Jacksonville, Florida: Old Confederacy market. In 2024, voted R+23%. Democratic peak: D+68 in 1912.
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+23MIT Election Lab
- Political archetype
- Old ConfederacyAkashic typology
- Population
- 2,104,2272024 5-year
- Median household income
- $77,5992024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 62.9%2024 5-year
- Black
- 20.0%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 10.5%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+68 in 1912MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+49 in 1972MIT Election Lab
| Year | Won | Margin | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R | 406,064 | 657,148 | 1,073,772 | ||
| R | 426,937 | 617,523 | 1,057,233 | ||
| R | 334,910 | 533,021 | 897,882 | ||
| R | 320,528 | 502,343 | 830,477 | ||
| R | 331,949 | 485,758 | 823,407 | ||
| R | 260,275 | 466,217 | 731,203 | ||
| R | 193,782 | 323,171 | 526,901 | ||
| R | 195,453 | 250,227 | 481,176 | ||
| R | 163,972 | 227,689 | 465,420 | ||
| R | 128,591 | 233,964 | 364,439 | ||
| R | 126,982 | 229,639 | 356,667 | ||
| R | 154,073 | 166,137 | 330,271 | ||
| D | 179,055 | 115,943 | 297,872 | ||
| R | 64,930 | 192,205 | 257,905 | ||
| O | 75,681 | 73,387 | 255,417 | ||
| R | 117,117 | 127,022 | 244,143 | ||
| D | 108,302 | 82,837 | 191,139 | ||
| D | 86,948 | 77,632 | 164,580 | ||
| D | 88,597 | 73,133 | 161,730 | ||
| D | 47,355 | 23,203 | 97,067 | ||
| D | 59,912 | 18,431 | 78,345 | ||
| D | 66,545 | 14,173 | 80,738 | ||
| D | 48,871 | 9,608 | 58,506 | ||
| D | 39,471 | 10,178 | 49,679 | ||
| R | 20,661 | 27,741 | 49,081 | ||
| D | 13,695 | 5,590 | 22,689 | ||
| D | 23,377 | 10,833 | 35,969 | ||
| D | 13,322 | 3,006 | 18,421 | ||
| D | 9,407 | 957 | 12,427 | ||
| D | 7,941 | 3,140 | 12,680 | ||
| D | 7,361 | 2,747 | 11,128 | ||
| D | 4,989 | 2,023 | 7,389 | ||
| D | 4,475 | 2,849 | 7,895 | ||
| D | 5,006 | 1,339 | 6,792 | ||
| — | — | — | — | ||
| R | 7,321 | 7,752 | 15,073 | ||
| — | — | — | — | ||
| — | — | — | — |
Demographics
Jacksonville's media market spans the northeastern Florida coast and bleeds into coastal Georgia, reaching an electorate shaped by a large active-duty and veteran population that has historically tilted competitive in federal contests while reliably backing statewide Republican candidates.
The shift began with civil rights. 1980 marked the realignment in Jacksonville, by a four points margin. The Republican margin reached its widest at forty-nine points in 1972. The 2024 margin was twenty-three points.
The political shift has tracked, in Jacksonville, the political shift of the South more broadly. A 63% non-Hispanic-white share, a median household income of $77,599, and a 13% poverty rate describe the demographic context.
Jacksonville, Florida — The Long Memory. Akashic Intelligence — The Long Memory. https://tiers.akashic.app/dma/561/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.