akashic
1876–2024
Utica·New York

Utica peaked at D+30; 2024 delivered R+21.

Mohawk Valley anchor where manufacturing decline reshaped the electorate

18762024·38 elections
NY
Latest
R+21
in 2024
Archetype
Populist
since the recent cycles
Population
348,989
2024 ACS

Utica, New York: Populist market. In 2024, voted R+21%. Republican peak: R+43 in 1956.

Key facts

2024 presidential margin
R+21MIT Election Lab
Political archetype
PopulistAkashic typology
Population
348,9892024 5-year
Median household income
$69,6552024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic)
83.7%2024 5-year
Black
4.7%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino
5.9%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin
D+30 in 1964MIT Election Lab
Peak Republican margin
R+43 in 1956MIT Election Lab
3 counties · 0 D · 3 R
R+60
D+60
One cell per constituent county. Ordered by 2024 D-vs-R margin (bluest first). Hover for county-level numbers.
Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024).
YearWonMarginDemocraticRepublicanTotal
R
−21.4%
61,55695,500158,263
R
−16.5%
64,88791,113159,190
R
−20.4%
52,27781,444142,932
R
−4.0%
63,85869,273135,879
R
−4.6%
69,17075,901147,670
R
−11.0%
65,19081,758150,343
R
−4.3%
67,61773,969149,073
D
+7.5%
67,77956,855145,681
R
−2.2%
62,31765,999164,887
R
−7.5%
71,42883,164155,818
R
−23.4%
62,531100,981164,038
R
−8.5%
64,58477,887156,594
R
−10.9%
70,44187,813159,119
R
−38.8%
51,027116,107167,532
R
−11.7%
63,60681,610154,122
D
+30.0%
108,68558,539167,386
R
−4.7%
86,24494,693181,096
R
−42.6%
49,082121,908170,990
R
−28.1%
62,152110,936173,409
R
−5.9%
68,08376,880149,148
R
−7.6%
68,60179,832148,742
R
−10.7%
69,92086,723157,046
R
−10.2%
64,09378,940145,005
R
−10.3%
57,72171,255131,203
R
−19.3%
54,89181,692139,101
R
−34.6%
30,42966,743104,967
R
−35.9%
28,34262,73395,676
R
−7.0%
28,31632,67362,689
D
+2.7%
22,64221,04859,897
R
−12.7%
26,86135,00764,093
R
−15.4%
25,61635,33263,230
R
−17.6%
24,36335,19761,568
R
−22.5%
21,85035,11259,029
R
−3.9%
25,48627,67356,484
No data
No data
No data
No data

Demographics

Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
Irish
15.6%
Italian
15.3%
German
14.4%
English
11.2%
Polish
8.0%
American
5.6%
French
2.8%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
89.3%
speak English only
Other Indo-European4.3%
Spanish3.0%
Asian & Pacific Islander2.4%
Other languages1.1%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Catholic & Orthodox
26.9%
Other Christian
7.1%
Methodist
4.1%
Mainline Protestant
3.1%
Non-Christian
2.2%
Baptist
1.6%
Pentecostal & Holiness
0.7%
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 54.2% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.

Utica's media market stretches across a post-industrial corridor where refugee resettlement has quietly diversified formerly homogeneous communities, contributing to shifting margins in state and federal races over the past decade.

The Democratic margin in Utica peaked at thirty points in 1964. By 2000 the market had flipped, voting Republican for the first time in many years. The 2024 margin was twenty-one points, the most Republican-leaning result in the market's modern history.

The economic context is the key. The median household income of $69,655 sits well below state and national norms, and 15% of residents live below the federal poverty line. The shift here is part of a broader realignment of working-class places across the country.

Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Utica, New York — The Long Memory. Akashic Intelligence — The Long Memory. https://tiers.akashic.app/dma/526/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0

Frequently asked questions

How did Utica, New York vote in 2024?
In 2024, Utica, New York voted Republican by 21.4 points (R+21), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 158,263 votes cast, 61,556 went Democratic and 95,500 went Republican.
What is Utica, New York's political archetype?
Akashic classifies Utica, New York as a "Populist" market based on its long-arc presidential voting pattern. Across 38 elections in the dataset, the market has voted Democratic 3 times, Republican 31 times, and other 0 times.
When did Utica, New York last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Utica, New York voted Democratic was 1996.
How many people live in Utica, New York?
Utica, New York has a population of 348,989 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Utica, New York?
Median household income in Utica, New York is $69,655 — below the national median of $80,734. The New York state median is $85,974.
What is the political history of Utica, New York?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Utica, New York from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 3 went Democratic and 31 went Republican. The market's archetype — "Populist" — captures the overall trajectory of that voting record.