akashic
1876–2024
Miami-Ft. Lauderdale·Florida

Miami-Ft. Lauderdale delivered D+1 in 2024 — close enough to flip again next time.

A bilingual battleground where Cuban and Venezuelan diaspora politics reshape margins

18762024·38 elections
FL
Latest
D+1
in 2024
Archetype
Tossup
since the recent cycles
Population
4,797,345
2024 ACS

Miami-Ft. Lauderdale, Florida: Tossup market. In 2024, voted D+1%. Democratic peak: D+92 in 1892.

Key facts

2024 presidential margin
D+1MIT Election Lab
Political archetype
TossupAkashic typology
Population
4,797,3452024 5-year
Median household income
$74,4492024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic)
31.9%2024 5-year
Black
20.1%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino
53.5%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin
D+92 in 1892MIT Election Lab
Peak Republican margin
R+29 in 1972MIT Election Lab
3 counties · 1 D · 2 R
R+60
D+60
One cell per constituent county. Ordered by 2024 D-vs-R margin (bluest first). Hover for county-level numbers.
Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024).
YearWonMarginDemocraticRepublicanTotal
D
+0.7%
1,005,136990,4022,012,260
D
+17.0%
1,258,497891,9352,162,517
D
+31.3%
1,196,437616,8541,854,633
D
+28.2%
1,069,156596,3161,673,793
D
+24.2%
1,013,378617,2131,637,657
D
+17.0%
883,259625,2361,521,133
D
+20.2%
733,114483,5761,234,686
D
+26.5%
653,585364,6861,091,424
D
+11.9%
541,420410,0431,106,682
R
−6.5%
445,401507,181957,275
R
−16.6%
426,221595,3541,021,653
R
−14.8%
365,111507,225957,272
D
+12.4%
490,617380,791884,042
R
−28.8%
256,289464,745723,365
R
−1.3%
238,836246,438574,928
D
+15.9%
286,283207,586493,869
D
+7.1%
237,897206,216444,113
R
−16.9%
126,447177,827304,274
R
−16.0%
109,817151,623261,440
D
+13.8%
70,53651,782135,536
D
+31.6%
70,16536,506106,671
D
+35.6%
62,44529,67592,120
D
+47.4%
34,99712,48347,480
D
+35.9%
23,95111,29735,248
R
−18.5%
13,59919,89134,000
D
+10.2%
4,7303,42212,797
D
+15.3%
5,6824,02910,824
D
+32.7%
2,7661,1324,998
D
+46.5%
2,1945133,618
D
+39.6%
1,5915022,752
D
+40.8%
1,5675942,386
D
+36.6%
1,5536412,492
D
+5.1%
8247371,698
D
+91.5%
8760957
No data
R
−0.3%
9289331,861
No data
No data

Demographics

Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
American
5.2%
Italian
3.8%
German
3.1%
Irish
2.9%
English
2.4%
Polish
1.2%
French
1.0%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
38.6%
speak English only
Spanish50.1%
Other Indo-European9.2%
Asian & Pacific Islander1.3%
Other languages0.9%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Catholic & Orthodox
25.6%
Other Christian
11.9%
Baptist
5.4%
Non-Christian
2.3%
Pentecostal & Holiness
1.5%
Methodist
0.9%
Mainline Protestant
0.9%
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 51.5% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.

Spanish-language media commands unusual influence here, and shifting preferences among Cuban-American and Venezuelan-American voters have moved the market's suburban precincts by double digits across consecutive cycles.

The market's recent history is a story of close margins. The Democratic margin reached ninety-two points in 1892; the Republican margin reached twenty-nine points in 1972. Most other elections have been decided by single-digit points.

Its demographics — a population of 4,797,345, a 32% non-Hispanic-white share, a median household income of $74,449 — situate the market close to national averages on several dimensions.

Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Miami-Ft. Lauderdale, Florida — The Long Memory. Akashic Intelligence — The Long Memory. https://tiers.akashic.app/dma/528/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0

Frequently asked questions

How did Miami-Ft. Lauderdale, Florida vote in 2024?
In 2024, Miami-Ft. Lauderdale, Florida voted Democratic by 0.7 points (D+1), carried by the Democratic candidate. Out of 2,012,260 votes cast, 1,005,136 went Democratic and 990,402 went Republican.
What is Miami-Ft. Lauderdale, Florida's political archetype?
Akashic classifies Miami-Ft. Lauderdale, Florida as a "Tossup" market based on its long-arc presidential voting pattern. Across 38 elections in the dataset, the market has voted Democratic 26 times, Republican 9 times, and other 0 times.
When did Miami-Ft. Lauderdale, Florida last vote Republican?
The most recent presidential election in which Miami-Ft. Lauderdale, Florida voted Republican was 1988.
How many people live in Miami-Ft. Lauderdale, Florida?
Miami-Ft. Lauderdale, Florida has a population of 4,797,345 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Miami-Ft. Lauderdale, Florida?
Median household income in Miami-Ft. Lauderdale, Florida is $74,449 — below the national median of $80,734. The Florida state median is $74,568.
What is the political history of Miami-Ft. Lauderdale, Florida?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Miami-Ft. Lauderdale, Florida from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 26 went Democratic and 9 went Republican. The market's archetype — "Tossup" — captures the overall trajectory of that voting record.