Pennsylvania 1st Congressional District, Pennsylvania: Bellwether district. In 2024, voted D+5%. Republican peak: R+54 in 1928.
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- D+5MIT Election Lab
- Political archetype
- BellwetherAkashic typology
- Population
- 819,0612024 5-year
- Median household income
- $114,5742024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 79.4%2024 5-year
- Black
- 5.0%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 6.6%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+20 in 1964MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+54 in 1928MIT Election Lab
| Year | Won | Margin | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D | 261,153 | 237,917 | 505,793 | ||
| D | 267,913 | 224,022 | 497,115 | ||
| D | 217,726 | 196,523 | 431,791 | ||
| D | 206,696 | 191,042 | 402,919 | ||
| D | 229,166 | 182,969 | 416,467 | ||
| D | 207,372 | 189,205 | 398,843 | ||
| D | 168,132 | 150,710 | 329,165 | ||
| D | 131,746 | 118,825 | 285,504 | ||
| D | 124,936 | 119,436 | 311,524 | ||
| R | 104,224 | 161,235 | 268,607 | ||
| R | 94,332 | 165,996 | 261,657 | ||
| R | 75,822 | 131,585 | 234,902 | ||
| R | 102,151 | 116,378 | 222,985 | ||
| R | 75,004 | 134,039 | 213,503 | ||
| R | 77,941 | 97,660 | 194,829 | ||
| D | 105,170 | 70,567 | 176,522 | ||
| R | 75,469 | 95,752 | 171,722 | ||
| R | 50,276 | 86,242 | 136,741 | ||
| R | 35,767 | 63,703 | 99,819 | ||
| R | 24,829 | 46,371 | 72,604 | ||
| R | 27,329 | 41,140 | 68,888 | ||
| R | 30,411 | 39,685 | 70,411 | ||
| R | 35,657 | 37,028 | 73,997 | ||
| R | 20,681 | 35,139 | 57,828 | ||
| R | 13,028 | 43,623 | 57,091 | ||
| R | 8,781 | 26,473 | 38,047 | ||
| R | 9,296 | 20,482 | 30,791 | ||
| R | 10,201 | 13,329 | 24,138 | ||
| D | 9,131 | 7,236 | 23,712 | ||
| R | 9,593 | 13,202 | 23,340 | ||
| R | 8,784 | 13,320 | 22,561 | ||
| R | 9,509 | 12,652 | 22,531 | ||
| R | 8,665 | 13,242 | 22,626 | ||
| D | 11,089 | 10,929 | 22,385 | ||
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Demographics
Pennsylvania 1st Congressional District in the Mid-Atlantic has, for decades, voted very close to the way the country has voted. Its margins are typically narrow, and the candidate who carries Pennsylvania 1st Congressional District more often than not also wins the national popular vote.
The Democratic margin in Pennsylvania 1st Congressional District has rarely exceeded twenty points in modern history; the Republican margin has rarely exceeded fifty-four points. 2024 delivered the district to the Democratic candidate by five points.
Its demographics resemble the country more than they resemble most districts. A 79% non-Hispanic-white share, a 6% poverty rate, and a median household income of $114,574 — all within the broad national range.
Congressional District 1, Pennsylvania — The Long Memory. Akashic Intelligence — The Long Memory. https://tiers.akashic.app/cd/4201/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.