Des Moines-Ames, Iowa: Populist market. In 2024, voted R+10%. Republican peak: R+44 in 1920.
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+10MIT Election Lab
- Political archetype
- PopulistAkashic typology
- Population
- 1,225,5252024 5-year
- Median household income
- $79,7522024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 82.9%2024 5-year
- Black
- 4.0%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 8.0%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+29 in 1964MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+44 in 1920MIT Election Lab
| Year | Won | Margin | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R | 283,449 | 346,757 | 641,578 | ||
| R | 297,350 | 331,580 | 642,235 | ||
| R | 248,810 | 288,284 | 585,993 | ||
| D | 296,307 | 270,807 | 578,272 | ||
| D | 291,697 | 253,932 | 555,821 | ||
| R | 260,874 | 272,982 | 538,338 | ||
| R | 225,275 | 230,913 | 469,349 | ||
| D | 222,559 | 172,677 | 433,892 | ||
| D | 209,156 | 176,979 | 466,907 | ||
| D | 242,952 | 176,446 | 422,476 | ||
| R | 220,101 | 231,063 | 454,872 | ||
| R | 180,609 | 223,776 | 453,486 | ||
| D | 223,371 | 204,170 | 437,242 | ||
| R | 175,261 | 238,822 | 422,977 | ||
| R | 165,279 | 201,267 | 392,409 | ||
| D | 254,979 | 140,041 | 396,200 | ||
| R | 187,502 | 242,632 | 430,471 | ||
| R | 181,829 | 242,777 | 425,976 | ||
| R | 162,023 | 270,995 | 437,266 | ||
| D | 182,169 | 160,774 | 352,851 | ||
| D | 181,839 | 177,402 | 361,605 | ||
| D | 211,317 | 203,641 | 416,846 | ||
| D | 212,302 | 170,115 | 391,129 | ||
| D | 183,298 | 140,773 | 335,159 | ||
| R | 115,667 | 216,841 | 335,465 | ||
| R | 45,664 | 187,456 | 331,944 | ||
| R | 81,794 | 219,105 | 310,398 | ||
| R | 75,781 | 94,821 | 176,220 | ||
| O | 56,830 | 43,568 | 168,267 | ||
| R | 62,974 | 99,428 | 170,484 | ||
| R | 43,102 | 111,968 | 167,762 | ||
| R | 67,245 | 112,508 | 184,958 | ||
| R | 76,080 | 101,923 | 180,550 | ||
| R | 57,636 | 79,896 | 149,832 | ||
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Demographics
The Des Moines–Ames market anchors Iowa's political center of gravity, blending a state capital, a Big Ten university town, and fast-growing Polk County suburbs that have trended competitive in recent presidential cycles.
The Democratic margin in Des Moines-Ames peaked at twenty-nine points in 1964. By 2016 the market had flipped, voting Republican for the first time in many years. The 2024 margin was ten points, the most Republican-leaning result in the market's modern history.
The economic context is the key. The median household income of $79,752 sits well below state and national norms, and 10% of residents live below the federal poverty line. The shift here is part of a broader realignment of working-class places across the country.
Des Moines-Ames, Iowa — The Long Memory. Akashic Intelligence — The Long Memory. https://tiers.akashic.app/dma/679/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.