Detroit, Michigan: Bellwether market. In 2024, voted D+9%. Republican peak: R+68 in 1924.
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- D+9MIT Election Lab
- Political archetype
- BellwetherAkashic typology
- Population
- 4,942,6172024 5-year
- Median household income
- $78,2472024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 65.9%2024 5-year
- Black
- 19.8%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 5.3%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+44 in 1964MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+68 in 1924MIT Election Lab
| Year | Won | Margin | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D | 1,463,944 | 1,228,532 | 2,765,221 | ||
| D | 1,547,297 | 1,151,181 | 2,734,999 | ||
| D | 1,270,721 | 994,967 | 2,384,614 | ||
| D | 1,407,271 | 928,297 | 2,365,040 | ||
| D | 1,539,723 | 901,643 | 2,478,216 | ||
| D | 1,357,770 | 1,015,262 | 2,394,906 | ||
| D | 1,187,126 | 852,529 | 2,090,977 | ||
| D | 1,069,756 | 650,415 | 1,890,339 | ||
| D | 1,011,297 | 750,857 | 2,125,869 | ||
| R | 872,308 | 923,195 | 1,811,111 | ||
| R | 859,079 | 1,055,705 | 1,924,745 | ||
| D | 926,214 | 881,396 | 1,960,969 | ||
| D | 959,110 | 871,535 | 1,865,530 | ||
| R | 832,392 | 967,038 | 1,834,666 | ||
| D | 1,007,028 | 591,617 | 1,797,351 | ||
| D | 1,263,759 | 494,040 | 1,761,428 | ||
| D | 1,092,544 | 735,900 | 1,834,588 | ||
| D | 884,338 | 811,856 | 1,699,213 | ||
| D | 784,376 | 721,138 | 1,512,181 | ||
| D | 609,860 | 482,998 | 1,134,248 | ||
| D | 678,385 | 479,293 | 1,163,705 | ||
| D | 562,205 | 421,711 | 990,813 | ||
| D | 510,574 | 283,435 | 837,955 | ||
| D | 411,181 | 307,571 | 744,638 | ||
| R | 199,245 | 392,139 | 595,910 | ||
| R | 46,295 | 357,252 | 455,783 | ||
| R | 78,515 | 295,719 | 400,229 | ||
| R | 90,901 | 109,612 | 206,344 | ||
| O | 43,663 | 46,198 | 152,887 | ||
| R | 48,400 | 87,996 | 143,670 | ||
| R | 41,371 | 91,351 | 136,814 | ||
| R | 57,128 | 74,499 | 135,118 | ||
| R | 58,803 | 73,619 | 137,276 | ||
| D | 57,355 | 54,626 | 117,331 | ||
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Demographics
The Detroit media market spans a metro of roughly 4 million and concentrates some of the nation's highest urban Democratic margins alongside competitive suburban Oakland and Macomb counties that have swung presidential results by single digits.
The Democratic margin in Detroit has rarely exceeded forty-four points in modern history; the Republican margin has rarely exceeded sixty-eight points. 2024 delivered the market to the Democratic candidate by nine points.
Its demographics resemble the country more than they resemble most markets. A 66% non-Hispanic-white share, a 14% poverty rate, and a median household income of $78,247 — all within the broad national range.
Detroit, Michigan — The Long Memory. Akashic Intelligence — The Long Memory. https://tiers.akashic.app/dma/505/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.