akashic
1876–2024
Elmira (Corning)·New York

Elmira (Corning) was solidly Democratic for decades. In the last twenty years, it flipped.

A Southern Tier market where rural realignment reshaped margins

18762024·38 elections
NY
Latest
R+30
in 2024
Archetype
Populist
since the recent cycles
Population
233,242
2024 ACS

Elmira (Corning), New York: Populist market. In 2024, voted R+30%. Republican peak: R+53 in 1956.

Key facts

2024 presidential margin
R+30MIT Election Lab
Political archetype
PopulistAkashic typology
Population
233,2422024 5-year
Median household income
$65,0832024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic)
90.2%2024 5-year
Black
3.2%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino
2.6%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin
D+21 in 1964MIT Election Lab
Peak Republican margin
R+53 in 1956MIT Election Lab
4 counties · 0 D · 4 R
R+60
D+60
One cell per constituent county. Ordered by 2024 D-vs-R margin (bluest first). Hover for county-level numbers.
Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024).
YearWonMarginDemocraticRepublicanTotal
R
−29.6%
39,82173,627114,313
R
−27.0%
41,28472,759116,404
R
−30.7%
33,27565,592105,400
R
−13.7%
41,61555,18998,781
R
−12.2%
46,35959,435107,190
R
−23.1%
40,48565,280107,520
R
−16.9%
39,94256,995101,198
R
−2.9%
39,72242,51396,044
R
−11.4%
34,86946,898105,287
R
−24.3%
36,49760,07297,197
R
−37.4%
31,59169,496101,368
R
−21.3%
34,17854,70096,185
R
−16.3%
40,57256,48897,635
R
−43.0%
27,78269,88198,006
R
−25.0%
33,57158,28598,802
D
+21.3%
62,70740,693103,478
R
−30.9%
38,18872,390110,645
R
−52.7%
25,92583,794109,725
R
−45.4%
29,67379,118109,017
R
−31.2%
31,10160,16093,088
R
−30.2%
33,54062,62396,418
R
−28.9%
36,49966,324103,157
R
−23.8%
38,51362,888102,568
R
−27.3%
32,30357,21291,368
R
−44.2%
26,30769,58097,905
R
−45.2%
18,35455,13081,305
R
−46.2%
16,95049,74470,973
R
−10.3%
19,41624,13645,798
D
+8.8%
16,72112,84744,194
R
−21.6%
18,34829,08749,827
R
−28.3%
16,16729,94248,631
R
−18.3%
19,93029,38851,543
R
−27.0%
17,67731,39850,795
R
−16.5%
17,37525,10346,780
No data
No data
No data
No data

Demographics

Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
German
16.9%
English
16.3%
Irish
15.3%
American
8.6%
Italian
8.2%
Polish
4.5%
Scottish
1.3%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
95.6%
speak English only
Other Indo-European2.1%
Spanish1.3%
Asian & Pacific Islander0.9%
Other languages0.2%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Catholic & Orthodox
14.6%
Other Christian
10.0%
Methodist
5.0%
Pentecostal & Holiness
3.8%
Baptist
3.7%
Mainline Protestant
2.1%
Non-Christian
0.2%
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 60.7% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.

The Elmira-Corning media market spans the hilly Southern Tier of New York, where post-industrial communities and a shrinking manufacturing base have driven some of the state's sharpest partisan swings over the past two decades.

The Democratic margin in Elmira (Corning) peaked at twenty-one points in 1964. By 1968 the market had flipped, voting Republican for the first time in many years. The 2024 margin was thirty points, the most Republican-leaning result in the market's modern history.

The economic context is the key. The median household income of $65,083 sits well below state and national norms, and 14% of residents live below the federal poverty line. The shift here is part of a broader realignment of working-class places across the country.

Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Elmira (Corning), New York — The Long Memory. Akashic Intelligence — The Long Memory. https://tiers.akashic.app/dma/565/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0

Frequently asked questions

How did Elmira (Corning), New York vote in 2024?
In 2024, Elmira (Corning), New York voted Republican by 29.6 points (R+30), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 114,313 votes cast, 39,821 went Democratic and 73,627 went Republican.
What is Elmira (Corning), New York's political archetype?
Akashic classifies Elmira (Corning), New York as a "Populist" market based on its long-arc presidential voting pattern. Across 38 elections in the dataset, the market has voted Democratic 2 times, Republican 32 times, and other 0 times.
When did Elmira (Corning), New York last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Elmira (Corning), New York voted Democratic was 1964.
How many people live in Elmira (Corning), New York?
Elmira (Corning), New York has a population of 233,242 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Elmira (Corning), New York?
Median household income in Elmira (Corning), New York is $65,083 — below the national median of $80,734. The New York state median is $85,974.
What is the political history of Elmira (Corning), New York?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Elmira (Corning), New York from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 2 went Democratic and 32 went Republican. The market's archetype — "Populist" — captures the overall trajectory of that voting record.