidate by five points.

Its demographics resemble the country more than they resemble most districts. A 79% non-Hispanic-white share, a 6% poverty rate, and a median household income of $114,574 — all within the broad national range.

Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Congressional District 1, Pennsylvania — The Long Memory. Akashic Intelligence — The Long Memory. https://tiers.akashic.app/cd/4201/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0

Frequently asked questions

How did Congressional District 1, Pennsylvania vote in 2024?
In 2024, Congressional District 1, Pennsylvania voted Democratic by 4.6 points (D+5), carried by the Democratic candidate. Out of 505,793 votes cast, 261,153 went Democratic and 237,917 went Republican.
What is Congressional District 1, Pennsylvania's political archetype?
Akashic classifies Congressional District 1, Pennsylvania as a "Bellwether" district based on its long-arc presidential voting pattern. Across 38 elections in the dataset, the district has voted Democratic 12 times, Republican 22 times, and other 0 times.
When did Congressional District 1, Pennsylvania last vote Republican?
The most recent presidential election in which Congressional District 1, Pennsylvania voted Republican was 1988.
How many people live in Congressional District 1, Pennsylvania?
Congressional District 1, Pennsylvania has a population of 819,061 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Congressional District 1, Pennsylvania?
Median household income in Congressional District 1, Pennsylvania is $114,574 — above the national median of $80,734. The Pennsylvania state median is $77,971.
What is the political history of Congressional District 1, Pennsylvania?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Congressional District 1, Pennsylvania from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 12 went Democratic and 22 went Republican. The district's archetype — "Bellwether" — captures the overall trajectory of that voting record.