Victoria, Texas: Old Confederacy market. In 2024, voted R+43%. Democratic peak: D+87 in 1932.
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+43MIT Election Lab
- Political archetype
- Old ConfederacyAkashic typology
- Population
- 91,4132024 5-year
- Median household income
- $70,8962024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 56.6%2024 5-year
- Black
- 5.9%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 48.1%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+87 in 1932MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+45 in 1972MIT Election Lab
Constituent county margins for Victoria, TXOne cell per constituent county, colored by 2024 presidential margin from deep red (Republican) through neutral to deep blue (Democratic), ordered bluest first.
R+60D+60
One cell per constituent county. Ordered by 2024 D-vs-R margin (bluest first). Hover for county-level numbers.
38 presidential elections
| Year | Won | Margin | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R | 9,998 | 25,010 | 35,305 | ||
| R | 10,380 | 23,358 | 34,226 | ||
| R | 8,866 | 21,275 | 31,324 | ||
| R | 8,802 | 19,692 | 28,853 | ||
| R | 9,832 | 19,878 | 29,931 | ||
| R | 8,553 | 20,875 | 29,602 | ||
| R | 8,176 | 18,787 | 27,408 | ||
| R | 8,238 | 14,457 | 24,119 | ||
| R | 7,604 | 13,086 | 26,037 | ||
| R | 8,923 | 15,056 | 24,253 | ||
| R | 7,037 | 18,787 | 25,945 | ||
| R | 7,382 | 13,392 | 21,269 | ||
| R | 7,326 | 9,594 | 17,028 | ||
| R | 4,226 | 11,246 | 15,498 | ||
| R | 6,042 | 6,352 | 14,730 | ||
| D | 8,141 | 4,201 | 12,367 | ||
| D | 5,779 | 4,591 | 10,397 | ||
| R | 3,280 | 5,596 | 8,904 | ||
| R | 3,128 | 4,306 | 7,438 | ||
| D | 2,435 | 1,262 | 4,042 | ||
| D | 2,331 | 936 | 3,684 | ||
| D | 2,493 | 956 | 3,451 | ||
| D | 2,081 | 352 | 2,435 | ||
| D | 2,777 | 190 | 2,972 | ||
| D | 1,710 | 663 | 2,373 | ||
| D | 1,653 | 459 | 2,418 | ||
| R | 686 | 782 | 1,879 | ||
| D | 897 | 476 | 1,414 | ||
| D | 687 | 100 | 1,010 | ||
| — | — | — | — | ||
| — | — | — | — | ||
| — | — | — | — | ||
| — | — | — | — | ||
| — | — | — | — | ||
| — | — | — | — | ||
| — | — | — | — | ||
| — | — | — | — | ||
| — | — | — | — |
Demographics
Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
German
14.7%
English
7.9%
Irish
6.2%
American
2.9%
Italian
1.5%
French
1.5%
Polish
1.2%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
Age distribution by sex
Median age: 36.7 in this county, 39.1 nationally
Male
Age
Female
85+
75–84
65–74
55–64
45–54
35–44
25–34
18–24
5–17
<5
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
Median household income
2024 inflation-adjusted dollars
$70,896
Victoria ranks near the middle of US counties.
Victoria$70,896
Texas$78,476
United States$80,734
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
Poverty rate
All persons below federal poverty line
16.2%
Children face moderate poverty.
Children under 1821.2%
Working age (18–64)14.7%
Seniors (65+)13.7%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
76.3%
speak English only
Spanish22.1%
Asian & Pacific Islander0.7%
Other Indo-European0.6%
Other languages0.3%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 43.7% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.
Victoria sits in the Gulf South and Southern Plains. For nearly a century after Reconstruction, the market voted Democratic — not because of New Deal politics, but because of the long memory of the Civil War. The Democratic party of the Solid South was the party of segregation, and in Victoria as throughout the former Confederacy, Republican identification was politically untenable until the second half of the twentieth century.
The shift began with civil rights. 1968 marked the realignment in Victoria, by a two points margin. The Republican margin reached its widest at forty-five points in 1972. The 2024 margin was forty-three points.
The political shift has tracked, in Victoria, the political shift of the South more broadly. A 57% non-Hispanic-white share, a median household income of $70,896, and a 16% poverty rate describe the demographic context.
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Victoria, Texas — The Long Memory. Akashic Intelligence — The Long Memory. https://tiers.akashic.app/dma/626/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0
Frequently asked questions
How did Victoria, Texas vote in 2024?
In 2024, Victoria, Texas voted Republican by 42.5 points (R+43), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 35,305 votes cast, 9,998 went Democratic and 25,010 went Republican.
What is Victoria, Texas's political archetype?
Akashic classifies Victoria, Texas as a "Old Confederacy" market based on its long-arc presidential voting pattern. Across 38 elections in the dataset, the market has voted Democratic 11 times, Republican 18 times, and other 0 times.
When did Victoria, Texas last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Victoria, Texas voted Democratic was 1964.
How many people live in Victoria, Texas?
Victoria, Texas has a population of 91,413 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Victoria, Texas?
Median household income in Victoria, Texas is $70,896 — below the national median of $80,734. The Texas state median is $78,476.
What is the political history of Victoria, Texas?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Victoria, Texas from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 11 went Democratic and 18 went Republican. The market's archetype — "Old Confederacy" — captures the overall trajectory of that voting record.