El Paso (Las Cruces), Texas: Populist market. In 2024, voted D+13%. Democratic peak: D+61 in 1936.
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- D+13MIT Election Lab
- Political archetype
- PopulistAkashic typology
- Population
- 1,100,6432024 5-year
- Median household income
- $59,1672024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 32.0%2024 5-year
- Black
- 3.0%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 79.6%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+61 in 1936MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+21 in 1972MIT Election Lab
Constituent county margins for El Paso (Las Cruces), TXOne cell per constituent county, colored by 2024 presidential margin from deep red (Republican) through neutral to deep blue (Democratic), ordered bluest first.
R+60D+60
One cell per constituent county. Ordered by 2024 D-vs-R margin (bluest first). Hover for county-level numbers.
38 presidential elections
| Year | Won | Margin | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D | 189,687 | 143,928 | 339,231 | ||
| D | 226,892 | 118,327 | 351,885 | ||
| D | 186,568 | 81,669 | 288,208 | ||
| D | 151,038 | 85,238 | 240,868 | ||
| D | 163,225 | 90,566 | 256,170 | ||
| D | 127,581 | 103,793 | 233,207 | ||
| D | 108,717 | 79,764 | 193,629 | ||
| D | 107,961 | 61,492 | 180,413 | ||
| D | 88,397 | 64,108 | 181,096 | ||
| D | 83,193 | 77,977 | 162,326 | ||
| R | 66,564 | 89,333 | 156,663 | ||
| R | 51,738 | 69,827 | 130,206 | ||
| D | 58,399 | 57,353 | 117,290 | ||
| R | 42,339 | 65,565 | 108,986 | ||
| R | 40,935 | 41,754 | 89,586 | ||
| D | 46,709 | 28,505 | 75,464 | ||
| D | 35,684 | 29,907 | 65,767 | ||
| R | 20,712 | 26,197 | 47,161 | ||
| R | 19,665 | 26,593 | 46,330 | ||
| D | 21,138 | 9,071 | 30,845 | ||
| D | 16,131 | 5,273 | 23,692 | ||
| D | 18,311 | 7,583 | 25,931 | ||
| D | 18,066 | 4,314 | 22,561 | ||
| D | 17,095 | 5,244 | 22,664 | ||
| R | 8,485 | 9,386 | 17,879 | ||
| D | 9,630 | 4,092 | 14,118 | ||
| R | 5,598 | 6,740 | 12,432 | ||
| D | 4,805 | 3,378 | 8,351 | ||
| D | 3,954 | 1,203 | 6,368 | ||
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Demographics
Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
German
4.4%
English
3.0%
Irish
2.8%
American
2.5%
Italian
1.1%
French
0.6%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
Age distribution by sex
Median age: 33.8 in this county, 39.1 nationally
Male
Age
Female
85+
75–84
65–74
55–64
45–54
35–44
25–34
18–24
5–17
<5
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
Median household income
2024 inflation-adjusted dollars
$59,167
El Paso (Las Cruces) ranks near the middle of US counties.
El Paso (Las Cruces)$59,167
Texas$78,476
United States$80,734
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
Poverty rate
All persons below federal poverty line
19.2%
Children face higher poverty than working-age adults.
Children under 1825.3%
Working age (18–64)16.7%
Seniors (65+)23.9%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
36.7%
speak English only
Spanish61.3%
Other Indo-European0.9%
Asian & Pacific Islander0.8%
Other languages0.3%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 42.7% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.
Spanning El Paso and Las Cruces, this majority-Hispanic media market sits at the U.S.-Mexico boundary, producing consistently high Democratic margins at the federal level while local races often turn on turnout gaps between the two anchor cities.
The Democratic margin in El Paso (Las Cruces) peaked at sixty-one points in 1936. By 1988 the market had flipped, voting Republican for the first time in many years. The 2024 margin was thirteen points, the most Democratic-leaning result in the market's modern history.
The economic context is the key. The median household income of $59,167 sits well below state and national norms, and 19% of residents live below the federal poverty line. The shift here is part of a broader realignment of working-class places across the country.
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
El Paso (Las Cruces), Texas — The Long Memory. Akashic Intelligence — The Long Memory. https://tiers.akashic.app/dma/765/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0
Frequently asked questions
How did El Paso (Las Cruces), Texas vote in 2024?
In 2024, El Paso (Las Cruces), Texas voted Democratic by 13.5 points (D+13), carried by the Democratic candidate. Out of 339,231 votes cast, 189,687 went Democratic and 143,928 went Republican.
What is El Paso (Las Cruces), Texas's political archetype?
Akashic classifies El Paso (Las Cruces), Texas as a "Populist" market based on its long-arc presidential voting pattern. Across 38 elections in the dataset, the market has voted Democratic 21 times, Republican 8 times, and other 0 times.
When did El Paso (Las Cruces), Texas last vote Republican?
The most recent presidential election in which El Paso (Las Cruces), Texas voted Republican was 1984.
How many people live in El Paso (Las Cruces), Texas?
El Paso (Las Cruces), Texas has a population of 1,100,643 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in El Paso (Las Cruces), Texas?
Median household income in El Paso (Las Cruces), Texas is $59,167 — below the national median of $80,734. The Texas state median is $78,476.
What is the political history of El Paso (Las Cruces), Texas?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in El Paso (Las Cruces), Texas from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 21 went Democratic and 8 went Republican. The market's archetype — "Populist" — captures the overall trajectory of that voting record.