Waco-Temple-Bryan, Texas: Realigner market. In 2024, voted R+31%. Democratic peak: D+87 in 1932.
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+31MIT Election Lab
- Political archetype
- RealignerAkashic typology
- Population
- 1,144,0212024 5-year
- Median household income
- $66,1642024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 57.6%2024 5-year
- Black
- 15.9%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 25.8%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+87 in 1932MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+37 in 1972MIT Election Lab
Constituent county margins for Waco-Temple-Bryan, TXOne cell per constituent county, colored by 2024 presidential margin from deep red (Republican) through neutral to deep blue (Democratic), ordered bluest first.
R+60D+60
One cell per constituent county. Ordered by 2024 D-vs-R margin (bluest first). Hover for county-level numbers.
38 presidential elections
| Year | Won | Margin | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R | 143,050 | 273,456 | 421,923 | ||
| R | 152,248 | 246,046 | 406,439 | ||
| R | 106,065 | 196,909 | 320,421 | ||
| R | 99,331 | 187,371 | 291,154 | ||
| R | 115,397 | 187,254 | 305,379 | ||
| R | 94,581 | 193,180 | 289,518 | ||
| R | 81,326 | 161,704 | 248,212 | ||
| R | 91,628 | 111,785 | 221,301 | ||
| R | 85,064 | 101,228 | 239,030 | ||
| R | 90,252 | 128,173 | 219,851 | ||
| R | 74,021 | 145,935 | 220,724 | ||
| R | 81,414 | 95,751 | 182,627 | ||
| D | 91,332 | 74,469 | 167,289 | ||
| R | 41,562 | 91,166 | 133,172 | ||
| D | 62,948 | 39,882 | 127,079 | ||
| D | 81,600 | 27,193 | 108,895 | ||
| D | 61,208 | 37,207 | 98,744 | ||
| D | 49,528 | 39,986 | 89,792 | ||
| D | 55,819 | 41,016 | 96,957 | ||
| D | 50,200 | 9,349 | 64,286 | ||
| D | 51,786 | 5,597 | 64,301 | ||
| D | 58,433 | 8,646 | 67,151 | ||
| D | 45,573 | 3,219 | 49,022 | ||
| D | 51,785 | 3,648 | 55,631 | ||
| D | 25,249 | 19,112 | 44,409 | ||
| D | 43,983 | 8,516 | 54,457 | ||
| D | 25,744 | 5,526 | 42,618 | ||
| D | 24,499 | 4,530 | 30,556 | ||
| D | 18,994 | 2,189 | 24,690 | ||
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Demographics
Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
German
12.4%
English
9.1%
Irish
7.9%
American
5.1%
Italian
2.2%
French
1.7%
Scottish
1.2%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
Age distribution by sex
Median age: 33.0 in this county, 39.1 nationally
Male
Age
Female
85+
75–84
65–74
55–64
45–54
35–44
25–34
18–24
5–17
<5
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
Median household income
2024 inflation-adjusted dollars
$66,164
Waco-Temple-Bryan ranks near the middle of US counties.
Waco-Temple-Bryan$66,164
Texas$78,476
United States$80,734
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
Poverty rate
All persons below federal poverty line
16.6%
Children face moderate poverty.
Children under 1819.3%
Working age (18–64)15.8%
Seniors (65+)11.7%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
80.5%
speak English only
Spanish15.3%
Asian & Pacific Islander1.9%
Other Indo-European1.8%
Other languages0.6%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 50.8% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.
Spanning McLennan, Bell, and Brazos counties, this market blends heavily evangelical small-city voters with the younger, more transient electorates anchored by Baylor, University of Mary Hardin-Baylor, and Texas A&M.
The unraveling was not abrupt. The Democratic margin in Waco-Temple-Bryan peaked at eighty-seven points in 1932; it narrowed steadily over the late twentieth century. The 1980 election delivered the market to the Republican party for the first time in many years, by a margin of eight points. By 2024, the margin had settled into deep Republican territory.
The economic and demographic context is severe. The median household income of $66,164 is among the lowest at this geographic scale; 17% of residents live below the federal poverty line.
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Waco-Temple-Bryan, Texas — The Long Memory. Akashic Intelligence — The Long Memory. https://tiers.akashic.app/dma/625/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0
Frequently asked questions
How did Waco-Temple-Bryan, Texas vote in 2024?
In 2024, Waco-Temple-Bryan, Texas voted Republican by 30.9 points (R+31), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 421,923 votes cast, 143,050 went Democratic and 273,456 went Republican.
What is Waco-Temple-Bryan, Texas's political archetype?
Akashic classifies Waco-Temple-Bryan, Texas as a "Realigner" market based on its long-arc presidential voting pattern. Across 38 elections in the dataset, the market has voted Democratic 16 times, Republican 13 times, and other 0 times.
When did Waco-Temple-Bryan, Texas last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Waco-Temple-Bryan, Texas voted Democratic was 1976.
How many people live in Waco-Temple-Bryan, Texas?
Waco-Temple-Bryan, Texas has a population of 1,144,021 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Waco-Temple-Bryan, Texas?
Median household income in Waco-Temple-Bryan, Texas is $66,164 — below the national median of $80,734. The Texas state median is $78,476.
What is the political history of Waco-Temple-Bryan, Texas?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Waco-Temple-Bryan, Texas from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 16 went Democratic and 13 went Republican. The market's archetype — "Realigner" — captures the overall trajectory of that voting record.