Miami-Ft. Lauderdale, Florida: Tossup market. In 2024, voted D+1%. Democratic peak: D+92 in 1892.
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- D+1MIT Election Lab
- Political archetype
- TossupAkashic typology
- Population
- 4,797,3452024 5-year
- Median household income
- $74,4492024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 31.9%2024 5-year
- Black
- 20.1%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 53.5%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+92 in 1892MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+29 in 1972MIT Election Lab
| Year | Won | Margin | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D | 1,005,136 | 990,402 | 2,012,260 | ||
| D | 1,258,497 | 891,935 | 2,162,517 | ||
| D | 1,196,437 | 616,854 | 1,854,633 | ||
| D | 1,069,156 | 596,316 | 1,673,793 | ||
| D | 1,013,378 | 617,213 | 1,637,657 | ||
| D | 883,259 | 625,236 | 1,521,133 | ||
| D | 733,114 | 483,576 | 1,234,686 | ||
| D | 653,585 | 364,686 | 1,091,424 | ||
| D | 541,420 | 410,043 | 1,106,682 | ||
| R | 445,401 | 507,181 | 957,275 | ||
| R | 426,221 | 595,354 | 1,021,653 | ||
| R | 365,111 | 507,225 | 957,272 | ||
| D | 490,617 | 380,791 | 884,042 | ||
| R | 256,289 | 464,745 | 723,365 | ||
| R | 238,836 | 246,438 | 574,928 | ||
| D | 286,283 | 207,586 | 493,869 | ||
| D | 237,897 | 206,216 | 444,113 | ||
| R | 126,447 | 177,827 | 304,274 | ||
| R | 109,817 | 151,623 | 261,440 | ||
| D | 70,536 | 51,782 | 135,536 | ||
| D | 70,165 | 36,506 | 106,671 | ||
| D | 62,445 | 29,675 | 92,120 | ||
| D | 34,997 | 12,483 | 47,480 | ||
| D | 23,951 | 11,297 | 35,248 | ||
| R | 13,599 | 19,891 | 34,000 | ||
| D | 4,730 | 3,422 | 12,797 | ||
| D | 5,682 | 4,029 | 10,824 | ||
| D | 2,766 | 1,132 | 4,998 | ||
| D | 2,194 | 513 | 3,618 | ||
| D | 1,591 | 502 | 2,752 | ||
| D | 1,567 | 594 | 2,386 | ||
| D | 1,553 | 641 | 2,492 | ||
| D | 824 | 737 | 1,698 | ||
| D | 876 | 0 | 957 | ||
| — | — | — | — | ||
| R | 928 | 933 | 1,861 | ||
| — | — | — | — | ||
| — | — | — | — |
Demographics
Spanish-language media commands unusual influence here, and shifting preferences among Cuban-American and Venezuelan-American voters have moved the market's suburban precincts by double digits across consecutive cycles.
The market's recent history is a story of close margins. The Democratic margin reached ninety-two points in 1892; the Republican margin reached twenty-nine points in 1972. Most other elections have been decided by single-digit points.
Its demographics — a population of 4,797,345, a 32% non-Hispanic-white share, a median household income of $74,449 — situate the market close to national averages on several dimensions.
Miami-Ft. Lauderdale, Florida — The Long Memory. Akashic Intelligence — The Long Memory. https://tiers.akashic.app/dma/528/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.