Springfield, MO, Missouri: Populist market. In 2024, voted R+50%. Republican peak: R+50 in 2024.
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+50MIT Election Lab
- Political archetype
- PopulistAkashic typology
- Population
- 1,125,0672024 5-year
- Median household income
- $59,8202024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 88.2%2024 5-year
- Black
- 1.8%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 4.8%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+18 in 1932MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+50 in 2016MIT Election Lab
| Year | Won | Margin | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R | 132,846 | 404,149 | 544,650 | ||
| R | 132,693 | 387,129 | 530,282 | ||
| R | 110,798 | 352,489 | 487,208 | ||
| R | 140,191 | 316,378 | 468,054 | ||
| R | 173,106 | 307,410 | 488,973 | ||
| R | 151,788 | 297,627 | 453,122 | ||
| R | 139,260 | 232,898 | 383,089 | ||
| R | 139,199 | 167,590 | 351,664 | ||
| R | 146,618 | 150,249 | 367,646 | ||
| R | 122,066 | 186,802 | 310,413 | ||
| R | 100,969 | 207,393 | 308,938 | ||
| R | 114,332 | 175,849 | 300,289 | ||
| D | 132,721 | 131,040 | 265,310 | ||
| R | 69,572 | 174,401 | 244,296 | ||
| R | 70,480 | 125,238 | 223,907 | ||
| D | 115,137 | 99,098 | 214,314 | ||
| R | 78,415 | 146,863 | 225,547 | ||
| R | 84,721 | 123,596 | 208,401 | ||
| R | 79,173 | 135,567 | 215,226 | ||
| R | 88,134 | 92,434 | 181,539 | ||
| R | 72,785 | 111,186 | 184,296 | ||
| R | 92,868 | 123,910 | 217,416 | ||
| R | 101,255 | 107,466 | 209,545 | ||
| D | 105,619 | 73,589 | 181,475 | ||
| R | 57,900 | 111,628 | 170,153 | ||
| R | 67,015 | 77,731 | 155,142 | ||
| R | 60,195 | 97,213 | 161,043 | ||
| R | 48,705 | 52,064 | 104,174 | ||
| D | 39,772 | 31,711 | 96,039 | ||
| R | 44,179 | 51,184 | 99,408 | ||
| R | 38,090 | 50,550 | 93,155 | ||
| R | 48,705 | 49,199 | 100,784 | ||
| D | 59,261 | 46,962 | 106,834 | ||
| R | 35,349 | 38,018 | 86,884 | ||
| — | — | — | — | ||
| — | — | — | — | ||
| — | — | — | — | ||
| — | — | — | — |
Demographics
Springfield's media market spans the deeply Republican Missouri Ozarks while absorbing Missouri State and Drury University enrollments, creating a rare college-town counterweight within an otherwise lopsided regional electorate.
The Democratic margin in Springfield, MO peaked at eighteen points in 1932. By 1980 the market had flipped, voting Republican for the first time in many years. The 2024 margin was fifty points, the most Republican-leaning result in the market's modern history.
The economic context is the key. The median household income of $59,820 sits well below state and national norms, and 15% of residents live below the federal poverty line. The shift here is part of a broader realignment of working-class places across the country.
Springfield, MO, Missouri — The Long Memory. Akashic Intelligence — The Long Memory. https://tiers.akashic.app/dma/619/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.