akashic
1876–2024
Congressional District 10·Virginia

Virginia 10th Congressional District changed direction in the last decade — D+15 in 2024.

1876 — 2024·38 elections
VA
Latest
D+15
in 2024
Archetype
Recent convert
since the recent cycles
Population
997,438
2024 ACS

Virginia 10th Congressional District, Virginia: Recent convert district. In 2024, voted D+15%. Democratic peak: D+66 in 1912.

Key facts

2024 presidential margin
D+15MIT Election Lab
Political archetype
Recent convertAkashic typology
Population
997,4382024 5-year
Median household income
$154,3392024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic)
50.9%2024 5-year
Black
11.8%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino
19.9%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin
D+66 in 1912MIT Election Lab
Peak Republican margin
R+43 in 1972MIT Election Lab
2024 results by constituent county
11 counties · 6 D · 5 R
R+60
D+60
One cell per constituent county. Ordered by 2024 D-vs-R margin (bluest first). Hover for county-level numbers.
38 presidential elections
Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024).
YearWonMarginDemocraticRepublicanTotal
D
+15.3%
282,909205,615505,020
D
+23.8%
305,023186,053500,784
D
+16.8%
234,626163,154425,189
D
+8.4%
206,966174,624387,090
D
+10.5%
192,155155,423350,861
R
−8.8%
130,851156,156289,152
R
−11.4%
95,569121,062223,741
R
−9.3%
72,05688,019171,949
R
−10.5%
60,03577,506166,238
R
−32.0%
44,34286,712132,303
R
−35.1%
36,62276,534113,613
R
−25.5%
29,65752,73190,529
R
−5.2%
34,66138,59075,275
R
−42.7%
22,11056,15879,708
R
−12.1%
13,99519,07741,924
D
+19.5%
20,45113,78434,275
R
−0.8%
9,5429,70419,326
R
−10.8%
6,8708,59415,989
R
−11.1%
6,1007,62313,767
D
+7.8%
4,5653,8409,244
D
+19.6%
5,6153,7749,411
D
+38.2%
5,8472,6048,481
D
+48.0%
6,2482,1878,462
D
+60.9%
6,2381,4877,801
D
+15.0%
4,5963,3967,992
D
+63.4%
4,1558335,239
D
+37.4%
4,1561,8826,081
D
+56.0%
3,6831,0234,748
D
+65.7%
3,5336024,458
D
+54.2%
3,9311,1345,156
D
+52.1%
3,7001,1354,919
D
+26.4%
7,1694,14611,459
D
+22.7%
7,6084,76012,522
D
+29.9%
7,6404,04112,023
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Demographics

Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
German
9.9%
English
9.7%
Irish
9.1%
Italian
4.5%
American
4.4%
Polish
2.1%
Scottish
1.9%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
Age distribution by sex
Median age: 37.9 in this county, 39.1 nationally
Male
Age
Female
0.4%
85+
0.7%
1.7%
75–84
2.1%
3.4%
65–74
3.8%
6.0%
55–64
5.8%
7.4%
45–54
7.1%
7.8%
35–44
7.8%
5.9%
25–34
6.0%
4.3%
18–24
4.0%
10.0%
5–17
9.4%
3.2%
<5
3.1%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
Median household income
2024 inflation-adjusted dollars
$154,339
Congressional District 10 ranks near the middle of US counties.
Congressional District 10$154,339
Virginia$93,170
United States$80,734
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
Poverty rate
All persons below federal poverty line
5.4%
Child poverty is below the national average.
Children under 186.6%
Working age (18–64)4.9%
Seniors (65+)7.4%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
65.0%
speak English only
Spanish15.5%
Other Indo-European8.6%
Asian & Pacific Islander7.3%
Other languages3.5%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Catholic & Orthodox
15.7%
Other Christian
7.5%
Non-Christian
4.6%
Methodist
3.6%
Baptist
2.7%
Mainline Protestant
2.3%
Pentecostal & Holiness
1.5%
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 62.1% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.

Virginia 10th Congressional District in the Mid-Atlantic and Appalachia has, until recently, been a Republican district. The district's earlier pattern was unmistakable — multiple decades of consistent margins for the other party.

The 2008 election was the turning point, when the Democratic candidate carried the district by ten points. The 2024 margin was fifteen points, in line with the district's new direction.

The demographics suggest why. A population of 997,438, a 51% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $154,339 situate the district in the broader realignment patterns of recent cycles.

Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Congressional District 10, Virginia — The Long Memory. Akashic Intelligence — The Long Memory. https://tiers.akashic.app/cd/5110/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0

Frequently asked questions

How did Congressional District 10, Virginia vote in 2024?
In 2024, Congressional District 10, Virginia voted Democratic by 15.3 points (D+15), carried by the Democratic candidate. Out of 505,020 votes cast, 282,909 went Democratic and 205,615 went Republican.
What is Congressional District 10, Virginia's political archetype?
Akashic classifies Congressional District 10, Virginia as a "Recent convert" district based on its long-arc presidential voting pattern. Across 38 elections in the dataset, the district has voted Democratic 21 times, Republican 13 times, and other 0 times.
When did Congressional District 10, Virginia last vote Republican?
The most recent presidential election in which Congressional District 10, Virginia voted Republican was 2004.
How many people live in Congressional District 10, Virginia?
Congressional District 10, Virginia has a population of 997,438 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Congressional District 10, Virginia?
Median household income in Congressional District 10, Virginia is $154,339 — above the national median of $80,734. The Virginia state median is $93,170.
What is the political history of Congressional District 10, Virginia?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Congressional District 10, Virginia from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 21 went Democratic and 13 went Republican. The district's archetype — "Recent convert" — captures the overall trajectory of that voting record.