akashic
1876–2024
Youngstown·Ohio

Youngstown peaked at D+37; 2024 delivered R+21.

Mahoning Valley's blue-collar shift reshaped Ohio's electoral math

18762024·38 elections
OH
Latest
R+21
in 2024
Archetype
Populist
since the recent cycles
Population
637,381
2024 ACS

Youngstown, Ohio: Populist market. In 2024, voted R+21%. Republican peak: R+54 in 1924.

Key facts

2024 presidential margin
R+21MIT Election Lab
Political archetype
PopulistAkashic typology
Population
637,3812024 5-year
Median household income
$57,4982024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic)
83.2%2024 5-year
Black
8.9%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino
3.7%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin
D+37 in 1964MIT Election Lab
Peak Republican margin
R+54 in 1924MIT Election Lab
4 counties · 0 D · 4 R
R+60
D+60
One cell per constituent county. Ordered by 2024 D-vs-R margin (bluest first). Hover for county-level numbers.
Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024).
YearWonMarginDemocraticRepublicanTotal
R
−21.4%
122,603190,600317,166
R
−15.4%
136,586186,966327,781
R
−10.9%
131,560165,860315,200
D
+15.7%
182,784132,096323,303
D
+16.0%
191,611137,633337,450
D
+16.5%
198,127141,802342,078
D
+16.9%
171,329120,050303,517
D
+27.5%
172,03988,807302,331
D
+22.5%
162,35188,119330,646
D
+17.9%
180,057125,013307,396
D
+9.2%
178,229147,810329,110
D
+3.5%
145,218134,379305,396
D
+16.1%
177,802127,570312,440
R
−11.7%
131,476167,093305,056
D
+10.7%
150,994119,102298,613
D
+37.0%
206,18194,814301,206
D
+7.2%
173,351150,174323,653
R
−13.4%
126,324165,496291,940
D
+0.9%
146,611144,088291,042
D
+14.0%
132,26199,302234,962
D
+16.6%
139,79999,916239,927
D
+17.8%
150,373104,801255,363
D
+28.7%
140,81377,191221,696
R
−11.2%
76,25596,506180,462
R
−41.8%
51,703127,055180,183
R
−53.6%
21,71595,110137,005
R
−32.9%
36,35375,500119,051
D
+2.7%
33,28231,40769,382
O
+6.7%
19,04014,94660,887
R
−12.1%
25,99733,86164,870
R
−39.2%
14,59437,93259,495
R
−20.5%
22,00133,86757,806
R
−18.4%
22,69933,14556,801
R
−9.7%
20,07924,73148,016
No data
No data
No data
No data

Demographics

Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
German
18.4%
Irish
13.6%
Italian
12.3%
English
10.1%
American
9.6%
Polish
3.5%
Scottish
1.9%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
95.4%
speak English only
Other Indo-European2.2%
Spanish1.7%
Asian & Pacific Islander0.3%
Other languages0.3%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Catholic & Orthodox
17.4%
Other Christian
11.7%
Pentecostal & Holiness
4.6%
Mainline Protestant
4.2%
Methodist
4.0%
Baptist
2.7%
Non-Christian
0.7%
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 54.7% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.

Once a union-Democratic stronghold anchored by the steel industry, the Youngstown media market has swung sharply toward Republican margins over the past decade as deindustrialization and demographic change reshaped voter allegiances across Mahoning and Trumbull counties.

The Democratic margin in Youngstown peaked at thirty-seven points in 1964. By 2016 the market had flipped, voting Republican for the first time in many years. The 2024 margin was twenty-one points, the most Republican-leaning result in the market's modern history.

The economic context is the key. The median household income of $57,498 sits well below state and national norms, and 17% of residents live below the federal poverty line. The shift here is part of a broader realignment of working-class places across the country.

Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Youngstown, Ohio — The Long Memory. Akashic Intelligence — The Long Memory. https://tiers.akashic.app/dma/536/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0

Frequently asked questions

How did Youngstown, Ohio vote in 2024?
In 2024, Youngstown, Ohio voted Republican by 21.4 points (R+21), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 317,166 votes cast, 122,603 went Democratic and 190,600 went Republican.
What is Youngstown, Ohio's political archetype?
Akashic classifies Youngstown, Ohio as a "Populist" market based on its long-arc presidential voting pattern. Across 38 elections in the dataset, the market has voted Democratic 19 times, Republican 14 times, and other 1 times.
When did Youngstown, Ohio last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Youngstown, Ohio voted Democratic was 2012.
How many people live in Youngstown, Ohio?
Youngstown, Ohio has a population of 637,381 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Youngstown, Ohio?
Median household income in Youngstown, Ohio is $57,498 — below the national median of $80,734. The Ohio state median is $77,971.
What is the political history of Youngstown, Ohio?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Youngstown, Ohio from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 19 went Democratic and 14 went Republican. The market's archetype — "Populist" — captures the overall trajectory of that voting record.