akashic
1876–2024
Yuma-El Centro·California

Yuma-El Centro delivered R+12 in 2024.

A border media market where agriculture and migration policy dominate the airwaves

1876 — 2024·38 elections
CA
Latest
R+12
in 2024
Archetype
Bellwether
since the recent cycles
Population
391,943
2024 ACS

Yuma-El Centro, California: Bellwether market. In 2024, voted R+12%. Democratic peak: D+41 in 1932.

Key facts

2024 presidential margin
R+12MIT Election Lab
Political archetype
BellwetherAkashic typology
Population
391,9432024 5-year
Median household income
$60,4882024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic)
29.4%2024 5-year
Black
1.9%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino
74.6%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin
D+41 in 1932MIT Election Lab
Peak Republican margin
R+31 in 1920MIT Election Lab
2024 results by constituent county
2 counties · 0 D · 2 R
R+60
D+60
One cell per constituent county. Ordered by 2024 D-vs-R margin (bluest first). Hover for county-level numbers.
38 presidential elections
Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024).
YearWonMarginDemocraticRepublicanTotal
R
−11.8%
52,90667,291122,220
D
+7.5%
66,88857,381126,815
D
+19.2%
57,27237,869101,101
D
+8.8%
43,19536,12980,638
D
+5.0%
42,72138,58582,435
R
−5.6%
33,99638,07472,803
R
−1.2%
27,54428,23257,589
D
+7.7%
26,85822,71854,071
D
+0.1%
21,47621,41153,363
R
−15.2%
19,19526,14245,845
R
−30.3%
14,69527,67742,782
R
−26.9%
13,97525,46142,724
R
−4.3%
18,24219,94239,142
R
−29.1%
12,73723,77437,955
R
−12.6%
13,25117,67435,079
D
+5.9%
19,00016,87835,902
R
−1.2%
15,76116,15332,010
R
−6.3%
13,97315,85629,894
R
−17.0%
10,77715,22326,108
D
+6.6%
9,7848,54118,774
D
+4.5%
8,5577,81016,425
D
+15.1%
11,8668,72420,743
D
+30.8%
10,9885,74717,043
D
+40.8%
12,2354,94517,869
R
−30.8%
4,0757,74511,929
R
−31.4%
1,6104,7359,938
R
−30.9%
3,1996,30510,067
D
+13.2%
4,5953,4218,899
O
+36.7%
1,719904,434
R
−12.3%
6759091,908
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Demographics

Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
German
4.2%
English
4.1%
Irish
2.9%
American
2.3%
Italian
1.1%
French
0.5%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
Age distribution by sex
Median age: 34.8 in this county, 39.1 nationally
Male
Age
Female
0.8%
85+
1.2%
3.0%
75–84
3.3%
4.3%
65–74
4.8%
4.8%
55–64
5.0%
5.1%
45–54
5.0%
6.5%
35–44
5.6%
7.8%
25–34
6.3%
5.7%
18–24
4.4%
9.9%
5–17
9.5%
3.5%
<5
3.4%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
Median household income
2024 inflation-adjusted dollars
$60,488
Yuma-El Centro ranks near the middle of US counties.
Yuma-El Centro$60,488
California$99,122
United States$80,734
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
Poverty rate
All persons below federal poverty line
17.4%
Children face moderate poverty.
Children under 1822.3%
Working age (18–64)15.6%
Seniors (65+)15.8%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
35.4%
speak English only
Spanish62.8%
Asian & Pacific Islander0.9%
Other Indo-European0.5%
Other languages0.4%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Catholic & Orthodox
46.0%
Other Christian
7.9%
Pentecostal & Holiness
1.8%
Baptist
1.6%
Mainline Protestant
0.7%
Non-Christian
0.4%
Methodist
0.3%
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 41.4% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.

Spanning the Colorado River desert from southwestern Arizona into California's Imperial Valley, this market's electorate is shaped by Latino majorities, year-round farm labor, and one of the nation's busiest land-border crossing corridors.

The Democratic margin in Yuma-El Centro has rarely exceeded forty-one points in modern history; the Republican margin has rarely exceeded thirty-one points. 2024 delivered the market to the Republican candidate by twelve points.

Its demographics resemble the country more than they resemble most markets. A 29% non-Hispanic-white share, a 17% poverty rate, and a median household income of $60,488 — all within the broad national range.

Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Yuma-El Centro, California — The Long Memory. Akashic Intelligence — The Long Memory. https://tiers.akashic.app/dma/771/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0

Frequently asked questions

How did Yuma-El Centro, California vote in 2024?
In 2024, Yuma-El Centro, California voted Republican by 11.8 points (R+12), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 122,220 votes cast, 52,906 went Democratic and 67,291 went Republican.
What is Yuma-El Centro, California's political archetype?
Akashic classifies Yuma-El Centro, California as a "Bellwether" market based on its long-arc presidential voting pattern. Across 38 elections in the dataset, the market has voted Democratic 13 times, Republican 16 times, and other 1 times.
When did Yuma-El Centro, California last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Yuma-El Centro, California voted Democratic was 2020.
How many people live in Yuma-El Centro, California?
Yuma-El Centro, California has a population of 391,943 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Yuma-El Centro, California?
Median household income in Yuma-El Centro, California is $60,488 — below the national median of $80,734. The California state median is $99,122.
What is the political history of Yuma-El Centro, California?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Yuma-El Centro, California from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 13 went Democratic and 16 went Republican. The market's archetype — "Bellwether" — captures the overall trajectory of that voting record.