akashic
1876–2024
Springfield, MO·Missouri

Springfield, MO was solidly Democratic for decades. In the last twenty years, it flipped.

Ozarks anchor where rural conservative margins meet a regional college hub

18762024·38 elections
MO
Latest
R+50
in 2024
Archetype
Populist
since the recent cycles
Population
1,125,067
2024 ACS

Springfield, MO, Missouri: Populist market. In 2024, voted R+50%. Republican peak: R+50 in 2024.

Key facts

2024 presidential margin
R+50MIT Election Lab
Political archetype
PopulistAkashic typology
Population
1,125,0672024 5-year
Median household income
$59,8202024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic)
88.2%2024 5-year
Black
1.8%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino
4.8%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin
D+18 in 1932MIT Election Lab
Peak Republican margin
R+50 in 2016MIT Election Lab
31 counties · 0 D · 31 R
R+60
D+60
One cell per constituent county. Ordered by 2024 D-vs-R margin (bluest first). Hover for county-level numbers.
Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024).
YearWonMarginDemocraticRepublicanTotal
R
−49.8%
132,846404,149544,650
R
−48.0%
132,693387,129530,282
R
−49.6%
110,798352,489487,208
R
−37.6%
140,191316,378468,054
R
−27.5%
173,106307,410488,973
R
−32.2%
151,788297,627453,122
R
−24.4%
139,260232,898383,089
R
−8.1%
139,199167,590351,664
R
−1.0%
146,618150,249367,646
R
−20.9%
122,066186,802310,413
R
−34.4%
100,969207,393308,938
R
−20.5%
114,332175,849300,289
D
+0.6%
132,721131,040265,310
R
−42.9%
69,572174,401244,296
R
−24.5%
70,480125,238223,907
D
+7.5%
115,13799,098214,314
R
−30.3%
78,415146,863225,547
R
−18.7%
84,721123,596208,401
R
−26.2%
79,173135,567215,226
R
−2.4%
88,13492,434181,539
R
−20.8%
72,785111,186184,296
R
−14.3%
92,868123,910217,416
R
−3.0%
101,255107,466209,545
D
+17.6%
105,61973,589181,475
R
−31.6%
57,900111,628170,153
R
−6.9%
67,01577,731155,142
R
−23.0%
60,19597,213161,043
R
−3.2%
48,70552,064104,174
D
+8.4%
39,77231,71196,039
R
−7.0%
44,17951,18499,408
R
−13.4%
38,09050,55093,155
R
−0.5%
48,70549,199100,784
D
+11.5%
59,26146,962106,834
R
−3.1%
35,34938,01886,884
No data
No data
No data
No data

Demographics

Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
German
18.1%
English
15.3%
Irish
11.8%
American
7.9%
French
2.1%
Scottish
2.1%
Italian
2.1%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
95.0%
speak English only
Spanish2.4%
Other Indo-European1.6%
Asian & Pacific Islander0.8%
Other languages0.2%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Baptist
19.4%
Other Christian
11.9%
Pentecostal & Holiness
7.5%
Catholic & Orthodox
3.5%
Methodist
2.8%
Mainline Protestant
2.6%
Non-Christian
0.2%
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 52.0% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.

Springfield's media market spans the deeply Republican Missouri Ozarks while absorbing Missouri State and Drury University enrollments, creating a rare college-town counterweight within an otherwise lopsided regional electorate.

The Democratic margin in Springfield, MO peaked at eighteen points in 1932. By 1980 the market had flipped, voting Republican for the first time in many years. The 2024 margin was fifty points, the most Republican-leaning result in the market's modern history.

The economic context is the key. The median household income of $59,820 sits well below state and national norms, and 15% of residents live below the federal poverty line. The shift here is part of a broader realignment of working-class places across the country.

Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Springfield, MO, Missouri — The Long Memory. Akashic Intelligence — The Long Memory. https://tiers.akashic.app/dma/619/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0

Frequently asked questions

How did Springfield, MO, Missouri vote in 2024?
In 2024, Springfield, MO, Missouri voted Republican by 49.8 points (R+50), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 544,650 votes cast, 132,846 went Democratic and 404,149 went Republican.
What is Springfield, MO, Missouri's political archetype?
Akashic classifies Springfield, MO, Missouri as a "Populist" market based on its long-arc presidential voting pattern. Across 38 elections in the dataset, the market has voted Democratic 5 times, Republican 29 times, and other 0 times.
When did Springfield, MO, Missouri last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Springfield, MO, Missouri voted Democratic was 1976.
How many people live in Springfield, MO, Missouri?
Springfield, MO, Missouri has a population of 1,125,067 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Springfield, MO, Missouri?
Median household income in Springfield, MO, Missouri is $59,820 — below the national median of $80,734. The Missouri state median is $60,773.
What is the political history of Springfield, MO, Missouri?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Springfield, MO, Missouri from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 5 went Democratic and 29 went Republican. The market's archetype — "Populist" — captures the overall trajectory of that voting record.