akashic
1876–2024
Cleveland-Akron (Canton)·Ohio

Cleveland-Akron (Canton) peaked at D+35; 2024 delivered R+2.

Where Lake Erie's Rust Belt legacy shapes every turnout model

1876 — 2024·38 elections
OH
Latest
R+2
in 2024
Archetype
Populist
since the recent cycles
Population
3,835,364
2024 ACS

Cleveland-Akron (Canton), Ohio: Populist market. In 2024, voted R+2%. Republican peak: R+40 in 1924.

Key facts

2024 presidential margin
R+2MIT Election Lab
Political archetype
PopulistAkashic typology
Population
3,835,3642024 5-year
Median household income
$70,9252024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic)
75.5%2024 5-year
Black
13.8%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino
5.1%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin
D+35 in 1964MIT Election Lab
Peak Republican margin
R+40 in 1924MIT Election Lab
2024 results by constituent county
17 counties · 2 D · 15 R
R+60
D+60
One cell per constituent county. Ordered by 2024 D-vs-R margin (bluest first). Hover for county-level numbers.
38 presidential elections
Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024).
YearWonMarginDemocraticRepublicanTotal
R
−2.3%
912,007955,8351,894,001
D
+0.9%
972,315953,8011,952,195
D
+2.6%
888,979841,1431,848,727
D
+14.2%
1,060,723790,8461,899,060
D
+16.5%
1,113,783793,2941,941,647
D
+11.5%
1,072,142849,3221,931,043
D
+8.6%
845,381706,6521,617,435
D
+16.3%
802,836549,1871,556,760
D
+10.9%
763,258574,3061,725,948
D
+2.5%
791,623753,1271,558,703
R
−5.4%
764,971853,2851,633,275
R
−3.2%
678,216726,6721,534,545
D
+9.8%
797,100650,7621,489,735
R
−11.5%
655,646830,0621,518,799
D
+7.1%
708,904603,5691,476,805
D
+35.0%
999,672481,0921,480,764
D
+4.7%
814,868742,2751,557,143
R
−15.3%
584,562795,6891,380,251
R
−8.0%
619,900727,8281,347,728
D
+3.6%
513,135476,4381,013,730
D
+10.4%
618,249501,8521,120,101
D
+14.4%
650,754486,8671,137,621
D
+30.5%
625,875320,7821,000,943
D
+2.1%
406,795389,252829,672
R
−26.7%
291,269505,422803,081
R
−40.4%
99,101345,584609,966
R
−28.5%
190,349350,840563,089
D
+12.8%
168,679128,863311,296
O
+22.4%
105,16446,192263,061
R
−10.4%
116,142144,795274,757
R
−32.9%
73,085154,084246,181
R
−7.5%
114,759133,855254,577
R
−6.5%
111,187126,933240,814
R
−0.4%
91,17591,945192,823
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Demographics

Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
German
20.9%
Irish
12.9%
English
9.9%
Italian
8.5%
Polish
5.2%
American
4.6%
Scottish
1.5%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
Age distribution by sex
Median age: 41.4 in this county, 39.1 nationally
Male
Age
Female
0.9%
85+
1.5%
2.5%
75–84
3.3%
5.5%
65–74
6.2%
6.7%
55–64
7.1%
5.9%
45–54
6.1%
6.0%
35–44
6.1%
6.4%
25–34
6.4%
4.3%
18–24
4.1%
8.0%
5–17
7.7%
2.7%
<5
2.6%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
Median household income
2024 inflation-adjusted dollars
$70,925
Cleveland-Akron (Canton) ranks near the middle of US counties.
Cleveland-Akron (Canton)$70,925
Ohio$71,389
United States$80,734
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
Poverty rate
All persons below federal poverty line
13.0%
Children face moderate poverty.
Children under 1818.2%
Working age (18–64)11.7%
Seniors (65+)10.6%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
91.0%
speak English only
Other Indo-European4.2%
Spanish2.8%
Asian & Pacific Islander1.1%
Other languages0.8%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Catholic & Orthodox
20.9%
Other Christian
15.8%
Mainline Protestant
4.3%
Baptist
3.0%
Methodist
2.8%
Pentecostal & Holiness
2.1%
Non-Christian
1.9%
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 49.1% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.

Anchored by Cuyahoga County's dense Democratic base and offset by more competitive Summit and Stark counties, this market's internal vote split makes it one of Ohio's most closely watched swing-state bellwethers.

The Democratic margin in Cleveland-Akron (Canton) peaked at thirty-five points in 1964. By 2024 the market had flipped, voting Republican for the first time in many years. The 2024 margin was two points, the most Republican-leaning result in the market's modern history.

The economic context is the key. The median household income of $70,925 sits well below state and national norms, and 13% of residents live below the federal poverty line. The shift here is part of a broader realignment of working-class places across the country.

Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Cleveland-Akron (Canton), Ohio — The Long Memory. Akashic Intelligence — The Long Memory. https://tiers.akashic.app/dma/510/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0

Frequently asked questions

How did Cleveland-Akron (Canton), Ohio vote in 2024?
In 2024, Cleveland-Akron (Canton), Ohio voted Republican by 2.3 points (R+2), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 1,894,001 votes cast, 912,007 went Democratic and 955,835 went Republican.
What is Cleveland-Akron (Canton), Ohio's political archetype?
Akashic classifies Cleveland-Akron (Canton), Ohio as a "Populist" market based on its long-arc presidential voting pattern. Across 38 elections in the dataset, the market has voted Democratic 19 times, Republican 14 times, and other 1 times.
When did Cleveland-Akron (Canton), Ohio last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Cleveland-Akron (Canton), Ohio voted Democratic was 2020.
How many people live in Cleveland-Akron (Canton), Ohio?
Cleveland-Akron (Canton), Ohio has a population of 3,835,364 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Cleveland-Akron (Canton), Ohio?
Median household income in Cleveland-Akron (Canton), Ohio is $70,925 — below the national median of $80,734. The Ohio state median is $71,389.
What is the political history of Cleveland-Akron (Canton), Ohio?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Cleveland-Akron (Canton), Ohio from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 19 went Democratic and 14 went Republican. The market's archetype — "Populist" — captures the overall trajectory of that voting record.