Congressional District 10 Congressional District (PA) — Elections 1876–2024

Pennsylvania 10th Congressional District, Pennsylvania: Bellwether district. In 2024, voted R+7%. Republican peak: R+64 in 1928.

Key facts

2024 presidential margin: R+7MIT Election Lab
Political archetype: BellwetherAkashic typology
Population: 655,7492024 5-year
Median household income: $81,8032024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic): 73.4%2024 5-year
Black: 10.6%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino: 9.3%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin: D+15 in 1912MIT Election Lab
Peak Republican margin: R+64 in 1928MIT Election Lab

2024 results by constituent county

9 counties · 1 D · 8 R

R+60

D+60

One cell per constituent county. Ordered by 2024 D-vs-R margin (bluest first). Hover for county-level numbers.

38 presidential elections

Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024).
Year	Won	Margin	Democratic	Republican	Total
2024	R	−7.2%	160,149	185,303	350,797
2020	R	−6.0%	156,525	176,963	338,358
2016	R	−11.6%	124,080	158,716	298,368
2012	R	−8.1%	124,221	146,462	275,331
2008	R	−3.3%	135,701	144,950	283,658
2004	R	−19.0%	106,390	156,673	264,530
2000	R	−18.2%	86,145	125,769	217,953
1996	R	−10.2%	80,165	100,305	197,641
1992	R	−12.2%	73,398	99,077	209,843
1988	R	−24.2%	66,834	109,929	178,205
1984	R	−31.2%	61,393	117,742	180,549
1980	R	−25.8%	53,974	96,397	164,741
1976	R	−18.2%	66,348	96,726	166,628
1972	R	−42.0%	43,378	108,292	154,656
1968	R	−27.2%	49,136	91,327	155,186
1964	D	+9.4%	87,390	72,281	160,567
1960	R	−28.4%	60,210	108,222	169,148
1956	R	−30.3%	53,684	100,532	154,756
1952	R	−26.0%	55,112	93,936	149,534
1948	R	−19.1%	48,540	71,996	122,603
1944	R	−12.8%	53,832	69,735	124,114
1940	R	−0.1%	64,551	64,741	129,685
1936	D	+9.2%	73,823	61,293	136,503
1932	R	−13.1%	42,152	55,239	100,258
1928	R	−64.4%	17,066	80,148	97,944
1924	R	−33.5%	20,360	43,845	70,127
1920	R	−27.4%	22,050	39,750	64,627
1916	R	−0.3%	22,262	22,386	47,156
1912	O	+15.2%	16,747	9,830	45,635
1908	R	−18.8%	17,164	25,643	45,046
1904	R	−32.1%	13,567	27,217	42,553
1900	R	−16.7%	16,473	23,329	41,068
1896	R	−21.2%	15,248	23,797	40,369
1892	R	−4.0%	16,267	17,660	34,923
1888	—	No data	—	—	—
1884	—	No data	—	—	—
1880	—	No data	—	—	—
1876	—	No data	—	—	—

Demographics

Race, ethnicity, and ancestry

Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.

German

26.3%

Irish

11.7%

English

8.5%

Italian

6.5%

American

5.5%

Polish

2.8%

Scottish

1.6%

Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.

Age distribution by sex

Median age: 40.1 in this county, 39.1 nationally

Male

Age

Female

0.8%

85+

1.6%

2.4%

75–84

2.9%

5.1%

65–74

5.8%

6.4%

55–64

6.7%

6.1%

45–54

6.0%

6.5%

35–44

6.4%

6.6%

25–34

6.5%

4.3%

18–24

4.3%

8.3%

5–17

7.8%

2.9%

2.7%

Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.

Median household income

2024 inflation-adjusted dollars

$81,803

Congressional District 10 ranks near the middle of US counties.

Congressional District 10$81,803

Pennsylvania$77,971

United States$80,734

Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.

Poverty rate

All persons below federal poverty line

10.1%

Child poverty is below the national average.

Children under 1812.9%

Working age (18–64)9.2%

Seniors (65+)10.4%

Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.

Language at home

Population aged 5 and older

88.2%

speak English only

Spanish5.2%

Other Indo-European4.0%

Asian & Pacific Islander1.8%

Other languages0.9%

Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.

Religious adherents

Adherents per capita by tradition

Catholic & Orthodox

12.8%

Other Christian

9.1%

Mainline Protestant

7.4%

Methodist

5.6%

Pentecostal & Holiness

2.2%

Non-Christian

2.2%

Baptist

1.6%

Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 59.1% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.

Pennsylvania 10th Congressional District in the Mid-Atlantic has, for decades, voted very close to the way the country has voted. Its margins are typically narrow, and the candidate who carries Pennsylvania 10th Congressional District more often than not also wins the national popular vote.

The Democratic margin in Pennsylvania 10th Congressional District has rarely exceeded fifteen points in modern history; the Republican margin has rarely exceeded sixty-four points. 2024 delivered the district to the Republican candidate by seven points.

Its demographics resemble the country more than they resemble most districts. A 73% non-Hispanic-white share, a 10% poverty rate, and a median household income of $81,803 — all within the broad national range.

Cite this page

All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.

Congressional District 10, Pennsylvania — The Long Memory. Akashic Intelligence — The Long Memory. https://tiers.akashic.app/cd/4210/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.

License: CC BY 4.0

Frequently asked questions

How did Congressional District 10, Pennsylvania vote in 2024?

In 2024, Congressional District 10, Pennsylvania voted Republican by 7.2 points (R+7), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 350,797 votes cast, 160,149 went Democratic and 185,303 went Republican.

What is Congressional District 10, Pennsylvania's political archetype?

Akashic classifies Congressional District 10, Pennsylvania as a "Bellwether" district based on its long-arc presidential voting pattern. Across 38 elections in the dataset, the district has voted Democratic 2 times, Republican 31 times, and other 1 times.

When did Congressional District 10, Pennsylvania last vote Democratic?

The most recent presidential election in which Congressional District 10, Pennsylvania voted Democratic was 1964.

How many people live in Congressional District 10, Pennsylvania?

Congressional District 10, Pennsylvania has a population of 655,749 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.

What is the median household income in Congressional District 10, Pennsylvania?

Median household income in Congressional District 10, Pennsylvania is $81,803 — above the national median of $80,734. The Pennsylvania state median is $77,971.

What is the political history of Congressional District 10, Pennsylvania?

Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Congressional District 10, Pennsylvania from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 2 went Democratic and 31 went Republican. The district's archetype — "Bellwether" — captures the overall trajectory of that voting record.

Pennsylvania 10th Congressional District votes the way the country votes.

Key facts

Demographics

Frequently asked questions