Denver, Colorado: Bellwether market. In 2024, voted D+16%. Democratic peak: D+69 in 1896.
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- D+16MIT Election Lab
- Political archetype
- BellwetherAkashic typology
- Population
- 4,705,3622024 5-year
- Median household income
- $101,1832024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 70.2%2024 5-year
- Black
- 4.0%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 22.4%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+69 in 1896MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+36 in 1924MIT Election Lab
| Year | Won | Margin | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D | 1,448,567 | 1,048,068 | 2,566,951 | ||
| D | 1,527,962 | 1,037,000 | 2,633,698 | ||
| D | 1,145,282 | 918,326 | 2,255,009 | ||
| D | 1,116,423 | 918,946 | 2,087,145 | ||
| D | 1,088,010 | 824,867 | 1,945,750 | ||
| R | 847,098 | 856,949 | 1,727,050 | ||
| R | 616,469 | 694,459 | 1,410,748 | ||
| D | 559,829 | 542,859 | 1,225,127 | ||
| D | 528,164 | 441,437 | 1,287,629 | ||
| R | 524,485 | 588,447 | 1,132,779 | ||
| R | 381,615 | 688,537 | 1,086,393 | ||
| R | 303,306 | 546,405 | 996,442 | ||
| R | 384,985 | 500,066 | 917,209 | ||
| R | 278,706 | 505,394 | 803,315 | ||
| R | 269,197 | 353,610 | 673,994 | ||
| D | 391,735 | 259,466 | 654,509 | ||
| R | 270,544 | 341,393 | 614,466 | ||
| R | 211,240 | 329,540 | 543,755 | ||
| R | 199,066 | 326,954 | 529,403 | ||
| D | 210,606 | 205,090 | 421,998 | ||
| R | 190,237 | 232,819 | 424,526 | ||
| R | 216,134 | 239,170 | 458,267 | ||
| D | 242,856 | 154,831 | 407,448 | ||
| D | 211,310 | 160,732 | 386,022 | ||
| R | 110,247 | 215,420 | 329,954 | ||
| R | 60,610 | 163,277 | 282,860 | ||
| R | 79,370 | 145,317 | 235,758 | ||
| D | 139,623 | 78,194 | 227,368 | ||
| D | 85,563 | 43,873 | 201,280 | ||
| D | 95,737 | 91,304 | 196,358 | ||
| R | 70,609 | 97,316 | 175,349 | ||
| D | 89,376 | 67,977 | 161,213 | ||
| D | 116,751 | 20,629 | 139,076 | ||
| O | 3,691 | 31,532 | 83,317 | ||
| R | 27,040 | 38,099 | 67,595 | ||
| R | 20,830 | 28,015 | 51,042 | ||
| R | 19,183 | 22,087 | 42,520 | ||
| — | — | — | — |
Demographics
The Denver DMA anchors Colorado's political center of gravity, blending a reliably Democratic urban core with fast-growing collar counties — Jefferson, Arapahoe, and Douglas — that have shifted measurably toward competitive territory over the past decade.
The Democratic margin in Denver has rarely exceeded sixty-nine points in modern history; the Republican margin has rarely exceeded thirty-six points. 2024 delivered the market to the Democratic candidate by sixteen points.
Its demographics resemble the country more than they resemble most markets. A 70% non-Hispanic-white share, a 9% poverty rate, and a median household income of $101,183 — all within the broad national range.
Denver, Colorado — The Long Memory. Akashic Intelligence — The Long Memory. https://tiers.akashic.app/dma/751/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.