Elmira (Corning), New York: Populist market. In 2024, voted R+30%. Republican peak: R+53 in 1956.
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+30MIT Election Lab
- Political archetype
- PopulistAkashic typology
- Population
- 233,2422024 5-year
- Median household income
- $65,0832024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 90.2%2024 5-year
- Black
- 3.2%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 2.6%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+21 in 1964MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+53 in 1956MIT Election Lab
| Year | Won | Margin | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R | 39,821 | 73,627 | 114,313 | ||
| R | 41,284 | 72,759 | 116,404 | ||
| R | 33,275 | 65,592 | 105,400 | ||
| R | 41,615 | 55,189 | 98,781 | ||
| R | 46,359 | 59,435 | 107,190 | ||
| R | 40,485 | 65,280 | 107,520 | ||
| R | 39,942 | 56,995 | 101,198 | ||
| R | 39,722 | 42,513 | 96,044 | ||
| R | 34,869 | 46,898 | 105,287 | ||
| R | 36,497 | 60,072 | 97,197 | ||
| R | 31,591 | 69,496 | 101,368 | ||
| R | 34,178 | 54,700 | 96,185 | ||
| R | 40,572 | 56,488 | 97,635 | ||
| R | 27,782 | 69,881 | 98,006 | ||
| R | 33,571 | 58,285 | 98,802 | ||
| D | 62,707 | 40,693 | 103,478 | ||
| R | 38,188 | 72,390 | 110,645 | ||
| R | 25,925 | 83,794 | 109,725 | ||
| R | 29,673 | 79,118 | 109,017 | ||
| R | 31,101 | 60,160 | 93,088 | ||
| R | 33,540 | 62,623 | 96,418 | ||
| R | 36,499 | 66,324 | 103,157 | ||
| R | 38,513 | 62,888 | 102,568 | ||
| R | 32,303 | 57,212 | 91,368 | ||
| R | 26,307 | 69,580 | 97,905 | ||
| R | 18,354 | 55,130 | 81,305 | ||
| R | 16,950 | 49,744 | 70,973 | ||
| R | 19,416 | 24,136 | 45,798 | ||
| D | 16,721 | 12,847 | 44,194 | ||
| R | 18,348 | 29,087 | 49,827 | ||
| R | 16,167 | 29,942 | 48,631 | ||
| R | 19,930 | 29,388 | 51,543 | ||
| R | 17,677 | 31,398 | 50,795 | ||
| R | 17,375 | 25,103 | 46,780 | ||
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Demographics
The Elmira-Corning media market spans the hilly Southern Tier of New York, where post-industrial communities and a shrinking manufacturing base have driven some of the state's sharpest partisan swings over the past two decades.
The Democratic margin in Elmira (Corning) peaked at twenty-one points in 1964. By 1968 the market had flipped, voting Republican for the first time in many years. The 2024 margin was thirty points, the most Republican-leaning result in the market's modern history.
The economic context is the key. The median household income of $65,083 sits well below state and national norms, and 14% of residents live below the federal poverty line. The shift here is part of a broader realignment of working-class places across the country.
Elmira (Corning), New York — The Long Memory. Akashic Intelligence — The Long Memory. https://tiers.akashic.app/dma/565/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.