Utica, New York: Populist market. In 2024, voted R+21%. Republican peak: R+43 in 1956.
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+21MIT Election Lab
- Political archetype
- PopulistAkashic typology
- Population
- 348,9892024 5-year
- Median household income
- $69,6552024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 83.7%2024 5-year
- Black
- 4.7%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 5.9%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+30 in 1964MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+43 in 1956MIT Election Lab
| Year | Won | Margin | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R | 61,556 | 95,500 | 158,263 | ||
| R | 64,887 | 91,113 | 159,190 | ||
| R | 52,277 | 81,444 | 142,932 | ||
| R | 63,858 | 69,273 | 135,879 | ||
| R | 69,170 | 75,901 | 147,670 | ||
| R | 65,190 | 81,758 | 150,343 | ||
| R | 67,617 | 73,969 | 149,073 | ||
| D | 67,779 | 56,855 | 145,681 | ||
| R | 62,317 | 65,999 | 164,887 | ||
| R | 71,428 | 83,164 | 155,818 | ||
| R | 62,531 | 100,981 | 164,038 | ||
| R | 64,584 | 77,887 | 156,594 | ||
| R | 70,441 | 87,813 | 159,119 | ||
| R | 51,027 | 116,107 | 167,532 | ||
| R | 63,606 | 81,610 | 154,122 | ||
| D | 108,685 | 58,539 | 167,386 | ||
| R | 86,244 | 94,693 | 181,096 | ||
| R | 49,082 | 121,908 | 170,990 | ||
| R | 62,152 | 110,936 | 173,409 | ||
| R | 68,083 | 76,880 | 149,148 | ||
| R | 68,601 | 79,832 | 148,742 | ||
| R | 69,920 | 86,723 | 157,046 | ||
| R | 64,093 | 78,940 | 145,005 | ||
| R | 57,721 | 71,255 | 131,203 | ||
| R | 54,891 | 81,692 | 139,101 | ||
| R | 30,429 | 66,743 | 104,967 | ||
| R | 28,342 | 62,733 | 95,676 | ||
| R | 28,316 | 32,673 | 62,689 | ||
| D | 22,642 | 21,048 | 59,897 | ||
| R | 26,861 | 35,007 | 64,093 | ||
| R | 25,616 | 35,332 | 63,230 | ||
| R | 24,363 | 35,197 | 61,568 | ||
| R | 21,850 | 35,112 | 59,029 | ||
| R | 25,486 | 27,673 | 56,484 | ||
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Demographics
Utica's media market stretches across a post-industrial corridor where refugee resettlement has quietly diversified formerly homogeneous communities, contributing to shifting margins in state and federal races over the past decade.
The Democratic margin in Utica peaked at thirty points in 1964. By 2000 the market had flipped, voting Republican for the first time in many years. The 2024 margin was twenty-one points, the most Republican-leaning result in the market's modern history.
The economic context is the key. The median household income of $69,655 sits well below state and national norms, and 15% of residents live below the federal poverty line. The shift here is part of a broader realignment of working-class places across the country.
Utica, New York — The Long Memory. Akashic Intelligence — The Long Memory. https://tiers.akashic.app/dma/526/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.