akashic
1876–2024
Orlando-Daytona Bch-Melbrn·Florida

Orlando-Daytona Bch-Melbrn delivered R+11 in 2024.

Florida's most contested media market spans three distinct political zones

1876 — 2024·38 elections
FL
Latest
R+11
in 2024
Archetype
Bellwether
since the recent cycles
Population
4,676,162
2024 ACS

Orlando-Daytona Bch-Melbrn, Florida: Bellwether market. In 2024, voted R+11%. Democratic peak: D+80 in 1892.

Key facts

2024 presidential margin
R+11MIT Election Lab
Political archetype
BellwetherAkashic typology
Population
4,676,1622024 5-year
Median household income
$75,9842024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic)
58.0%2024 5-year
Black
13.6%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino
25.5%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin
D+80 in 1892MIT Election Lab
Peak Republican margin
R+56 in 1972MIT Election Lab
2024 results by constituent county
9 counties · 1 D · 8 R
R+60
D+60
One cell per constituent county. Ordered by 2024 D-vs-R margin (bluest first). Hover for county-level numbers.
38 presidential elections
Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024).
YearWonMarginDemocraticRepublicanTotal
R
−11.1%
1,024,6541,282,5762,331,109
R
−2.8%
1,119,8281,185,3122,328,748
R
−2.9%
919,579976,4161,966,328
R
−1.0%
846,451864,2151,727,042
D
+1.9%
863,889830,7621,707,806
R
−9.0%
670,440803,9251,484,793
R
−3.3%
527,083564,0801,116,771
R
−1.1%
415,234426,006947,385
R
−8.6%
325,416405,668936,657
R
−33.8%
230,538469,310705,920
R
−41.0%
188,883451,797640,979
R
−23.5%
191,744317,536535,368
R
−1.6%
218,665225,774450,943
R
−56.1%
82,509294,611378,139
R
−19.4%
86,081151,516336,437
R
−3.1%
130,722139,142269,864
R
−25.6%
76,598129,391205,989
R
−32.4%
51,456100,841152,297
R
−27.9%
45,64281,032126,674
D
+5.1%
35,13931,10378,668
D
+24.3%
39,75424,23363,987
D
+31.1%
45,38923,83369,222
D
+34.0%
32,68016,10748,787
D
+31.5%
26,80413,95640,760
R
−30.0%
13,50125,33739,499
D
+21.2%
10,2186,25018,686
D
+21.2%
13,1888,34222,829
D
+39.7%
7,6702,94511,904
D
+56.8%
5,2458547,734
D
+32.6%
4,3571,9797,300
D
+51.0%
4,2881,2076,041
D
+49.7%
4,3581,2806,192
D
+32.8%
5,2422,5268,278
D
+79.8%
5,34906,702
—
No data
———
D
+10.8%
5,6704,56410,234
—
No data
———
—
No data
———

Demographics

Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
German
9.7%
Irish
9.0%
English
9.0%
American
8.3%
Italian
5.7%
Polish
2.2%
French
1.8%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
Age distribution by sex
Median age: 42.8 in this county, 39.1 nationally
Male
Age
Female
0.9%
85+
1.4%
3.1%
75–84
3.7%
5.5%
65–74
6.4%
6.3%
55–64
6.8%
6.0%
45–54
6.2%
6.5%
35–44
6.5%
6.6%
25–34
6.5%
4.1%
18–24
4.0%
7.5%
5–17
7.2%
2.5%
<5
2.4%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
Median household income
2024 inflation-adjusted dollars
$75,984
Orlando-Daytona Bch-Melbrn ranks near the middle of US counties.
Orlando-Daytona Bch-Melbrn$75,984
Florida$74,568
United States$80,734
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
Poverty rate
All persons below federal poverty line
11.6%
Children face moderate poverty.
Children under 1815.8%
Working age (18–64)10.8%
Seniors (65+)11.4%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
73.5%
speak English only
Spanish19.1%
Other Indo-European4.8%
Asian & Pacific Islander1.9%
Other languages0.8%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Catholic & Orthodox
16.7%
Other Christian
14.1%
Baptist
5.3%
Pentecostal & Holiness
3.0%
Methodist
2.3%
Mainline Protestant
1.8%
Non-Christian
1.7%
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 55.1% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.

Anchored by a Democratic-leaning urban core in Orange County, a Republican-heavy coast around Volusia and Brevard, and a growing I-4 corridor that has decided statewide races by razor-thin margins.

The Democratic margin in Orlando-Daytona Bch-Melbrn has rarely exceeded eighty points in modern history; the Republican margin has rarely exceeded fifty-six points. 2024 delivered the market to the Republican candidate by eleven points.

Its demographics resemble the country more than they resemble most markets. A 58% non-Hispanic-white share, a 12% poverty rate, and a median household income of $75,984 — all within the broad national range.

Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Orlando-Daytona Bch-Melbrn, Florida — The Long Memory. Akashic Intelligence — The Long Memory. https://tiers.akashic.app/dma/534/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0

Frequently asked questions

How did Orlando-Daytona Bch-Melbrn, Florida vote in 2024?
In 2024, Orlando-Daytona Bch-Melbrn, Florida voted Republican by 11.1 points (R+11), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 2,331,109 votes cast, 1,024,654 went Democratic and 1,282,576 went Republican.
What is Orlando-Daytona Bch-Melbrn, Florida's political archetype?
Akashic classifies Orlando-Daytona Bch-Melbrn, Florida as a "Bellwether" market based on its long-arc presidential voting pattern. Across 38 elections in the dataset, the market has voted Democratic 16 times, Republican 19 times, and other 0 times.
When did Orlando-Daytona Bch-Melbrn, Florida last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Orlando-Daytona Bch-Melbrn, Florida voted Democratic was 2008.
How many people live in Orlando-Daytona Bch-Melbrn, Florida?
Orlando-Daytona Bch-Melbrn, Florida has a population of 4,676,162 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Orlando-Daytona Bch-Melbrn, Florida?
Median household income in Orlando-Daytona Bch-Melbrn, Florida is $75,984 — below the national median of $80,734. The Florida state median is $74,568.
What is the political history of Orlando-Daytona Bch-Melbrn, Florida?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Orlando-Daytona Bch-Melbrn, Florida from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 16 went Democratic and 19 went Republican. The market's archetype — "Bellwether" — captures the overall trajectory of that voting record.