Greensboro-H.Point-W.Salem, North Carolina: Populist market. In 2024, voted R+12%. Republican peak: R+43 in 1972.
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+12MIT Election Lab
- Political archetype
- PopulistAkashic typology
- Population
- 1,867,5352024 5-year
- Median household income
- $64,7402024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 63.3%2024 5-year
- Black
- 20.4%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 11.5%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+33 in 1940MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+43 in 1972MIT Election Lab
| Year | Won | Margin | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R | 425,535 | 548,948 | 988,349 | ||
| R | 423,811 | 528,214 | 965,037 | ||
| R | 358,313 | 460,874 | 850,455 | ||
| R | 366,335 | 446,447 | 822,680 | ||
| R | 370,566 | 416,441 | 794,970 | ||
| R | 271,618 | 403,094 | 677,520 | ||
| D | 345,599 | 233,005 | 583,205 | ||
| R | 205,624 | 273,165 | 518,686 | ||
| R | 217,779 | 249,017 | 544,055 | ||
| R | 174,645 | 279,883 | 456,262 | ||
| R | 160,541 | 307,587 | 468,992 | ||
| R | 177,134 | 224,445 | 415,198 | ||
| D | 196,028 | 183,921 | 382,030 | ||
| R | 94,325 | 243,433 | 344,063 | ||
| R | 95,503 | 164,505 | 359,637 | ||
| D | 163,716 | 163,496 | 327,216 | ||
| R | 138,053 | 181,814 | 319,878 | ||
| R | 106,295 | 155,146 | 261,481 | ||
| R | 133,475 | 144,383 | 277,862 | ||
| D | 88,237 | 76,111 | 178,340 | ||
| D | 104,449 | 79,094 | 183,550 | ||
| D | 125,285 | 62,525 | 187,816 | ||
| D | 120,956 | 63,744 | 184,706 | ||
| D | 96,046 | 57,610 | 155,263 | ||
| R | 49,104 | 89,948 | 139,052 | ||
| D | 57,266 | 54,208 | 112,683 | ||
| R | 54,893 | 60,872 | 115,768 | ||
| R | 29,703 | 31,577 | 61,624 | ||
| D | 25,394 | 11,471 | 51,822 | ||
| R | 23,782 | 28,866 | 53,001 | ||
| D | 22,096 | 21,979 | 44,329 | ||
| R | 25,482 | 29,421 | 55,152 | ||
| R | 27,373 | 32,442 | 60,234 | ||
| D | 23,874 | 23,074 | 52,478 | ||
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Demographics
This Triad media market spans three mid-sized cities whose collar counties have shifted measurably in statewide contests over the past decade, making suburban Guilford and Forsyth bellwethers for North Carolina's broader political realignment.
The Democratic margin in Greensboro-H.Point-W.Salem peaked at thirty-three points in 1940. By 2004 the market had flipped, voting Republican for the first time in many years. The 2024 margin was twelve points, the most Republican-leaning result in the market's modern history.
The economic context is the key. The median household income of $64,740 sits well below state and national norms, and 14% of residents live below the federal poverty line. The shift here is part of a broader realignment of working-class places across the country.
Greensboro-H.Point-W.Salem, North Carolina — The Long Memory. Akashic Intelligence — The Long Memory. https://tiers.akashic.app/dma/518/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.