Congressional District 1 Congressional District (VA) — Elections 1876–2024

Virginia 1st Congressional District, Virginia: Bellwether district. In 2024, voted R+3%. Democratic peak: D+63 in 1912.

Key facts

2024 presidential margin: R+3MIT Election Lab
Political archetype: BellwetherAkashic typology
Population: 704,7882024 5-year
Median household income: $97,4642024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic): 66.2%2024 5-year
Black: 18.6%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino: 7.5%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin: D+63 in 1912MIT Election Lab
Peak Republican margin: R+46 in 1984MIT Election Lab

2024 results by constituent county

27 counties · 8 D · 19 R

R+60

D+60

One cell per constituent county. Ordered by 2024 D-vs-R margin (bluest first). Hover for county-level numbers.

38 presidential elections

Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024).
Year	Won	Margin	Democratic	Republican	Total
2024	R	−3.3%	196,244	209,692	411,983
2020	R	−3.2%	189,579	202,327	398,980
2016	R	−9.6%	149,131	182,901	351,906
2012	R	−12.0%	148,776	189,915	343,516
2008	R	−10.3%	146,478	180,322	329,842
2004	R	−25.1%	103,353	173,132	278,382
2000	R	−24.8%	84,685	142,484	233,093
1996	R	−18.6%	73,763	111,129	200,412
1992	R	−20.4%	66,346	109,320	210,370
1988	R	−39.9%	50,377	118,345	170,489
1984	R	−45.6%	42,101	113,328	156,323
1980	R	−29.2%	42,633	80,784	130,435
1976	R	−18.0%	44,927	65,229	112,854
1972	R	−42.0%	24,837	62,010	88,403
1968	R	−24.2%	21,127	42,524	88,363
1964	D	+1.6%	39,821	38,561	78,497
1960	R	−18.5%	18,076	26,340	44,679
1956	R	−31.5%	9,914	21,148	35,689
1952	R	−19.1%	12,603	18,588	31,316
1948	D	+11.2%	8,655	6,660	17,815
1944	D	+34.6%	11,310	5,484	16,852
1940	D	+45.5%	11,836	4,404	16,325
1936	D	+49.6%	11,344	3,791	15,222
1932	D	+42.8%	9,631	3,772	13,680
1928	R	−11.9%	6,008	7,632	13,640
1924	D	+56.2%	6,755	1,812	8,802
1920	D	+44.0%	6,547	2,522	9,140
1916	D	+57.2%	5,673	1,527	7,251
1912	D	+62.9%	5,442	1,008	7,045
1908	D	+43.4%	5,455	2,135	7,647
1904	D	+37.4%	5,493	2,471	8,074
1900	D	+8.7%	10,319	8,660	19,130
1896	D	+8.9%	11,899	9,925	22,067
1892	R	−0.1%	11,201	11,230	23,371
1888	—	No data	—	—	—
1884	—	No data	—	—	—
1880	—	No data	—	—	—
1876	—	No data	—	—	—

Demographics

Race, ethnicity, and ancestry

Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.

English

16.0%

American

10.5%

German

10.5%

Irish

9.6%

Italian

4.3%

Scottish

2.1%

Polish

1.1%

Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.

Age distribution by sex

Median age: 42.2 in this county, 39.1 nationally

Male

Age

Female

0.9%

85+

1.3%

2.7%

75–84

3.4%

5.5%

65–74

6.3%

6.5%

55–64

7.2%

6.0%

45–54

6.3%

6.5%

35–44

6.5%

5.7%

25–34

5.8%

4.2%

18–24

4.1%

8.1%

5–17

7.8%

2.7%

2.6%

Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.

Median household income

2024 inflation-adjusted dollars

$97,464

Congressional District 1 ranks near the middle of US counties.

Congressional District 1$97,464

Virginia$93,170

United States$80,734

Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.

Poverty rate

All persons below federal poverty line

7.5%

Child poverty is below the national average.

Children under 189.1%

Working age (18–64)7.1%

Seniors (65+)8.0%

Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.

Language at home

Population aged 5 and older

90.0%

speak English only

Spanish4.8%

Other Indo-European2.2%

Asian & Pacific Islander2.2%

Other languages0.7%

Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.

Religious adherents

Adherents per capita by tradition

Baptist

10.9%

Catholic & Orthodox

10.6%

Other Christian

10.3%

Methodist

5.9%

Mainline Protestant

3.7%

Pentecostal & Holiness

3.2%

Non-Christian

2.3%

Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 53.0% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.

Virginia 1st Congressional District in the Mid-Atlantic and Appalachia has, for decades, voted very close to the way the country has voted. Its margins are typically narrow, and the candidate who carries Virginia 1st Congressional District more often than not also wins the national popular vote.

The Democratic margin in Virginia 1st Congressional District has rarely exceeded sixty-three points in modern history; the Republican margin has rarely exceeded forty-six points. 2024 delivered the district to the Republican candidate by three points.

Its demographics resemble the country more than they resemble most districts. A 66% non-Hispanic-white share, a 8% poverty rate, and a median household income of $97,464 — all within the broad national range.

Cite this page

All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.

Congressional District 1, Virginia — The Long Memory. Akashic Intelligence — The Long Memory. https://tiers.akashic.app/cd/5101/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.

License: CC BY 4.0

Frequently asked questions

How did Congressional District 1, Virginia vote in 2024?

In 2024, Congressional District 1, Virginia voted Republican by 3.3 points (R+3), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 411,983 votes cast, 196,244 went Democratic and 209,692 went Republican.

What is Congressional District 1, Virginia's political archetype?

Akashic classifies Congressional District 1, Virginia as a "Bellwether" district based on its long-arc presidential voting pattern. Across 38 elections in the dataset, the district has voted Democratic 14 times, Republican 20 times, and other 0 times.

When did Congressional District 1, Virginia last vote Democratic?

The most recent presidential election in which Congressional District 1, Virginia voted Democratic was 1964.

How many people live in Congressional District 1, Virginia?

Congressional District 1, Virginia has a population of 704,788 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.

What is the median household income in Congressional District 1, Virginia?

Median household income in Congressional District 1, Virginia is $97,464 — above the national median of $80,734. The Virginia state median is $93,170.

What is the political history of Congressional District 1, Virginia?

Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Congressional District 1, Virginia from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 14 went Democratic and 20 went Republican. The district's archetype — "Bellwether" — captures the overall trajectory of that voting record.

Virginia 1st Congressional District votes the way the country votes.

Key facts

Demographics

Frequently asked questions