akashic
1876–2024
Jacksonville·Florida

Jacksonville voted Democratic for a century; it now votes Republican by 23 points.

Northeast Florida's dominant media market, anchored by a Navy-heavy swing corridor

18762024·38 elections
FL
Latest
R+23
in 2024
Archetype
Old Confederacy
since the recent cycles
Population
2,104,227
2024 ACS

Jacksonville, Florida: Old Confederacy market. In 2024, voted R+23%. Democratic peak: D+68 in 1912.

Key facts

2024 presidential margin
R+23MIT Election Lab
Political archetype
Old ConfederacyAkashic typology
Population
2,104,2272024 5-year
Median household income
$77,5992024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic)
62.9%2024 5-year
Black
20.0%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino
10.5%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin
D+68 in 1912MIT Election Lab
Peak Republican margin
R+49 in 1972MIT Election Lab
15 counties · 0 D · 15 R
R+60
D+60
One cell per constituent county. Ordered by 2024 D-vs-R margin (bluest first). Hover for county-level numbers.
Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024).
YearWonMarginDemocraticRepublicanTotal
R
−23.4%
406,064657,1481,073,772
R
−18.0%
426,937617,5231,057,233
R
−22.1%
334,910533,021897,882
R
−21.9%
320,528502,343830,477
R
−18.7%
331,949485,758823,407
R
−28.2%
260,275466,217731,203
R
−24.6%
193,782323,171526,901
R
−11.4%
195,453250,227481,176
R
−13.7%
163,972227,689465,420
R
−28.9%
128,591233,964364,439
R
−28.8%
126,982229,639356,667
R
−3.7%
154,073166,137330,271
D
+21.2%
179,055115,943297,872
R
−49.3%
64,930192,205257,905
O
+0.9%
75,68173,387255,417
R
−4.1%
117,117127,022244,143
D
+13.3%
108,30282,837191,139
D
+5.7%
86,94877,632164,580
D
+9.6%
88,59773,133161,730
D
+24.9%
47,35523,20397,067
D
+52.9%
59,91218,43178,345
D
+64.9%
66,54514,17380,738
D
+67.1%
48,8719,60858,506
D
+59.0%
39,47110,17849,679
R
−14.4%
20,66127,74149,081
D
+35.7%
13,6955,59022,689
D
+34.9%
23,37710,83335,969
D
+56.0%
13,3223,00618,421
D
+68.0%
9,40795712,427
D
+37.9%
7,9413,14012,680
D
+41.5%
7,3612,74711,128
D
+40.1%
4,9892,0237,389
D
+20.6%
4,4752,8497,895
D
+54.0%
5,0061,3396,792
No data
R
−2.9%
7,3217,75215,073
No data
No data

Demographics

Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
English
11.7%
Irish
9.8%
German
9.3%
American
7.8%
Italian
4.2%
Scottish
1.7%
Polish
1.2%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
87.6%
speak English only
Spanish6.6%
Other Indo-European3.0%
Asian & Pacific Islander2.0%
Other languages0.8%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Other Christian
17.8%
Baptist
15.4%
Catholic & Orthodox
11.2%
Methodist
3.4%
Mainline Protestant
2.3%
Pentecostal & Holiness
2.1%
Non-Christian
1.2%
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 46.6% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.

Jacksonville's media market spans the northeastern Florida coast and bleeds into coastal Georgia, reaching an electorate shaped by a large active-duty and veteran population that has historically tilted competitive in federal contests while reliably backing statewide Republican candidates.

The shift began with civil rights. 1980 marked the realignment in Jacksonville, by a four points margin. The Republican margin reached its widest at forty-nine points in 1972. The 2024 margin was twenty-three points.

The political shift has tracked, in Jacksonville, the political shift of the South more broadly. A 63% non-Hispanic-white share, a median household income of $77,599, and a 13% poverty rate describe the demographic context.

Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Jacksonville, Florida — The Long Memory. Akashic Intelligence — The Long Memory. https://tiers.akashic.app/dma/561/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0

Frequently asked questions

How did Jacksonville, Florida vote in 2024?
In 2024, Jacksonville, Florida voted Republican by 23.4 points (R+23), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 1,073,772 votes cast, 406,064 went Democratic and 657,148 went Republican.
What is Jacksonville, Florida's political archetype?
Akashic classifies Jacksonville, Florida as a "Old Confederacy" market based on its long-arc presidential voting pattern. Across 38 elections in the dataset, the market has voted Democratic 18 times, Republican 16 times, and other 1 times.
When did Jacksonville, Florida last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Jacksonville, Florida voted Democratic was 1976.
How many people live in Jacksonville, Florida?
Jacksonville, Florida has a population of 2,104,227 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Jacksonville, Florida?
Median household income in Jacksonville, Florida is $77,599 — below the national median of $80,734. The Florida state median is $77,353.
What is the political history of Jacksonville, Florida?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Jacksonville, Florida from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 18 went Democratic and 16 went Republican. The market's archetype — "Old Confederacy" — captures the overall trajectory of that voting record.