Springfield-Holyoke, Massachusetts: Bellwether market. In 2024, voted D+21%. Democratic peak: D+48 in 1964.
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- D+21MIT Election Lab
- Political archetype
- BellwetherAkashic typology
- Population
- 695,7872024 5-year
- Median household income
- $75,3282024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 70.6%2024 5-year
- Black
- 6.5%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 20.2%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+48 in 1964MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+47 in 1896MIT Election Lab
Constituent county margins for Springfield-Holyoke, MAOne cell per constituent county, colored by 2024 presidential margin from deep red (Republican) through neutral to deep blue (Democratic), ordered bluest first.
R+60D+60
One cell per constituent county. Ordered by 2024 D-vs-R margin (bluest first). Hover for county-level numbers.
38 presidential elections
| Year | Won | Margin | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D | 197,859 | 128,158 | 335,572 | ||
| D | 219,340 | 120,800 | 352,128 | ||
| D | 192,435 | 110,839 | 334,491 | ||
| D | 208,050 | 104,216 | 319,778 | ||
| D | 206,242 | 101,513 | 315,819 | ||
| D | 190,940 | 103,298 | 298,442 | ||
| D | 156,591 | 88,936 | 274,085 | ||
| D | 166,622 | 71,355 | 270,290 | ||
| D | 141,151 | 79,006 | 294,163 | ||
| D | 156,476 | 112,678 | 271,458 | ||
| D | 136,084 | 133,324 | 270,446 | ||
| D | 119,810 | 106,173 | 270,197 | ||
| D | 159,960 | 107,064 | 276,546 | ||
| D | 135,485 | 126,781 | 264,050 | ||
| D | 150,114 | 84,398 | 248,948 | ||
| D | 182,249 | 64,028 | 247,488 | ||
| D | 159,010 | 107,082 | 266,935 | ||
| R | 105,436 | 150,829 | 257,367 | ||
| R | 116,912 | 142,271 | 259,947 | ||
| D | 121,852 | 102,506 | 227,926 | ||
| D | 118,895 | 91,452 | 210,869 | ||
| D | 116,772 | 94,290 | 212,239 | ||
| D | 104,900 | 79,056 | 194,807 | ||
| D | 81,769 | 81,313 | 170,246 | ||
| R | 80,593 | 84,497 | 166,197 | ||
| R | 26,205 | 71,757 | 113,246 | ||
| R | 27,003 | 69,846 | 99,370 | ||
| R | 24,284 | 28,308 | 54,159 | ||
| R | 15,754 | 18,541 | 47,361 | ||
| R | 14,159 | 24,671 | 43,656 | ||
| R | 13,333 | 25,888 | 41,655 | ||
| R | 14,690 | 24,244 | 40,495 | ||
| R | 9,505 | 28,169 | 39,395 | ||
| R | 17,792 | 20,770 | 39,952 | ||
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Demographics
Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
Irish
14.5%
English
9.1%
Italian
8.5%
Polish
8.3%
French
7.9%
American
5.9%
German
5.7%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
Age distribution by sex
Median age: 40.1 in this county, 39.1 nationally
Male
Age
Female
85+
75–84
65–74
55–64
45–54
35–44
25–34
18–24
5–17
<5
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
Median household income
2024 inflation-adjusted dollars
$75,328
Springfield-Holyoke ranks near the middle of US counties.
Springfield-Holyoke$75,328
Massachusetts$103,960
United States$80,734
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
Poverty rate
All persons below federal poverty line
14.7%
Children face moderate poverty.
Children under 1819.6%
Working age (18–64)13.5%
Seniors (65+)13.7%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
79.3%
speak English only
Spanish12.9%
Other Indo-European4.8%
Asian & Pacific Islander1.9%
Other languages1.0%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 60.7% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.
Centered on the Connecticut River corridor, this western Massachusetts market blends dense, majority-minority urban electorates in Holyoke and Springfield with more competitive small-town and rural precincts, producing wide intra-market variation in turnout patterns.
The Democratic margin in Springfield-Holyoke has rarely exceeded forty-eight points in modern history; the Republican margin has rarely exceeded forty-seven points. 2024 delivered the market to the Democratic candidate by twenty-one points.
Its demographics resemble the country more than they resemble most markets. A 71% non-Hispanic-white share, a 15% poverty rate, and a median household income of $75,328 — all within the broad national range.
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Springfield-Holyoke, Massachusetts — The Long Memory. Akashic Intelligence — The Long Memory. https://tiers.akashic.app/dma/543/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0
Frequently asked questions
How did Springfield-Holyoke, Massachusetts vote in 2024?
In 2024, Springfield-Holyoke, Massachusetts voted Democratic by 20.8 points (D+21), carried by the Democratic candidate. Out of 335,572 votes cast, 197,859 went Democratic and 128,158 went Republican.
What is Springfield-Holyoke, Massachusetts's political archetype?
Akashic classifies Springfield-Holyoke, Massachusetts as a "Bellwether" market based on its long-arc presidential voting pattern. Across 38 elections in the dataset, the market has voted Democratic 22 times, Republican 12 times, and other 0 times.
When did Springfield-Holyoke, Massachusetts last vote Republican?
The most recent presidential election in which Springfield-Holyoke, Massachusetts voted Republican was 1956.
How many people live in Springfield-Holyoke, Massachusetts?
Springfield-Holyoke, Massachusetts has a population of 695,787 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Springfield-Holyoke, Massachusetts?
Median household income in Springfield-Holyoke, Massachusetts is $75,328 — below the national median of $80,734. The Massachusetts state median is $103,960.
What is the political history of Springfield-Holyoke, Massachusetts?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Springfield-Holyoke, Massachusetts from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 22 went Democratic and 12 went Republican. The market's archetype — "Bellwether" — captures the overall trajectory of that voting record.